Fantasy Football Start/Sit: Week 16

My Christmas list is to stuff a bunch of my readers’ stockings with some fantasy championships this year. And hopefully my Start and Sit column for Week 15 can help make that happen with calls on all of your most difficult lineup decisions.

The positional rankings and projected fantasy point totals rely on half-PPR scoring. The listed start/sit calls assume a 12-team league with 2 running back, 3 wide receiver, 1 tight end and 1 flex starting lineup spots. If your league is different, I recommend you start my higher ranked players over my lower ranked players.

You can find my weekly rankings and those of other FTN writers here.

Fantasy Football Start/Sit: Week 16

Quarterbacks

6. Brock Purdy, SF vs. BLT: 27.8-275-1.72-0.50 and 2.1-8-0.10 = 18.3
7. Justin Fields, CHI vs. ARZ: 31.2-209-1.51-0.87 and 7.9-40-0.16 = 17.6
8. Kyler Murray, ARZ at CHI: 36.2-234-1.30-0.80 and 4.9-26-0.31 = 17.5

9. Tua Tagovailoa, MIA vs. DAL

32.8-281-1.71-0.72 and 1.4-3-0.04 = 17.1

Tua Tagovailoa has averaged a quiet 247 yards and 1.0 touchdowns per game the last four weeks. But I’m not ready to knock him from my top 10 fantasy quarterbacks. Much of Tua’s fantasy fade has been a result of slipping to an extremely low 27.8 pass attempts per game in that recent stretch. And I blame that on a handful of extremely run-friendly gamescripts in multi-score blowouts of the Jets, Commanders and Jets again. The Dolphins are better equipped to blow out their opponents than most other teams, and the Cowboys have played dramatically worse on the road than at home. But I still project some massive positive regression to 32.8 pass attempts in Week 16. And I would keep Tua in my fantasy lineups.

10. Jordan Love, GB at CAR

34.6-240-1.80-0.80 and 2.3-13-0.07 = 16.9

The Packers have picked an unfortunate time to lose back-to-back games, and Jordan Love has picked an unfortunate time in the fantasy season to average a modest 251 yards and 1.5 touchdowns those last two weeks. But over the broader season, Love ranks second among quarterbacks with 94 red zone pass attempts. And I trust him to produce passing touchdowns more than I trust some Johnny-come-lately’s like Joe Flacco and Baker Mayfield.

11. Trevor Lawrence, JAX at TB

35.8-256-1.36-0.72 and 3.0-14-0.15 = 16.6

Trevor Lawrence has rebounded from some early-season poor stolen touchdown luck to average 2.6 combined passing and rushing touchdowns over his last five games. If he plays, then you should start him in fantasy. Just make sure he clears concussion protocol before you lock him into your lineups Sunday.

12. Russell Wilson, DEN vs. NE

29.7-205-1.66-0.59 and 4.2-18-0.18 = 16.5

Russell Wilson has slipped from his 1.9 passing touchdown average from his first 10 games to just 1.3 per game over the last four weeks. But he’s replaced those lost passing touchdowns with three rushing scores. And fantasy players can’t hate that tradeoff. Keep rolling the veteran out there in fantasy, even if he’s on his head coach Sean Payton’s naughty list.

13. Matthew Stafford, LA vs. NO

35.3-259-1.69-0.71 and 1.1-4-0.04 = 16.4

Matthew Stafford slipped from his recent exceptional fantasy productivity with 258 yards and two touchdowns in Week 15 against the Commanders. But as someone whose projections peer back to the first half of the season when he averaged just 1.0 touchdowns per week, those 258 yards and two touchdowns continued to build confidence. I have him projected 0.1 fantasy points shy of the fantasy starter benchmark. But I would happily start Stafford in fantasy this week.

