First TD Bets — Wild Card Monday Slate
Alex Christenson
Dvoa NFL Articles
NFL
DVOA
Conference Championship Quick Reads
Xavier Worthy has established himself as Kansas City's No. 1 receiver as we go into Super Bowl LIX. Plus: All the DYAR numbers from the conference championships.
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Divisional Round Quick Reads: Daniels Flies High
Jayden Daniels had the biggest day of the weekend by DYAR. Plus: Why was Saquon Barkley's DYAR so low with so many yards?
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Wild-Card Quick Reads: Ladd McConkey and Great Rookie Playoff Games
Ladd McConkey set a rookie receiving yards record for the playoffs. Did he set the DYAR record too? Plus best and worst players of the Wild-Card Weekend.
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Jackson, Henry, and Kittle Have All-Time DYAR Seasons in 2024
Our annual look at the best and worst players in our DYAR metric is highlighted by huge seasons for Lamar Jackson, Derrick Henry, and George Kittle.
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Week 18 Quick Reads: Big Bo Nix Energy
Here's a look at the best and worst players of Week 18 by DYAR.
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Week 17 Quick Reads: Big Week for Big QB Games
It was a big week for quarterbacks, with five of the top 13 games of the season by DYAR.
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Week 16 Quick Reads: Mahomes Conquers a Strong Defense
Patrick Mahomes was the top quarterback of the week thanks to opponent adjustments. Who else played well against Houston this season?
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Week 15 Quick Reads: Middle of the Road
With Jared Goff leading all quarterbacks in value this week, we take a look at passing to the middle of the field: who does it most and who does it best? Plus, best and worst players of Week 15.
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Week 14 Quick Reads: Catch Rate as Catch Can
Pat Freiermuth and Amon-Ra St. Brown are among the 2024 receivers challenging catch rate records. Plus, best and worst of Week 14 by DYAR.
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Week 13 Quick Reads: Russell Wilson Loves Bad Defenses
Russell Wilson had a big Week 13, but it was yet another game this year where he took advantage of a bad pass defense.
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Week 12 Quick Reads: Saquon’s Schedule
Saquon Barkley's MVP case is complicated by a very easy schedule. Plus, more of the best and worst players of Week 12 by our DYAR stats.
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Week 11 Quick Reads: Good QBs Have Bad Days
The best and worst players of Week 11 by DYAR, plus a look at when MVP candidates have bad days. It happens!
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Week 10 Quick Reads: Triangular QB Types
Kyler Murray was the top quarterback of Week 10. Which QB archetype does he fit? Is he a Sack-Taker, a Gunslinger, or a Game Manager?
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Week 9 Quick Reads: Dominant Lamar Jackson
It was another huge week for Lamar Jackson, his best of a great season. Plus, more on the best and worst DYAR of Week 9.
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Week 8 Quick Reads: Broncos Win Despite Bad Run Day
Denver beat Carolina despite one of the worst rushing days in DYAR history from Javonte Williams. Plus, all of the best and worst players of Week 8!
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Week 7 Quick Reads: Big Week for the Lions
It was a big week for Lions stars including Jahmyr Gibbs, Amon-Ra St. Brown, and Jared Goff. Plus, a look at who has gained and lost the most value due to schedule so far.
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Week 6 Quick Reads: Goff’s Big Week, Calvin Ridley’s O-For
Jared Goff was good and Dak Prescott was bad this week, plus a look at Calvin Ridley and other wide receivers with big 0-for days.
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Week 5 Quick Reads: You and Your Cousins
Kirk Cousins didn't have one of the best DYAR games ever, but he had the best game so far this year. Plus, the rest of the best and worst of Week 5.
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Week 4 Quick Reads: Jayden Daniels’ Incredible Start
Few quarterbacks have ever started their career hotter than Jayden Daniels of the Commanders. Can he keep it up? Plus, best and worst players of Week 4 by DYAR.
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Week 3 Quick Reads: Rated Rookies
In a bit of a surprise, Malik Nabers doesn't finish among Week 3's top wide receivers, but he's part of a strong rookie class so far.
