Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
Now updated with Monday Night Football.
The Denver Broncos easily beat the Carolina Panthers on Sunday, 28-14. It wasn’t even that close, since the Panthers scored their second touchdown with 18 seconds left in the fourth quarter. The Broncos got a great defensive performance and a good day from quarterback Bo Nix But they won the game despite, not because of, running back Javonte Williams
Williams averaged just 2.6 yards per carry against the run defense currently ranked 31st in DVOA. He also had just 2.0 yards per catch on four receptions. Put it all together, and based on current opponent adjustments Williams had one of the 10 worst running back games in our data going back to 1979.
As always, this could change as opponent adjustments change during the season. But it was pretty bad.
Williams’ runs included two carries stuffed at the goal line and two carries on third down that combined to lose two yards. Williams had a terrible day even though backup Jaleel McLaughlin was averaging 5.9 yards per carry on eight carries.
What’s remarkable about the list of the worst running back games is how few of them involved a lot of fumbles. Sure, Sidney Thornton of the Pittsburgh Steelers somehow fumbled four times on just six carries in a 1981 game against the Chiefs, but seven of the top dozen worst running back games by DYAR didn’t feature any fumbles, including Williams this week.
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam, quis nostrud exercitation ullamco laboris nisi ut aliquip ex ea commodo consequat. Duis aute irure dolor in reprehenderit in voluptate velit esse cillum dolore eu fugiat nulla pariatur. Excepteur sint occaecat cupidatat non proident, sunt in culpa qui officia deserunt mollit anim id est laborum. "Sed ut perspiciatis unde omnis iste natus error sit voluptatem accusantium doloremque laudantium, totam rem aperiam, eaque ipsa quae ab illo inventore veritatis et quasi architecto beatae vitae dicta sunt explicabo. Nemo enim ipsam voluptatem quia voluptas sit aspernatur aut odit aut fugit, sed quia consequuntur magni dolores eos qui ratione voluptatem sequi nesciunt. Neque porro quisquam est, qui dolorem ipsum quia dolor sit amet, consectetur, adipisci velit, sed quia non numquam eius modi tempora incidunt ut labore et dolore magnam aliquam quaerat voluptatem.
