Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Dvoa NFL Articles
NFL
DVOA
Week 17 Quick Reads: Big Week for Big QB Games
It was a big week for quarterbacks, with five of the top 13 games of the season by DYAR.
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Week 16 Quick Reads: Mahomes Conquers a Strong Defense
Patrick Mahomes was the top quarterback of the week thanks to opponent adjustments. Who else played well against Houston this season?
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Week 15 Quick Reads: Middle of the Road
With Jared Goff leading all quarterbacks in value this week, we take a look at passing to the middle of the field: who does it most and who does it best? Plus, best and worst players of Week 15.
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Week 14 Quick Reads: Catch Rate as Catch Can
Pat Freiermuth and Amon-Ra St. Brown are among the 2024 receivers challenging catch rate records. Plus, best and worst of Week 14 by DYAR.
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Week 13 Quick Reads: Russell Wilson Loves Bad Defenses
Russell Wilson had a big Week 13, but it was yet another game this year where he took advantage of a bad pass defense.
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Week 12 Quick Reads: Saquon’s Schedule
Saquon Barkley's MVP case is complicated by a very easy schedule. Plus, more of the best and worst players of Week 12 by our DYAR stats.
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Week 11 Quick Reads: Good QBs Have Bad Days
The best and worst players of Week 11 by DYAR, plus a look at when MVP candidates have bad days. It happens!
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Week 10 Quick Reads: Triangular QB Types
Kyler Murray was the top quarterback of Week 10. Which QB archetype does he fit? Is he a Sack-Taker, a Gunslinger, or a Game Manager?
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Week 9 Quick Reads: Dominant Lamar Jackson
It was another huge week for Lamar Jackson, his best of a great season. Plus, more on the best and worst DYAR of Week 9.
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Week 8 Quick Reads: Broncos Win Despite Bad Run Day
Denver beat Carolina despite one of the worst rushing days in DYAR history from Javonte Williams. Plus, all of the best and worst players of Week 8!
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Week 7 Quick Reads: Big Week for the Lions
It was a big week for Lions stars including Jahmyr Gibbs, Amon-Ra St. Brown, and Jared Goff. Plus, a look at who has gained and lost the most value due to schedule so far.
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Week 6 Quick Reads: Goff’s Big Week, Calvin Ridley’s O-For
Jared Goff was good and Dak Prescott was bad this week, plus a look at Calvin Ridley and other wide receivers with big 0-for days.
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Week 5 Quick Reads: You and Your Cousins
Kirk Cousins didn't have one of the best DYAR games ever, but he had the best game so far this year. Plus, the rest of the best and worst of Week 5.
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Week 4 Quick Reads: Jayden Daniels’ Incredible Start
Few quarterbacks have ever started their career hotter than Jayden Daniels of the Commanders. Can he keep it up? Plus, best and worst players of Week 4 by DYAR.
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Week 3 Quick Reads: Rated Rookies
In a bit of a surprise, Malik Nabers doesn't finish among Week 3's top wide receivers, but he's part of a strong rookie class so far.
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Week 2 Quick Reads: Murray’s Law
It was a big week for Kyler Murray, Geno Smith, and... Malik Willis? Yes, Malik Willis!
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Week 1 Quick Reads: Baker Mayfield’s Career Day
One NFC South quarterback had the best day of his career yesterday, but it may not be the one you expected. Plus, all the DYAR stats from Week 1.
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Super Bowl LVIII DVOA and Quick Reads
The Kansas City Chiefs ended up with a higher DVOA than the San Francisco 49ers in their Super Bowl LVIII win. But as you might imagine given how good the Niners were in the regular season, that’s because of opponent adjustments. As befits a game where the Chiefs recovered six of seven fumbles including both […]
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Conference Championship Quick Reads: Mahomes Magic
Here are the best and worst players of the conference championship games according to our DYAR stats. Quarterbacks Rk Player Team CP/AT Yds TD INT Sacks TotalDYAR PassDYAR RushDYAR Opp 1. Patrick Mahomes KC 30/39 241 1 0 2 147 139 8 BAL Mahomes had 125 passing DYAR before halftime and 13 passing DYAR after […]
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Divisional Quick Reads: Lamar Jackson Runs Away With It
Lamar Jackson had one of the best rushing games in DYAR history against the Houston Texans this weekend. He had 11 carries for 100 yards and two touchdowns against one of the top run defenses in the NFL this year. That’s worth 60 DYAR, the sixth-best rushing game by a quarterback. That’s good because frankly, […]
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Wild Card Quick Reads: Love Has Won
Here’s Quick Reads for Wild-Card Weekend, now updated with the two Monday games! Quarterbacks Rk Player Team CP/AT Yds TD INT Sacks TotalDYAR PassDYAR RushDYAR Opp 1. Jordan Love GB 16/21 272 3 0 0 224 224 0 DAL As noted in today’s DVOA commentary, this was the best passing DVOA game ever for the […]
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Week 18 Quick Reads: Snowy Breece
Here are your Quick Reads with the best and worst players of Week 18 by DYAR! As is tradition from the old site, there’s no commentary on the Week 18 results, but we’ll have an article later this week running down the best and worst players for the entire year. Quarterbacks Rk Player Team CP/AT […]
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Week 17 Quick Reads: Lamar Locks Up the MVP?