14. Sam Howell, WAS at NYJ

38.8-259-1.47-1.09 and 2.4-15-0.14 = 16.4

Sam Howell has spurred his top-eight fantasy point total with 535 pass attempts, the most among all quarterbacks this season. But some recent poor efficiency may threaten that volume. Last week, Ron Rivera benched Howell and saw backup Jacoby Brissett throw a pair of late touchdowns. I am projecting Howell to start and play the full Week 15. But it is probably for the best that he is outside my fantasy QB1 tier. He likely isn’t worth the risk to start in your fantasy playoffs.

15. Jake Browning, CIN at PIT

32.6-267-1.30-0.75 and 2.4-10-0.13 = 16.2

Jake Browning has certainly exceeded my expectations as the No. 6 fantasy quarterback over the last four weeks. But I wouldn’t want to test how much is Browning and how much was Ja’Marr Chase, with the star receiver poised to miss this week and likely more with a separated shoulder. Leave Browning on your benches on the road in Pittsburgh Saturday.

16. Baker Mayfield, TB vs. JAX

32.6-232-1.66-0.55 and 2.0-6-0.07 = 15.9

Baker Mayfield throws four touchdowns in one game, and now suddenly he’s better than Tom Brady? I’m used to some pretty egregious public small sample theater, but this is another level. Never mind four touchdowns, Mayfield has thrown three or more touchdowns in just 10 of his 83 professional starts, on average about twice per season. Meanwhile, everyone’s favorite punching bag Justin Herbert has thrown three or more touchdowns in 19 of his 62 professional starts. Do not play Mayfield in your fantasy championships.

17. Geno Smith, SEA at TEN: 34.1-247-1.40-0.75 and 2.0-6-0.05 = 14.9
18. Gardner Minshew, IND at ATL: 35.7-241-1.32-0.71 and 2.1-4-0.16 = 14.9
19. Jared Goff, DET at MIN: 34.6-259-1.32-0.69 and 1.5-1-0.08 = 14.8
20. Joe Flacco, CLV at HST: 38.4-260-1.54-1.08 and 1.4-1-0.03 = 14.7
21. Taylor Heinicke, ATL vs. IND: 32.1-231-1.09-0.74 and 2.8-16-0.07 = 14.2
22. Derek Carr, NO at LA: 34.5-239-1.35-0.55 and 1.4-2-0.02 = 14.1

Running Backs

18. Devin Singletary, HST vs. CLV: 15.6-67-0.45 and 3.3-2.5-18-0.07 = 12.9
19. Jahmyr Gibbs, DET at MIN: 10.4-59-0.36 and 4.6-3.6-23-0.11 = 12.9
20. Breece Hall, NYJ vs. WAS: 11.8-49-0.20 and 5.6-4.4-36-0.15 = 12.8
21. Chuba Hubbard, CAR vs. GB: 16.8-65-0.47 and 3.1-2.7-17-0.05 = 12.7
22. Kenneth Walker, SEA at TEN: 13.8-56-0.58 and 2.9-2.3-19-0.06 = 12.5
23. Josh Jacobs, LV at KC: 17.9-62-0.54 and 3.0-2.1-16-0.05 = 12.4
24. Saquon Barkley, NYG at PHI: 15.0-62-0.36 and 3.6-2.6-17-0.12 = 12.0
25. D’Andre Swift, PHI vs. NYG: 14.2-65-0.43 and 2.6-2.1-12-0.07 = 11.7
26. Austin Ekeler, LAC vs. BUF: 9.8-36-0.45 and 4.9-3.3-28-0.14 = 11.5
27. Gus Edwards, BLT at SF: 14.4-59-0.72 and 1.1-0.9-7-0.02 = 11.5
28. Aaron Jones, GB at CAR: 11.0-48-0.30 and 4.3-3.1-24-0.16 = 11.4

29. Jaylen Warren, PIT vs. CIN

9.7-52-0.21 and 4.6-3.7-24-0.07 = 11.1

I had given up on new offensive coordinator Keith Faulkner moving the Steelers backfield needle after Jaylen Warren saw the same 40-53% snap shares to start December that he had with Matt Canada calling plays. But last week, Warren jumped to a season high 69% snap share and tied his season high with six targets. And now I’m thinking that Warren has a slightly higher upside.

