Week 11 NFL Moneyline Underdogs
Mike Randle
After breaking down the Scott Fish Bowl format for you in Part 1, it’s time for something to help you in drafts this year: projections. I created projections for all 32 NFL teams, including three RBs, three WRs, and two TEs for each squad. These projections were then matched to the SFBX scoring.
Two things to note when going over the projections:
I do not project injuries. Every projection represents what a median outcome should look like if every player remains healthy. Thus, it is worth considering the range of outcomes a player may have if something were to disrupt that system
I only project one QB per team. In this way, you can think of each QB projection as “team QB” and split out work accordingly. For example, TyRod Taylor might not start all 16 games for the Chargers this year (it might even be unlikely). Consider that when drafting by the projections
The projections should include any point of interest you may have regarding players, with first downs being projected by the same regressions included in the intro piece. It is worth reminding you of just how balanced this scoring system is. When looking at the top-50 flex players in the projections, the position breakdown looks as follows:
Running back: 21
Wide receiver: 22
Tight end: 7
If we open it up to a top-100 and include QBs, the split looks like this:
Quarterback: 32
Running back: 24
Wide receiver: 30
Tight end: 14
Again, fantastic balance. And when you factor in that not every QB will start every game for every team, things become even more balanced. You certainly do not need to fill your superflex position with a signal-caller to feel good about it.