Happy New Year! Once again there’s no Quick Reads commentary because of this week’s holiday, although there will be DVOA ratings and commentary later today. Here are the best and worst players of Week 17 by DYAR: Quarterbacks Rk Player Team CP/AT Yds TD INT Sacks TotalDYAR PassDYAR RushDYAR Opp 1. Lamar Jackson BAL 18/21 […]
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Week 16 Quick Reads: Amari Cooper’s Big Day
Merry Christmas, everyone who celebrates! No commentary this week because of the holiday, except to note that Amari Cooper does not finish No. 1 in DYAR among wide receivers because of a very heavy opponent adjustment. Also, George Pickens did not make our list of the top five wide receivers because he had a fumble […]
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Week 15 Quick Reads: James Cook Destroys the Cowboys
No long introduction to this week’s column, just an appreciation of James Cook and his huge game against the Dallas Cowboys. Cook had 104 total DYAR for this game. Based on current opponent adjustments, that’s the top game for any running back this season. Cook’s game was so big that Dallas dropped from sixth to […]
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Week 14 Quick Reads: Why Brock Purdy Is Like Randall Cunningham
Brock Purdy has easily been the most efficient quarterback in the NFL during the 2023 season. Purdy now leads all quarterbacks with 48.9% passing DVOA. He also leads quarterbacks in passing DYAR despite throwing fewer passes than most starters. That brings up the controversy about whether Purdy should be the MVP or not. Purdy is […]
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Week 13 Quick Reads: Big Seasons for Aiyuk and Hill
Tyreek Hill does not make our Quick Reads list of the top five wide receivers of Week 13. Neither does Brandon Aiyuk. Hill ends up eighth, thanks to one catch for a 6-yard loss and the opponent adjustments for playing the worst pass defense in the league, the Washington Commanders. Aiyuk is even lower, since […]
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Week 12 Quick Reads: Remaining Schedules
Before we got into the best and worst players of Week 12, I thought it would be fun to take a look at the remaining schedule strength for players. This should particularly be a help for fantasy football purposes. With that in mind, I looked at average defensive DVOA of opponents in Weeks 13-17, leaving […]
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Week 11 Quick Reads: Deep Cuts
You gotta be able to get the ball deep sometimes. Man does not live on checkdowns and short crosses alone. Brock Purdy got the ball deep on the way to being this week’s top quarterback by DYAR. Purdy currently leads the league in DVOA on deep passes, defined in the league play-by-play as passes of […]
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Week 10 Quick Reads: Another Impressive C.J. Stroud Joint
Updated Tuesday morning with Monday Night Football. None of this week’s best or worst players really stood out historically so I thought it would be a good week to take stock of the whole season. Which players have seen the biggest opponent adjustments so far? Remember that opponent adjustments aren’t based just on how good […]
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Week 9 Quick Reads: C.J. Stroud’s Record-Setting Afternoon
C.J. Stroud is having an incredible rookie season, but it hit its peak in yesterday’s game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Stroud had five touchdown passes and set a single-game rookie record with 470 passing yards, also leading a last-minute comeback for a 39-37 win. As you might suspect, Stroud also set records by our […]
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Week 8 Quick Reads: Will Levis and Great QB Debuts
Will Levis had an impressive debut at quarterback for the Tennessee Titans this week, with four touchdown passes. However, this game was not one of the best quarterback debuts in DVOA history because Levis played a bad pass defense (Atlanta) and had a low success rate of 29%. Most of his success came from the […]
Aaron Schatz
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