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Rankings and projections for SFBX

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After breaking down the Scott Fish Bowl format for you in Part 1, it’s time for something to help you in drafts this year: projections. I created projections for all 32 NFL teams, including three RBs, three WRs, and two TEs for each squad. These projections were then matched to the SFBX scoring.

Two things to note when going over the projections:

I do not project injuries. Every projection represents what a median outcome should look like if every player remains healthy. Thus, it is worth considering the range of outcomes a player may have if something were to disrupt that system

I only project one QB per team. In this way, you can think of each QB projection as “team QB” and split out work accordingly. For example, TyRod Taylor might not start all 16 games for the Chargers this year (it might even be unlikely). Consider that when drafting by the projections

The projections should include any point of interest you may have regarding players, with first downs being projected by the same regressions included in the intro piece. It is worth reminding you of just how balanced this scoring system is. When looking at the top-50 flex players in the projections, the position breakdown looks as follows:

Running back: 21
Wide receiver: 22
Tight end: 7

If we open it up to a top-100 and include QBs, the split looks like this:

Quarterback: 32
Running back: 24
Wide receiver: 30
Tight end: 14

Again, fantastic balance. And when you factor in that not every QB will start every game for every team, things become even more balanced. You certainly do not need to fill your superflex position with a signal-caller to feel good about it.

