MLB Prop Tool
FTN MLB Player Prop Tool
What Is the FTN MLB Player Prop Tool?
The FTN MLB Player Prop tool is a brand new way to assist bettors with OVER/UNDER prop betting. It compiles the betting odds for nearly every MLB player prop from a variety of legal sportsbooks available in your respective state and displays it all on one page. This way, you’re able to ensure you get the best possible odds for any player prop you wager on and also see past results from previous weeks to see how the respective player fared.
Past results, odds comparison and line shopping for MLB player props are vital ways of ensuring profitability long-term. Just like shopping at the grocery store, why pay more for the same product elsewhere? Let FTN MLB Player Prop tool be your guide.
How to use the MLB Prop Tool
Understanding what you’re looking at and how to use the MLB Prop Tool is important.
- Book Selection: The prop tool displays odds from the following books: DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers,, and Bet365. The prop tool will display the best available odds of the books you’ve selected to use. So if you have an account at 4 of the 6 books, you can hide odds from the other 2.
- Prop Dropdown: Choose the props you want to look at. The tool will show you all props by default, but if you only want to look at rushing yards, for example, you can select that in the dropdown.
- Event: Choose the matchup you want to look at. The tool will display props from all games by default, but you can also look at a specific matchup.
The table below is where you will find all the props. By default, the tool sorts the props by showing the top edges at the top of the list. The edge % is based on the players’ projections from our simulation model, the prop line, and the vig. The higher the edge, the stronger our recommendation to make the bet. Here is some more detail on each column in the player props tool
- Line: The line is what the player needs to hit (or not hit) when betting on props. Let’s say you bet a player to go over 50.5 rushing yards. If the player exceeds 50.5 yards, the bet wins. If the player has fewer rushing yards, then the bet loses. The line will also include a vig. See below for more information on vig
- Proj: The projection column displays the projection our model has for the given stat. The model simulates every game 10,000 times, and then takes the median value for all player projections in the simulations. So when our projection says a player is projected 250 passing yards, that means 250 was the median value for passing yards in our 10,000 projections.
- Edge: The edge percentage will help guide whether we think it’s a strong bet or not. The edge is calculated by comparing the line to our projection. The higher the edge%, the stronger the bet.
- 20%+ = Strong Confidence Play
- 15-20% = Medium Confidence play
- 0-10% = Low Confidence Play
- Negative% = No Play
- Expected Value: In betting, the expected value (EV) is the measure of what a bettor can expect to win or lose per bet placed on the same odds time and time again. A positive expected value (+EV) implies profit over time, while a negative value (-EV) implies a loss over time.
Please note that when you are using the prop tool, it is important to consider a team’s injury report. We cannot predict injuries, so the simulations will typically assume a questionable guy will play. However, if a team’s star player is questionable and gets ruled out, that will have a major impact on the rest of the team’s projections. So we recommend avoiding props when we are still waiting on injury news.
Understanding MLB Player Prop Odds
In order to bet on MLB player prop odds, you first need to understand what the betting odds are and lines mean. The numbers listed beside each player can be overwhelming to comprehend for novice bettors so FTN will help you understand these betting lines and how they’re compiled. This will enable you to utilize and take advantage of FTN Player Prop tool.
Every day during the MLB season, sportsbooks will use recent data to generate a potential statistical outcome for every player. The data that can impact these odds could be recent play, upcoming matchup, weather, injuries and statistical trends.
With quarterbacks, the most common O/U player prop is passing yards. For running backs, it’s rushing yards. For wide receivers, it’s receiving yards. Oddsmakers have a variety of statistics and data to harvest in an attempt to generate a betting line that’s as close to a 50-50 decision for the bettor. The decision for the bettor is whether the player will go OVER or UNDER the respective statistic.
MLB Player Prop Odds
MLB props, or propositions, are the latest craze in sports betting as they are considered a “game within a game” and don’t necessarily impact the final result. Some of the most popular betting props are for individual players and usually are statistical in nature, like how many catches a respective wide receiver will have in a game or how many yards a quarterback will throw for. Similar to totals, bettors can wager on these props with an OVER or UNDER option.
This is just the tip of the iceberg for MLB player prop odds and we’d recommend checking out the “Prop Shop” with FTN to see all the different markets available for key players. Another added bonus of the Prop Shop is it also offers an odds comparison tool to see which sportsbooks are offering better odds for a certain prop. It’s imperative for bettors to shop around and get the best value when betting on the MLB
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