30. Brian Robinson, WAS at NYJ

12.7-53-0.36 and 2.2-1.8-17-0.07 = 10.5

Brian Robinson’s Week 15 injury absence hasn’t affected my projection for his carry and target shares. He’s slipped to 30th at the position this week because backs like Josh Jacobs and Aaron Jones have returned to their lineups and jumped him. But Robinson has a hamstring injury, and those can sometimes keep backs out for multiple weeks. Check the early Sunday injury reports before you lock him in your fantasy lineups.

31. Javonte Williams, DEN vs. NE

13.5-50-0.24 and 3.5-2.8-15-0.11 = 10.0

Javonte Williams has secured his flex status with consistent 50%-plus snap shares. But despite his touchdown run in Week 14 and healthy 32 red zone carries, the third-year back has a modest 3 carries inside the 5-yard line this season. His low touchdown total isn’t a fluke.

32. Jerome Ford, CLV at HST

11.2-46-0.19 and 4.2-3.0-18-0.11 = 9.8

Jerome Ford should be a major beneficiary of Joe Flacco’s likely pass attempts regression. But I don’t think a balanced Browns offense will suddenly make Ford an RB2 despite his now consistent 50%-plus snap shares. The sophomore back has just three touchdowns this season, and I don’t think that’s bad luck. Kareem Hunt has outcarried Ford 25-11 in the red zone and 10-3 inside the 5-yard line.

33. Ty Chandler, MIN vs. DET

11.8-53-0.28 and 2.3-1.8-12-0.04 = 9.4

Ty Chandler demonstrated his fitness to be a bell-cow back with an 81% snap share, 26 touches and 157 yards in Week 15 with normal starter Alexander Mattison out injured. If Mattison misses another week, then Chandler should vault to RB2 status. But even if Mattison plays, I see Chandler as a Week 16 flex starter. Vikings head coach Kevin O’Connell told reporters that Chandler would see a “featured role in our offense” this week. And while I am too jaded a fantasy writer to equate his “featured” to the fantasy term “featured,” I am projecting Chandler for a 46.5% versus 38.5% carry share advantage and a share that is tied for 24th at the position this week.

34. Najee Harris, PIT vs. CIN

11.8-47-0.30 and 2.4-1.8-11-0.06 = 8.8

Jaylen Warren’s Week 15 maybe-ascension isn’t tremendous news for Najee Harris’ fantasy prospects. But the former first-round pick still outcarried his teammate 12-10. And even with the sudden snap share skew, that might be Harris’ floor. Their 30-13 blowout loss put the Steelers in a pass-friendly gamescript that better suited Warren’s skill set. If they can keep things closer against the Bengals this week, then Harris could reasonably return to his previous back-end flex value.

35. Tyjae Spears, TEN vs. SEA

6.5-30-0.14 and 4.5-3.3-24-0.09 = 8.4

Did it hurt my feelings that Tyjae Spears saw just one target in Week 15 after I called him the Titans’ version of Jahmyr Gibbs to Derrick Henry’s David Montgomery? It did. But Spears still has 43 touches the last three weeks and has still played 50% or more snaps those three weeks. He’s below my Week 16 flex benchmark but only just.

36. Antonio Gibson, WAS at NYJ

3.7-15-0.10 and 4.8-4.1-33-0.15 = 8.3

Brian Robinson’s availability in Week 16 may mean less for Antonio Gibson than you would expect. With Robinson out last week, Gibson saw just 4 carries versus 10 for his Day 3 rookie teammate Chris Rodriguez. But Gibson still threatens flex starter value with a 10% target share that is tied for 23rd among running backs this season.