The rankings

Player Position SFBX (ALL)
Christian McCaffrey RB 439.8
Patrick Mahomes QB 428.3
Lamar Jackson QB 409.1
Saquon Barkley RB 361.5
Deshaun Watson QB 352.0
Dak Prescott QB 348.1
Alvin Kamara RB 346.3
Russell Wilson QB 346.3
Drew Brees QB 343.3
TyRod Taylor QB 342.0
Kyler Murray QB 339.2
Tom Brady QB 335.4
Carson Wentz QB 320.9
Austin Ekeler RB 316.9
Matt Ryan QB 316.9
Ben Roethlisberger QB 313.9
Travis Kelce TE 312.4
Josh Allen QB 308.0
Dalvin Cook RB 306.3
Derrick Henry RB 304.9
Jared Goff QB 300.2
Cam Newton QB 299.0
Miles Sanders RB 292.7
Baker Mayfield QB 292.6
George Kittle TE 292.2
Ezekiel Elliott RB 289.0
Michael Thomas WR 282.3
Gardner Minshew QB 280.4
Matthew Stafford QB 279.5
Chris Carson RB 269.9
Cooper Kupp WR 267.9
Kenyan Drake RB 267.5
JuJu Smith-Schuster WR 266.8
Aaron Rodgers QB 265.3
Davante Adams WR 263.9
Todd Gurley RB 262.6
Kirk Cousins QB 262.2
Robert Woods WR 261.1
Chris Godwin WR 260.8
James Conner RB 259.9
Zach Ertz TE 258.0
Joe Mixon RB 257.3
Jimmy Garoppolo QB 256.7
Calvin Ridley WR 255.4
Daniel Jones QB 254.8
Tyreek Hill WR 254.6
Teddy Bridgewater QB 254.5
Julio Jones WR 253.9
Amari Cooper WR 252.5
Allen Robinson WR 251.2
Ryan Tannehill QB 251.0
D.J. Moore WR 249.4
Josh Jacobs RB 249.2
Joe Burrow QB 248.8
Mark Andrews TE 248.1
Clyde Edwards-Helaire RB 248.1
David Johnson RB 247.1
DeAndre Hopkins WR 246.8
Mike Gesicki TE 246.6
Drew Lock QB 246.3
Le'Veon Bell RB 245.1
Terry McLaurin WR 244.9
DeVante Parker WR 241.5
Mike Evans WR 240.8
Jonathan Taylor RB 239.8
Adam Thielen WR 238.8
Odell Beckham WR 237.6
Melvin Gordon RB 235.0
Darren Waller TE 234.8
Tyler Boyd WR 232.6
Kenny Golladay WR 231.9
Nick Foles QB 226.9
Nick Chubb RB 225.1
Derek Carr QB 224.8
Ryan Fitzpatrick QB 221.9
A.J. Brown WR 221.5
Philip Rivers QB 221.0
Aaron Jones RB 220.4
Austin Hooper TE 220.1
Tyler Lockett WR 219.9
Dwayne Haskins QB 214.7
Evan Engram TE 211.3
Cam Akers RB 210.7
Leonard Fournette RB 209.6
Hayden Hurst TE 209.5
Tyler Higbee TE 208.8
T.J. Hockenson TE 208.4
Marvin Jones WR 207.5
Jarvis Landry WR 206.4
Deebo Samuel WR 206.3
Jack Doyle TE 206.1
Stefon Diggs WR 203.0
D.J. Chark WR 201.6
Christian Kirk WR 201.4
Michael Gallup WR 201.0
Noah Fant TE 200.4
Courtland Sutton WR 198.6
Sam Darnold QB 197.8
Hunter Henry TE 197.5
Ke'Shawn Vaughn RB 196.2
Keenan Allen WR 195.1
D.K. Metcalf WR 193.9
AJ Dillon RB 193.8
A.J. Green WR 193.0
CeeDee Lamb WR 192.9
T.Y. Hilton WR 192.7
David Montgomery RB 192.5
Jamison Crowder WR 189.8
Will Fuller WR 187.8
Rob Gronkowski TE 185.9
Diontae Johnson WR 183.6
Laviska Shenault WR 182.7
Devin Singletary RB 182.6
Raheem Mostert RB 182.1
Ronald Jones RB 181.5
Henry Ruggs WR 180.8
D'Andre Swift RB 180.7
Jerry Jeudy WR 180.7
Brandin Cooks WR 180.5
James White RB 180.4
Matt Breida RB 176.4
Kareem Hunt RB 174.9
Julian Edelman WR 173.9
J.K. Dobbins RB 173.6
Antonio Gibson RB 173.4
Steven Sims WR 172.1
Robby Anderson WR 171.2
Kerryon Johnson RB 170.4
Mike Williams WR 168.5
Breshad Perriman WR 167.1
Chris Herndon TE 164.1
Jonnu Smith TE 163.9
Justin Jefferson WR 163.6
Marquise Brown WR 163.2
Dallas Goedert TE 162.3
Jordan Howard RB 161.5
Tarik Cohen RB 159.6
Blake Jarwin TE 159.5
Curtis Samuel WR 159.4
Derrius Guice RB 156.6
Eric Ebron TE 156.4
Preston Williams WR 155.5
N'Keal Harry WR 154.2
