FTN NFL Player Prop Tool

What Is the FTN NFL Player Prop Tool?

The FTN NFL Player Prop tool is a brand new way to assist bettors with OVER/UNDER prop betting. It compiles the betting odds for nearly every NFL player prop from a variety of legal sportsbooks available in your respective state and displays it all on one page. This way, you’re able to find the bets our model is leaning towards, while ensuring you get the best possible odds for any player prop you wager on and also see past results from previous weeks to see how the respective player fared.

How to use the NFL Prop Tool

Understanding what you’re looking at and how to use the NFL Prop Tool is important.

• Book Selection: The prop tool displays odds from the following books: DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers,, and Bet365. The prop tool will display the best available odds of the books you’ve selected to use. So if you have an account at 4 of the 6 books, you can hide odds from the other 2.
• Prop Dropdown: Choose the props you want to look at. The tool will show you all props by default, but if you only want to look at rushing yards, for example, you can select that in the dropdown.
• Event: Choose the matchup you want to look at. The tool will display props from all games by default, but you can also look at a specific matchup.

The table below is where you will find all the props. By default, the tool sorts the props by showing the top edges at the top of the list. The edge % is based on the players’ projections from our simulation model, the prop line, and the vig. The higher the edge, the stronger our recommendation to make the bet. Here is some more detail on each column in the player props tool

• Line: The line is what the player needs to hit (or not hit) when betting on props. Let’s say you bet a player to go over 50.5 rushing yards. If the player exceeds 50.5 yards, the bet wins. If the player has fewer rushing yards, then the bet loses. The line will also include a vig. See below for more information on vig
• Proj: The projection column displays the projection our model has for the given stat. The model simulates every game 10,000 times, and then takes the median value for all player projections in the simulations. So when our projection says a player is projected 250 passing yards, that means 250 was the median value for passing yards in our 10,000 projections.
• Edge: The edge percentage will help guide whether we think it’s a strong bet or not. The edge is calculated by comparing the line to our projection. The higher the edge%, the stronger the bet.
  • 20%+ = Strong  Confidence Play
  • 15-20% = Medium Confidence play
  • 0-10% = Low Confidence Play
  • Negative% = No Play
• Expected Value: In betting, the expected value (EV) is the measure of what a bettor can expect to win or lose per bet placed on the same odds time and time again. A positive expected value (+EV) implies profit over time, while a negative value (-EV) implies a loss over time.

Please note that when you are using the prop tool, it is important to consider a team’s injury report. We cannot predict injuries, so the simulations will typically assume a questionable guy will play. However, if a team’s star player is questionable and gets ruled out, that will have a major impact on the rest of the team’s projections. So we recommend avoiding props when we are still waiting on injury news.

What does -110 odds mean in sports betting?

-110 odds is a common betting line for sports betting and is mainly found with game spreads and totals. It’s also used quite frequently for NFL O/U player props.

In order to wager on NFL player props, bettors need to understand what the odds mean beside each betting option. For most O/U props, sportsbooks like to use -110 odds on either side. These are American odds and any number with a minus sign (-) in front of it implies what you’d have to wager in order to win $100 in profit. For -110 odds, a bettor would need to wager $110 to win $100 in profits.

Let’s say you’re considering Justin Fields O/U passing yards prop at 224.5 yards. Sportsbooks have listed the O/U odds at -110 on each side as oddsmakers have determined this yardage marker is the closest to a 50-50 bet on each side. Sportsbooks list it at -110 instead of +100 because they take a minor fee from each bet wagered, which is also known as “vig”. Don’t be alarmed. This is a very common occurrence by sportsbooks.

If you think Fields will throw 225 yards or more and you decide to bet $110 on the OVER at -110, you’d get $210 returned to your sportsbook betting account – your $110 original bet is returned along with $100 reward for making the correct pick.

NFL Player Prop Odds

NFL props, or propositions, are the latest craze in sports betting as they are considered a “game within a game” and don’t necessarily impact the final result. Some of the most popular betting props are for individual players and usually are statistical in nature, like how many catches a respective wide receiver will have in a game or how many yards a quarterback will throw for. Similar to totals, bettors can wager on these props with an OVER or UNDER option.

This is just the tip of the iceberg for NFL player prop odds and we’d recommend checking out the “Prop Shop” with FTN to see all the different markets available for key players. Another added bonus of the Prop Shop is it also offers an odds comparison tool to see which sportsbooks are offering better odds for a certain prop. It’s imperative for bettors to shop around and get the best value when betting on the NFL

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Lines and odds subject to change. See details at sportsbook.draftkings.com.