Dvoa NFL Articles

NFL DVOA

April 11, 2025

Cam Ward Leads 2025 QBASE Projections

Cam Ward is our top QB prospect, but which No. 3 prospect is surprisingly close to Shadeur Sanders at No. 2?

Aaron Schatz

Alex Olbrecht

Jeremy Rosen

NFL DVOA

April 9, 2025

Snap-Weighted Size 2024: Defense

The smaller the defense, the better in 2024. But is that just a measurement of which teams are going nickel and dime more often?

Bryan Knowles

NFL DVOA

April 8, 2025

Snap-Weighted Size 2024: Offense

Bigger was better on offense in 2024, led by the World Champions.

Bryan Knowles

NFL DVOA

April 1, 2025

Snap-Weighted Age 2024

The Eagles defense shows that it's nice to be young and good at the same time. Things are older in Miami and Minnesota.

Bryan Knowles

NFL DVOA

March 7, 2025

2024 AGL Totals by Position, from Lions Edge to Saints Wideouts

A look at the position groups with the most injuries in 2024, including Cardinals defensive line, Lions edge rushers, and 49ers running backs.

Aaron Schatz

NFL DVOA

March 6, 2025

2024 AGL: 49ers Get Smacked Down by Injuries

The 49ers were the most injured team in the league in 2024, while the Ravens were one of the least injured teams in years.

Aaron Schatz

NFL DVOA

March 1, 2025

2025 RB Speed Scores

Looking at running backs and their combine 40s, Bhayshul Tuten is one name that could be climbing up draft boards.

Bryan Knowles

NFL DVOA

February 7, 2025

Aaron Schatz’s 2024 NFL Award Ballot

FTN's Aaron Schatz is one of the 50 media members who vote on NFL awards, and here is his reasoning on everything from MVP to Comeback Player of the Year.

Aaron Schatz

NFL DVOA

February 5, 2025

Super Bowl LIX: DVOA Preview

Can Steve Spagnuolo blitz Jalen Hurts to death? Can the No. 1 Eagles defense contain Patrick Mahomes? Here's a stat-packed Super Bowl LIX preview.

Aaron Schatz

NFL DVOA

February 5, 2025

Super Bowl LIX Prop Bet Extravaganza: From TDs to Taylor

What book will A.J. Brown read on the sideline? Will Travis Kelce propose to Taylor Swift after a win? You can bet on all of it!

Bryan Knowles

NFL DVOA

January 30, 2025

Super Bowl LIX Pre-Preview

Emptying the early notebook of stat tidbits about Super Bowl LIX, including why Vic Fangio's past failures against Patrick Mahomes are overstated.

Aaron Schatz

NFL DVOA

January 29, 2025

All-Keep Choppin’ Wood Team 2024

From Deshaun Watson to Diontae Johnson to Haason Reddick, it's the annual look at the players who hurt their teams the most this year, on and off the field.

Bryan Knowles

NFL DVOA

January 24, 2025

2024 NFC Championship Game: DVOA Preview

Can the Jayden Daniels and the Commanders' offense overcome their weak defense? And how healthy is Jalen Hurts right now?

Bryan Knowles

NFL DVOA

January 24, 2025

2024 AFC Championship Game: DVOA Preview

Here we are again: The Bills were the better team in the regular season, but the Chiefs have home-field advantage and that Mahomes Magic.

Aaron Schatz

NFL DVOA

January 22, 2025

The History of NFL Threepeats

What about teams that threepeated before the Super Bowl era, or the teams that failed to do so since 1966?

Bryan Knowles

NFL DVOA

January 21, 2025

Most Aggressive Coaches of 2024

The most aggressive coaches on fourth downs in 2024 included Dan Campbell, Sean McDermott, and... Brian Daboll?

Aaron Schatz

NFL DVOA

January 20, 2025

NFL Playoff Picture: Odds to Win Super Bowl LIX

Odds to Win Super Bowl LIX Revised as of 1/27/25, through Week 21 Compiled by Mike Harris The NFL playoff picture odds report plays out the season 25,000 times. A random draw assigns each team a win or loss for each game. The probability that a team will be given a win is based on […]

Aaron Schatz

NFL DVOA

January 17, 2025

Ravens at Bills: DVOA Preview

Here we go with the MVP Bowl: Two of the best quarterbacks in the league, two of the best teams by DVOA, only one of them can move on to the AFC Championship Game.

Aaron Schatz

NFL DVOA

January 17, 2025

Rams at Eagles: DVOA Preview

Can the Rams stop Saquon Barkley this time? And do their defensive strengths match what the Eagles like to do on offense?

Bryan Knowles

NFL DVOA

January 16, 2025

Texans at Chiefs: DVOA Preview

Last time, the Texans faced the Chiefs, Kansas City controlled the entire game. Can the Houston defense make this rematch different?

Aaron Schatz

NFL DVOA

January 16, 2025

Commanders at Lions: DVOA Preview

Hide your punters and get out your abacuses out, because we're going deep into the stats on a game with a 55.5-point over/under.

Bryan Knowles

NFL DVOA

January 13, 2025

Vikings vs. Rams: DVOA Preview

Can a blitzing Vikings defense get to Matthew Stafford, who excelled at getting the ball out quick against blitzes this season? They didn't in Week 8.

Aaron Schatz

NFL DVOA

January 10, 2025

Aaron Schatz: My 2024 All-Pro Ballot

From the Ravens offense to the Eagles line and the Broncos defenders, Aaron Schatz explains his All-Pro votes for 2024.

Aaron Schatz

NFL DVOA

January 10, 2025

Commanders at Buccaneers: DVOA Preview

Offenses should rule the day in this close NFC playoff matchup, with both Jayden Daniels and Baker Mayfield among the year's best quarterbacks.

Bryan Knowles

NFL DVOA

January 10, 2025

Packers at Eagles: DVOA Preview

The powerful Packers offense hasn't been quite as good against their best opponents, which is a problem against the NFL's No. 1 defense.

Bryan Knowles

NFL DVOA

January 10, 2025

Broncos at Bills: DVOA Preview

The Broncos are back in the playoffs, but they've got a tough draw as the Buffalo Bills try to finally get over the hump and win a title.

Bryan Knowles

NFL DVOA

January 9, 2025

Steelers at Ravens: DVOA Preview

The Ravens and Steelers split their season series but DVOA says the Ravens were the best team in the league this year, a clear favorite on Saturday night.

Aaron Schatz

NFL DVOA

January 9, 2025

Chargers at Texans: DVOA Preview

The Texans won the AFC South by default, with a poor offense lifted by a strong defense. Can they score enough points to beat the wild-card Chargers?

Aaron Schatz

NFL DVOA

January 8, 2025

Eighth Annual Joe Thomas Draft

What if the playoff teams could grab the best players from the other 18 teams, so we could see the best players in the NFL in the postseason?

Bryan Knowles

NFL DVOA

January 2, 2025

Cornerback Coverage DVOA Weeks 1-17

Here's another update on our coverage DVOA for cornerbacks, showing why Patrick Surtain is a leading DPOY candidate.

Aaron Schatz

NFL DVOA

January 2, 2025

Down with the Frickin’ Asterisk

Brock Bowers took two extra games to break Mike Ditka's rookie record? Saquon Barkley would need a 17th game to break records? Yeah, we don't care.

Bryan Knowles

NFL DVOA

December 26, 2024

FTN’s 2024 All-Rookie Team

From Jayden Daniels to Brian Thomas to Tarheeb Still, we're looking at the best of the 2024 rookie class in the NFL.

Bryan Knowles