Sterling Shepard WR 153.9
Cole Beasley WR 153.1
James Washington WR 150.6
Golden Tate WR 150.4
Gerald Everett TE 150.3
Jared Cook TE 149.6
Irv Smith TE 147.6
Zack Moss RB 146.7
Anthony Miller WR 146.5
Tee Higgins WR 143.6
Brandon Aiyuk WR 142.6
Jalen Reagor WR 141.9
John Brown WR 139.6
Allen Lazard WR 139.6
Tevin Coleman RB 139.3
KJ Hamler WR 138.3
DeSean Jackson WR 135.8
Phillip Lindsay RB 134.1
Sammy Watkins WR 131.7
Denzel Mims WR 131.5
Andy Isabella WR 131.5
Mark Ingram RB 131.3
Damien Williams RB 130.9
Chris Conley WR 128.2
Tyrell Williams WR 128.2
Michael Pittman WR 127.9
Tyler Eifert TE 127.5
Kenny Stills WR 125.5
Greg Olsen TE 125.3
Sony Michel RB 125.3
Darius Slayton WR 125.2
Will Dissly TE 124.8
Marlon Mack RB 123.6
Latavius Murray RB 122.5
Nick Boyle TE 121.7
Emmanuel Sanders WR 116.5
Jace Sternberger TE 115.5
Danny Amendola WR 115.1
Rex Burkhead RB 114.7
O.J. Howard TE 114.1
Ian Thomas TE 112.2
Darren Fells TE 111.6
Corey Davis WR 108.9
Mecole Hardman WR 108.4
Josh Reynolds WR 106.6
Tre'Quan Smith WR 106.0
C.J. Uzomah TE 103.4
Adrian Peterson RB 101.8
Hunter Renfrow WR 100.6
Ted Ginn WR 100.3
Mohamed Sanu WR 99.3
Anthony Firkser TE 98.9
Boston Scott RB 98.2
Lynn Bowden RB 97.7
Duke Johnson RB 97.3
Russell Gage WR 96.7
Nyheim Hines RB 95.7
Jimmy Graham TE 93.7
Tony Pollard RB 91.5
Miles Boykin WR 90.9
Alexander Mattison RB 90.8
Vance McDonald TE 90.3
Adam Humphries WR 89.8
Jaeden Graham TE 89.4
Kyle Rudolph TE 87.3
Jerick McKinnon RB 86.9
Darrell Henderson RB 86.2
Dawson Knox TE 85.9
Parris Campbell WR 84.4
Jordan Thomas TE 83.3
Trey Burton TE 83.3
Jeremy Sprinkle TE 81.5
Phillip Dorsett WR 80.4
Marquez Valdes-Scantling WR 79.3
Jalen Hurd WR 76.4
Darrynton Evans RB 76.1
Devin Devurnay WR 75.6
Anthony McFarland Jr. RB 74.6
Josh Oliver TE 74.5
Carlos Hyde RB 74.0
Adam Trautman TE 73.8
David Njoku TE 72.5
Alshon Jeffery WR 72.5
Logan Thomas TE 66.7
Joshua Kelley RB 65.8
Justin Jackson RB 65.7
Gus Edwards RB 64.5
Chase Edmonds RB 63.9
Albert Wilson WR 63.4
Scott Miller WR 62.7
Cole Kmet TE 59.3
Jesse James TE 57.7
Maxx Williams TE 57.7
Albert Okwuegbunam TE 56.9
Ricky Seals-Jones TE 55.9
Jason Witten TE 55.8
Chris Thompson RB 55.7
Ito Smith RB 55.6
Dalton Schultz TE 55.4
Brian Hill RB 53.7
Antonio Gandy-Golden WR 53.5
Ross Dwelley TE 50.9
Trayveon Williams RB 50.7
Giovani Bernard RB 49.8
Frank Gore RB 48.8
Drew Sample TE 48.1
Cordarrelle Patterson RB 45.4
Malcolm Brown RB 43.7
Jamaal Williams RB 43.6
Rashard Higgins WR 42.4
Lamical Perine RB 42.0
Ryan Griffin TE 41.6
Corey Clement RB 40.5
Dan Arnold TE 39.4
Jalen Richard RB 38.7
Ryquell Armstead RB 38.2
Devin Asiasi TE 37.6
Tajae Sharpe WR 37.1
Dion Lewis RB 35.5
Calais Raymond RB 32.6
Benny Snell RB 32.5
Matt LaCosse TE 31.9
Tyler Kroft TE 31.8
Marcedes Lewis TE 30.3
Eno Benjamin RB 29.9
DeAndre Washington RB 28.7
Myles Gaskin RB 28.3
Wayne Gallman RB 26.7
Bo Scarbrough RB 26.6
DeeJay Dallas RB 24.6
Royce Freeman RB 24.2
Kaden Smith TE 22.0
Chris Manhertz TE 21.8
Dontrell Hilliard RB 21.7
Reggie Bonnafon RB 20.2
Joe Reed WR 19.8
Virgil Green TE 18.9
Mike Boone RB 18.8
Ty Montgomery RB 17.8
Durham Smythe TE 16.5
Karan Higdon RB 9.4
T.J. Yeldon RB 8.7
Jordan Scarlett RB 8.1
Jordan Chunn RB 7.8
David Fluellen RB 2.2
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