37. Alexander Mattison, MIN vs. DET: 10.5-41-0.26 and 1.6-1.1-7-0.07 = 7.4
38. Kareem Hunt, CLV at HST: 10.0-33-0.42 and 1.3-1.0-7-0.03 = 7.2
39. AJ Dillon, GB at CAR: 9.3-33-0.26 and 1.8-1.4-12-0.03 = 7.0
40. D’Onta Foreman, CHI vs. ARZ: 9.1-37-0.30 and 1.4-1.0-7-0.03 = 6.9
41. Justice Hill, BLT at SF: 6.6-29-0.22 and 1.9-1.5-9-0.03 = 6.1
42. Samaje Perine, DEN vs. NE: 3.3-15-0.09 and 2.8-2.5-23-0.07 = 6.0
43. Tyler Allgeier, ATL vs. IND: 9.4-33-0.24 and 1.1-0.8-6-0.02 = 5.8
44. Zach Charbonnet, SEA at TEN: 6.6-28-0.19 and 1.8-1.4-9-0.03 = 5.8
45. Roschon Johnson, CHI vs. ARZ: 4.5-20-0.12 and 2.9-2.4-15-0.07 = 5.8
46. Zack Moss, IND at ATL: 6.1-26-0.20 and 1.5-1.1-8-0.04 = 5.4
47. Chase Brown, CIN at PIT: 5.5-24-0.14 and 1.4-1.2-10-0.04 = 5.0
48. Rico Dowdle, DAL at MIA: 6.3-25-0.20 and 1.2-1.0-6-0.04 = 5.0
49. Miles Sanders, CAR vs. GB: 6.8-25-0.17 and 1.5-1.0-6-0.02 = 4.7
50. Jamaal Williams, NO at LA: 6.3-23-0.23 and 1.0-0.8-5-0.02 = 4.6
51. Cordarrelle Patterson, ATL vs. IND: 4.1-17-0.12 and 2.0-1.5-10-0.07 = 4.6
52. Jerick McKinnon, KC vs. LV: 1.6-6-0.05 and 2.7-2.1-17-0.17 = 4.6

Wide Receivers

21. Chris Olave, NO at LA: 8.7-5.4-69-0.35 = 11.7
22. Amari Cooper, CLV at HST: 8.6-4.6-73-0.33 = 11.7
23. DK Metcalf, SEA at TEN: 7.4-4.1-65-0.44 = 11.2
24. Drake London, ATL vs. IND: 7.5-5.1-66-0.31 = 11.0
25. Adam Thielen, CAR vs. GB: 7.9-5.9-57-0.36 = 10.9
26. Courtland Sutton, DEN vs. NE: 6.3-4.3-57-0.46 = 10.6
27. Jayden Reed, GB at CAR: 6.9-4.6-50-0.40 = 10.5
28. Garrett Wilson, NYJ vs. WAS: 9.1-5.2-58-0.31 = 10.4
29. Curtis Samuel, WAS at NYJ: 7.0-5.1-51-0.37 = 10.3
30. Terry McLaurin, WAS at NYJ: 8.1-4.8-61-0.29 = 10.2
31. Jordan Addison, MIN vs. DET: 5.9-4.0-53-0.42 = 9.9

32. Tee Higgins, CIN at PIT

7.2-4.0-55-0.35 = 9.7

I’m not sure how much was his recovery and how much was Ja’Marr Chase’s shoulder injury. But Tee Higgins had his first great fantasy game (61 yards and two touchdowns) since his Week 13 return to the Bengals lineup. And he played more than 85% of snaps for the first time since the first three weeks before he suffered his initial rib injury this season. I don’t have him in his traditional WR2 range even with Chase out for Week 16. But I am ready to trust Higgins again in my fantasy lineups.

33. Chris Godwin, TB vs. JAX

7.5-4.7-56-0.25 = 9.5

Chris Godwin has mirrored Mike Evans with 14 red zone targets compared to 15 this season. And yet in a game with four Baker Mayfield touchdowns, Godwin saw 12 targets and produced 155 yards but did not score. My faith in the positive regression powers of his position-leading 3.33 expected touchdown shortfall may be wavering a smidge. But that doesn’t matter for your realistic fantasy decisions. With the recent target boom, I am projecting Godwin for a 24.0% target share that is tied for 22nd this week with Puka Nacua and Rashee Rice. Continue to start the veteran Bucs receiver.

