Dalton Kincaid DVOA, Advanced Stats, & Fantasy Rankings

The Athletic's Joe Buscaglia writes that Buffalo Bills tight end Dalton Kincaid has a bit of a buy-low, post-hype sleeper feel about him as he enters the 2025 season. Kincaid is fully healthy this offseason and is likely to take the team's advice to get stronger. The 25-year-old former 25th overall pick in 2023 out of Utah had lofty expectations going into last year after catching 73 passes for 673 yards and two touchdowns in his rookie campaign. He failed to meet those expectations last year, catching 44 passes for 448 yards and two TDs in 13 regular-season games. In addition to Kincaid, Buffalo is hoping receivers Keon Coleman and Curtis Samuel can build on their success from a year ago. The Bills spread things out as an offense in 2024, but Kincaid's knee injury didn't help his cause. Target him a a low-end TE1 in fantasy with upside for more in his third season.

Buffalo Bills tight end Dawson Knox said on Monday that fellow TE Dalton Kincaid (knee) was playing in the AFC Championship against the Kansas City Chiefs on Sunday on a torn PCL in his knee. In addition to that injury, Kincaid aggravated his other knee. "It's insane what he's played through," Knox said. This could help to explain why the 25-year-old second-year tight end had a disappointing sophomore campaign for Buffalo, catching just 44 passes for 448 yards and two touchdowns in 13 regular-season games after he had a 73-673-2 line in 16 games in 2023 in his rookie season. He caught only two of his four targets for 13 yards in the 32-29 loss to the Chiefs on Sunday and had a crucial drop with under two minutes left in the fourth quarter on fourth down that effectively ended Buffalo's season. If Kincaid can move past his knee injuries in 2025, he could be a nice TE sleeper in fantasy drafts this fall.

Buffalo Bills tight end Dalton Kincaid caught just two of his four targets for 13 yards during Sunday's AFC Championship loss to the Kansas City Chiefs. The second-year tight end had a costly drop as a pass from Josh Allen hit off his hands with less than two minutes remaining in the fourth quarter. While some of the blame could be placed on less-than-perfect ball placement from Allen, the bottom line is that Kincaid's drop resulted in a turnover on downs, giving the ball back to the Chiefs, who were able to run out the clock. The Utah product finishes his second year in the NFL with just 50 catches, 519 yards, and two touchdowns through 16 total games between the regular season and playoffs. The first-round pick has not yet lived up to his potential, and he'll likely rank outside the top 12 tight ends heading into 2025 fantasy drafts.