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The Touchdown Regression Model: Week 1

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Touchdowns drive fantasy success and failure. And while there is a lot of noise in touchdown scoring, there is more than a fair bit of signal. Welcome to the Touchdown Regression Model. Each week, I will calculate expected touchdown totals based on where the field players throw, run and catch their touchdowns and use the corresponding expected touchdown surpluses and shortfalls to predict which players will score less and…

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