34. Noah Brown, HST vs. CLV

6.0-3.8-59-0.26 = 9.3

My head is swimming from the seemingly countless combinations of healthy Texans receivers this season. But Noah Brown has at least excelled as both the lead receiver in Week 15 (8-82-1) and as a second or third receiver in Weeks 9 and 10 (6-153-1 and 7-172-0). And that spurs enough confidence for me to start him in Week 16 even assuming normal No. 1 receiver Nico Collins plays and exceptional rookie quarterback C.J. Stroud does not.

35. Tyler Lockett, SEA at TEN

6.9-4.6-50-0.32 = 9.3

If Tyler Lockett finally declined on the wrong side of 30 years old, it is only barely. With his 732 yards in 14 games this season, Lockett is on pace to fall just 11 yards short of what would be his sixth straight season with at least 900 receiving yards. Especially if Geno Smith can play in Week 16, continue to keep Lockett in your fantasy lineups.

36. Zay Flowers, BLT at SF

6.5-4.6-49-0.27 = 9.0

Zay Flowers picked a bad week for a one-catch, 7-yard letdown in the start of many fantasy playoffs in Week 15. But even after that letdown, the rookie receiver ranks top 25 at his position with a 23% target share this season. Don’t overthink things in a difficult matchup in the road in San Francisco. Flowers is a clear fantasy starter.

37. Diontae Johnson, PIT vs. CIN

 7.2-4.1-49-0.30 = 8.8

The world may have doubted if Diontae Johnson would ever score another touchdown. But with 20 red zone targets in 2022, Johnson racked up a 6.87 expected touchdown shortfall that was the highest among wide receivers. And he’s regressed positively with a touchdown each of the last three weeks and four touchdowns total in 10 games this season. He doesn’t enjoy the same top-10 target volume he had with better quarterback play in previous season. But Johnson is a definite flex starter.

38. George Pickens, PIT vs. CIN

6.2-3.5-55-0.22 = 8.6

Jaylen Warren may offer some hope that things could change for the talented sophomore receiver. But George Pickens has continued his split of 89 yards per game with Diontae Johnson out and 46 yards per game with Johnson healthy this season. Pickens clears my flex starter threshold, but I wouldn’t have too high of expectations.

39. Jakobi Meyers, LV at KC

5.8-4.0-44-0.33 = 8.5

Jakobi Meyers got in on the fun of the Raiders’ 63-point outburst against the Chargers with both a passing and a receiving touchdown last Thursday night. But the veteran receiver has declined markedly from a 26% target share in five Jimmy Garoppolo starts to a 15% target share in seven Aidan O’Connell starts that ties him for just 60th among wide receivers.

40. Demario Douglas, NE at DEN

6.5-4.2-49-0.19 = 8.2

I put a lot of stock in Demario Douglas’ steady increase from an 8% snap share in Week 2 to 24%, 33%, 62%, 72%, 83% and 73% snap shares in his previous five healthy games. But while the rookie returned from his concussion in Week 15 and played his new standard 72% of snaps, he saw a modest five targets versus nine for Hunter Henry, six for Ezekiel Elliott, and five for DeVante Parker. Douglas may be the No. 1 wide receiver I thought he was. But I fear that may mean less featured of a target share than I expected. I am projecting Douglas for a 20.0% target share in Week 16 that ranks just 36th at his position. And I would bench him in typical fantasy formats.

