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April 11, 2025
Cam Ward Leads 2025 QBASE Projections
Cam Ward is our top QB prospect, but which No. 3 prospect is surprisingly close to Shadeur Sanders at No. 2?
Aaron Schatz
Alex Olbrecht
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April 9, 2025
Snap-Weighted Size 2024: Defense
The smaller the defense, the better in 2024. But is that just a measurement of which teams are going nickel and dime more often?
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Snap-Weighted Size 2024: Offense
Bigger was better on offense in 2024, led by the World Champions.
Bryan Knowles
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April 1, 2025
Snap-Weighted Age 2024
The Eagles defense shows that it's nice to be young and good at the same time. Things are older in Miami and Minnesota.
Bryan Knowles
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March 7, 2025
2024 AGL Totals by Position, from Lions Edge to Saints Wideouts
A look at the position groups with the most injuries in 2024, including Cardinals defensive line, Lions edge rushers, and 49ers running backs.
Aaron Schatz
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March 6, 2025
2024 AGL: 49ers Get Smacked Down by Injuries
The 49ers were the most injured team in the league in 2024, while the Ravens were one of the least injured teams in years.
Aaron Schatz
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2025 RB Speed Scores
Looking at running backs and their combine 40s, Bhayshul Tuten is one name that could be climbing up draft boards.
Bryan Knowles
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Aaron Schatz’s 2024 NFL Award Ballot
FTN's Aaron Schatz is one of the 50 media members who vote on NFL awards, and here is his reasoning on everything from MVP to Comeback Player of the Year.
Aaron Schatz
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DVOA
February 5, 2025
Super Bowl LIX: DVOA Preview
Can Steve Spagnuolo blitz Jalen Hurts to death? Can the No. 1 Eagles defense contain Patrick Mahomes? Here's a stat-packed Super Bowl LIX preview.
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
February 5, 2025
Super Bowl LIX Prop Bet Extravaganza: From TDs to Taylor
What book will A.J. Brown read on the sideline? Will Travis Kelce propose to Taylor Swift after a win? You can bet on all of it!
Bryan Knowles
NFL
DVOA
January 30, 2025
Super Bowl LIX Pre-Preview
Emptying the early notebook of stat tidbits about Super Bowl LIX, including why Vic Fangio's past failures against Patrick Mahomes are overstated.
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
January 29, 2025
All-Keep Choppin’ Wood Team 2024
From Deshaun Watson to Diontae Johnson to Haason Reddick, it's the annual look at the players who hurt their teams the most this year, on and off the field.
Bryan Knowles
NFL
DVOA
January 24, 2025
2024 NFC Championship Game: DVOA Preview
Can the Jayden Daniels and the Commanders' offense overcome their weak defense? And how healthy is Jalen Hurts right now?
Bryan Knowles
NFL
DVOA
January 24, 2025
2024 AFC Championship Game: DVOA Preview
Here we are again: The Bills were the better team in the regular season, but the Chiefs have home-field advantage and that Mahomes Magic.
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
January 22, 2025
The History of NFL Threepeats
What about teams that threepeated before the Super Bowl era, or the teams that failed to do so since 1966?
Bryan Knowles
NFL
DVOA
January 21, 2025
Most Aggressive Coaches of 2024
The most aggressive coaches on fourth downs in 2024 included Dan Campbell, Sean McDermott, and... Brian Daboll?
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
January 20, 2025
NFL Playoff Picture: Odds to Win Super Bowl LIX
Odds to Win Super Bowl LIX Revised as of 1/27/25, through Week 21 Compiled by Mike Harris The NFL playoff picture odds report plays out the season 25,000 times. A random draw assigns each team a win or loss for each game. The probability that a team will be given a win is based on […]
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
January 17, 2025
Ravens at Bills: DVOA Preview
Here we go with the MVP Bowl: Two of the best quarterbacks in the league, two of the best teams by DVOA, only one of them can move on to the AFC Championship Game.
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
January 17, 2025
Rams at Eagles: DVOA Preview
Can the Rams stop Saquon Barkley this time? And do their defensive strengths match what the Eagles like to do on offense?
Bryan Knowles
NFL
DVOA
January 16, 2025
Texans at Chiefs: DVOA Preview
Last time, the Texans faced the Chiefs, Kansas City controlled the entire game. Can the Houston defense make this rematch different?
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
January 16, 2025
Commanders at Lions: DVOA Preview
Hide your punters and get out your abacuses out, because we're going deep into the stats on a game with a 55.5-point over/under.
Bryan Knowles
NFL
DVOA
January 13, 2025
Vikings vs. Rams: DVOA Preview
Can a blitzing Vikings defense get to Matthew Stafford, who excelled at getting the ball out quick against blitzes this season? They didn't in Week 8.
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
January 10, 2025
Aaron Schatz: My 2024 All-Pro Ballot
From the Ravens offense to the Eagles line and the Broncos defenders, Aaron Schatz explains his All-Pro votes for 2024.
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
January 10, 2025
Commanders at Buccaneers: DVOA Preview
Offenses should rule the day in this close NFC playoff matchup, with both Jayden Daniels and Baker Mayfield among the year's best quarterbacks.
Bryan Knowles
NFL
DVOA
January 10, 2025
Packers at Eagles: DVOA Preview
The powerful Packers offense hasn't been quite as good against their best opponents, which is a problem against the NFL's No. 1 defense.
Bryan Knowles
NFL
DVOA
January 10, 2025
Broncos at Bills: DVOA Preview
The Broncos are back in the playoffs, but they've got a tough draw as the Buffalo Bills try to finally get over the hump and win a title.
Bryan Knowles
NFL
DVOA
January 9, 2025
Steelers at Ravens: DVOA Preview
The Ravens and Steelers split their season series but DVOA says the Ravens were the best team in the league this year, a clear favorite on Saturday night.
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
January 9, 2025
Chargers at Texans: DVOA Preview
The Texans won the AFC South by default, with a poor offense lifted by a strong defense. Can they score enough points to beat the wild-card Chargers?
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
January 8, 2025
Eighth Annual Joe Thomas Draft
What if the playoff teams could grab the best players from the other 18 teams, so we could see the best players in the NFL in the postseason?
Bryan Knowles
NFL
DVOA
January 2, 2025
Cornerback Coverage DVOA Weeks 1-17
Here's another update on our coverage DVOA for cornerbacks, showing why Patrick Surtain is a leading DPOY candidate.
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
January 2, 2025
Down with the Frickin’ Asterisk
Brock Bowers took two extra games to break Mike Ditka's rookie record? Saquon Barkley would need a 17th game to break records? Yeah, we don't care.
Bryan Knowles
NFL
DVOA
December 26, 2024
FTN’s 2024 All-Rookie Team
From Jayden Daniels to Brian Thomas to Tarheeb Still, we're looking at the best of the 2024 rookie class in the NFL.
Bryan Knowles
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