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Week 2 Quick Reads: Murray’s Law
It was a big week for Kyler Murray, Geno Smith, and... Malik Willis? Yes, Malik Willis!
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Week 1 Quick Reads: Baker Mayfield’s Career Day
One NFC South quarterback had the best day of his career yesterday, but it may not be the one you expected. Plus, all the DYAR stats from Week 1.
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Super Bowl LVIII DVOA and Quick Reads
The Kansas City Chiefs ended up with a higher DVOA than the San Francisco 49ers in their Super Bowl LVIII win. But as you might imagine given how good the Niners were in the regular season, that’s because of opponent adjustments. As befits a game where the Chiefs recovered six of seven fumbles including both […]
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Conference Championship Quick Reads: Mahomes Magic
Here are the best and worst players of the conference championship games according to our DYAR stats. Quarterbacks Rk Player Team CP/AT Yds TD INT Sacks TotalDYAR PassDYAR RushDYAR Opp 1. Patrick Mahomes KC 30/39 241 1 0 2 147 139 8 BAL Mahomes had 125 passing DYAR before halftime and 13 passing DYAR after […]
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Divisional Quick Reads: Lamar Jackson Runs Away With It
Lamar Jackson had one of the best rushing games in DYAR history against the Houston Texans this weekend. He had 11 carries for 100 yards and two touchdowns against one of the top run defenses in the NFL this year. That’s worth 60 DYAR, the sixth-best rushing game by a quarterback. That’s good because frankly, […]
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Wild Card Quick Reads: Love Has Won
Here’s Quick Reads for Wild-Card Weekend, now updated with the two Monday games! Quarterbacks Rk Player Team CP/AT Yds TD INT Sacks TotalDYAR PassDYAR RushDYAR Opp 1. Jordan Love GB 16/21 272 3 0 0 224 224 0 DAL As noted in today’s DVOA commentary, this was the best passing DVOA game ever for the […]
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
49ers Stars Lead 2023 DYAR Stats
When it comes to offense in the National Football League, 2023 was the season of the San Francisco 49ers. In our annual countdown of the best and worst players of the year by FTN’s advanced DYAR and DVOA metrics, 49ers players top the lists at every position. That’s fitting since the 49ers had the ninth-best […]
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Week 18 Quick Reads: Snowy Breece
Here are your Quick Reads with the best and worst players of Week 18 by DYAR! As is tradition from the old site, there’s no commentary on the Week 18 results, but we’ll have an article later this week running down the best and worst players for the entire year. Quarterbacks Rk Player Team CP/AT […]
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Week 17 Quick Reads: Lamar Locks Up the MVP?
Happy New Year! Once again there’s no Quick Reads commentary because of this week’s holiday, although there will be DVOA ratings and commentary later today. Here are the best and worst players of Week 17 by DYAR: Quarterbacks Rk Player Team CP/AT Yds TD INT Sacks TotalDYAR PassDYAR RushDYAR Opp 1. Lamar Jackson BAL 18/21 […]
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Week 16 Quick Reads: Amari Cooper’s Big Day
Merry Christmas, everyone who celebrates! No commentary this week because of the holiday, except to note that Amari Cooper does not finish No. 1 in DYAR among wide receivers because of a very heavy opponent adjustment. Also, George Pickens did not make our list of the top five wide receivers because he had a fumble […]
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Week 15 Quick Reads: James Cook Destroys the Cowboys
No long introduction to this week’s column, just an appreciation of James Cook and his huge game against the Dallas Cowboys. Cook had 104 total DYAR for this game. Based on current opponent adjustments, that’s the top game for any running back this season. Cook’s game was so big that Dallas dropped from sixth to […]
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Week 14 Quick Reads: Why Brock Purdy Is Like Randall Cunningham
Brock Purdy has easily been the most efficient quarterback in the NFL during the 2023 season. Purdy now leads all quarterbacks with 48.9% passing DVOA. He also leads quarterbacks in passing DYAR despite throwing fewer passes than most starters. That brings up the controversy about whether Purdy should be the MVP or not. Purdy is […]
Aaron Schatz
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