41. Joshua Palmer, LAC vs. BUF

5.4-3.5-50-0.24 = 8.1

Joshua Palmer made a fantasy mark with 113 yards and a touchdown in his return from injured reserve in Week 15. But the maybe-new No. 1 Chargers receiver saw a modest four targets. Easton Stick was always a long shot to match his predecessor Justin Herbert’s often position-leading pass attempts total. But Stick threw just 32 passes despite the pass-friendliest of gamescripts in a 63-21 blowout loss to the Raiders. And I am projecting Stick for a bottom-third total of 33.0 pass attempts in Week 16, which costs Palmer his previous flex status. 

42. Jaxon Smith-Njigba, SEA at TEN

6.1-4.1-43-0.26 = 7.9

Jaxon Smith-Njigba showed some versatility as an outside receiver in his game-winning touchdown catch over the Eagles Monday night. But even if he’s developed as a player in his three months as a professional receiver, JSN remains stuck in an unfriendly fantasy situation as a No. 3 receiver behind a talented top two of DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett. I am projecting Smith-Njigba for a 19.0% target share that ties him for 41st at his position this week. And I would leave him on my fantasy benches.

43. Brandin Cooks, DAL at MIA

5.1-3.3-43-0.28 = 7.8

Brandin Cooks will likely always be a streaky receiver with the deep speed that spurs his explosive touchdown catches. But given his broader team’s trends, I can’t shake that Cooks has averaged 67 yards and 0.67 touchdowns per game at home versus 20 yards and 0.14 touchdowns per game on the road. And I wouldn’t want to risk my fantasy championship with a Cooks start on the road in Miami.

44. Romeo Doubs, GB at CAR: 5.7-3.5-39-0.34 = 7.7
45. Odell Beckham, BLT at SF: 5.5-3.0-45-0.27 = 7.6
46. Jerry Jeudy, DEN vs. NE: 5.4-3.5-46-0.21 = 7.6
47. Elijah Moore, CLV at HST: 6.7-3.7-41-0.22 = 7.4
48. Josh Downs, IND at ATL: 5.6-3.8-42-0.20 = 7.3
49. Tyler Boyd, CIN at PIT: 5.7-3.9-40-0.21 = 7.2
50. Gabe Davis, BUF at LAC: 4.6-2.6-40-0.31 = 7.2
51. Marquise Brown, ARZ at CHI: 6.8-3.4-39-0.25 = 7.1
52. Dontayvion Wicks, GB at CAR: 4.9-3.1-43-0.17 = 6.9
53. Jahan Dotson, WAS at NYJ: 5.3-3.2-35-0.28 = 6.8
54. Jonathan Mingo, CAR vs. GB: 7.1-3.5-37-0.17 = 6.5
55. DeVante Parker, NE at DEN: 5.0-3.1-39-0.16 = 6.5
56. Wan’Dale Robinson, NYG at PHI: 4.7-3.8-33-0.15 = 6.4
57. Demarcus Robinson, LA vs. NO: 4.2-2.6-32-0.24 = 6.0

Tight Ends

8. Jake Ferguson, DAL at MIA: 6.2-4.3-46-0.41 = 9.3
9. Cole Kmet, CHI vs. ARZ: 6.1-4.9-43-0.37 = 8.9
10. Taysom Hill, NO at LA: 2.5-1.9-17-0.12 = 8.9

11. Dalton Kincaid, BUF at LAC

6.6-5.4-44-0.29 = 8.9

You might could reasonably dismiss Dalton Kincaid’s two-target shutout in Week 15 as one bad fantasy week. The Bills had a clear plan to run the ball versus the Cowboys. And even the best tight ends have dud weeks from time to time. But Kincaid saw his fantasy breakout from Week 7 to 12 with his tight end teammate Dawson Knox mostly injured. And with Knox back the last two weeks, Kincaid has slipped to a 20% target share that is tied for 11th among tight ends. I wouldn’t bench the talented rookie. But I wouldn’t assume he’s a top-five fantasy tight end, either.

12. Isaiah Likely, BLT at SF

5.4-3.8-44-0.27 = 7.9

Isaiah Likely scared me with his modest one catch for 4 yards in Week 1 with Mark Andrews sidelined. But since Andrews went out for the year in Week 12, Likely has seen 6 or 7 targets and played at least 73% of snaps every week. He may not be Andrews, but Likely fills a similar role in the Ravens offense. He even has three red zone targets in as many weeks as the temporary starter. I think you can trust him as a fantasy TE1.

13. Kyle Pitts, ATL vs. IND

6.1-3.7-46-0.21 = 7.8

It apparently would take a Christmas miracle for Kyle Pitts to catch six passes or total 60 yards in a game. The former No. 4 draft pick has accomplished either feat since Week 5 in early October.

14. Hunter Henry, NE at DEN

5.5-3.8-39-0.33 = 7.8

It took too long for any of the teams that drafted him in fantasy to ride him to fantasy playoff berth. But Hunter Henry has finally shaken his tight end teammate Mike Gesicki and returned to the TE1 conversation. Gesicki has played 40% or fewer snaps each of the last four weeks. And Henry has 50 or more receiving yards in three of those last four weeks and a pair of touchdown catches. If you made your fantasy playoffs but need some sudden help at the position, you could do worse than Henry this weekend.

15. Dallas Goedert, PHI vs. NYG

5.9-4.2-43-0.21 = 7.7

Despite an identical 84% snap share four-catch, 30-yard receiving line, Dallas Goedert encouraged in his second game back from a broken forearm with a jump from four to nine targets. But now that every major Eagles skill player is healthy, I still believe the team has too many talented players for each to reach his fantasy ceiling. I am projecting Godert for a 19.5% target share that ties him for 11th among tight ends. And he fades from there in my rankings on an Eagles team that will likely lean more on the run against an overmatched Giants opponent.

16. Dalton Schultz, HST vs. CLV

5.2-3.5-40-0.34 = 7.7

Dalton Schultz returned from a two-week absence with a hamstring injury to play his typical 84% of snaps last Sunday. But facing a frightening Browns defense and likely without his normal quarterback starter C.J. Stroud, you should probably leave Schultz on your fantasy benches for one more week.

17. Darren Waller, NYG at PHI

5.3-3.7-40-0.21 = 7.1

Darren Waller saw a healthy six targets in his return from injured reserve in Week 15. But the oft-injured tight end played a modest 42% of snaps. And his new quarterback Tommy DeVito has averaged a modest 26.6 pass attempts per start that is dramatically down from even Daniel Jones’ 33.3-attempt average from the first four weeks this season. Feel free to include Waller in your underplayed DeVito DFS passing stacks. But I wouldn’t count on the veteran tight end in traditional fantasy this week.

18. Pat Freiermuth, PIT vs. CIN: 5.4-3.6-35-0.25 = 6.8
19. Tyler Conklin, NYJ vs. WAS: 5.3-3.7-39-0.14 = 6.5
20. Jonnu Smith, ATL vs. IND: 4.1-3.2-38-0.19 = 6.4
21. Gerald Everett, LAC vs. BUF: 4.3-3.2-29-0.25 = 6.0
22. Cade Otton, TB vs. JAX: 4.1-3.0-29-0.25 = 5.9
23. Chigoziem Okonkwo, TEN vs. SEA: 5.0-3.4-32-0.15 = 5.8
24. Logan Thomas, WAS at NYJ: 4.2-2.9-28-0.21 = 5.5
25. Tanner Hudson, CIN at PIT: 3.8-3.2-29-0.14 = 5.4
26. Tucker Kraft, GB at CAR: 3.8-2.6-28-0.18 = 5.2
27. Michael Mayer, LV at KC: 3.7-2.5-28-0.20 = 5.2
28. Tyler Higbee, LA vs. NO: 4.3-2.7-28-0.17 = 5.2
29. Noah Fant, SEA at TEN: 3.0-2.2-26-0.11 = 4.3
30. Tommy Tremble, CAR vs. GB: 2.8-2.0-17-0.19 = 3.8
31. Juwan Johnson, NO at LA: 3.0-1.9-19-0.17 = 3.8