Dvoa NFL Articles

NFL DVOA

December 11, 2023

Week 14 Quick Reads: Why Brock Purdy Is Like Randall Cunningham

Brock Purdy has easily been the most efficient quarterback in the NFL during the 2023 season. Purdy now leads all quarterbacks with 48.9% passing DVOA. He also leads quarterbacks in passing DYAR despite throwing fewer passes than most starters. That brings up the controversy about whether Purdy should be the MVP or not. Purdy is […]

Aaron Schatz

NFL DVOA

December 4, 2023

Week 13 Quick Reads: Big Seasons for Aiyuk and Hill

Tyreek Hill does not make our Quick Reads list of the top five wide receivers of Week 13. Neither does Brandon Aiyuk. Hill ends up eighth, thanks to one catch for a 6-yard loss and the opponent adjustments for playing the worst pass defense in the league, the Washington Commanders. Aiyuk is even lower, since […]

Aaron Schatz

NFL DVOA

November 27, 2023

Week 12 Quick Reads: Remaining Schedules

Before we got into the best and worst players of Week 12, I thought it would be fun to take a look at the remaining schedule strength for players. This should particularly be a help for fantasy football purposes. With that in mind, I looked at average defensive DVOA of opponents in Weeks 13-17, leaving […]

Aaron Schatz

NFL DVOA

November 20, 2023

Week 11 Quick Reads: Deep Cuts

You gotta be able to get the ball deep sometimes. Man does not live on checkdowns and short crosses alone. Brock Purdy got the ball deep on the way to being this week’s top quarterback by DYAR. Purdy currently leads the league in DVOA on deep passes, defined in the league play-by-play as passes of […]

Aaron Schatz

NFL DVOA

November 13, 2023

Week 10 Quick Reads: Another Impressive C.J. Stroud Joint

Updated Tuesday morning with Monday Night Football. None of this week’s best or worst players really stood out historically so I thought it would be a good week to take stock of the whole season. Which players have seen the biggest opponent adjustments so far? Remember that opponent adjustments aren’t based just on how good […]

Aaron Schatz

NFL DVOA

November 6, 2023

Week 9 Quick Reads: C.J. Stroud’s Record-Setting Afternoon

C.J. Stroud is having an incredible rookie season, but it hit its peak in yesterday’s game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Stroud had five touchdown passes and set a single-game rookie record with 470 passing yards, also leading a last-minute comeback for a 39-37 win. As you might suspect, Stroud also set records by our […]

Aaron Schatz

NFL DVOA

October 30, 2023

Week 8 Quick Reads: Will Levis and Great QB Debuts

Will Levis had an impressive debut at quarterback for the Tennessee Titans this week, with four touchdown passes. However, this game was not one of the best quarterback debuts in DVOA history because Levis played a bad pass defense (Atlanta) and had a low success rate of 29%. Most of his success came from the […]

Aaron Schatz

NFL DVOA

October 23, 2023

Week 7 Quick Reads: Big Weeks for Jackson and Mahomes

Now updated with Monday Night Football as of Tuesday 10am EDT. Lamar Jackson had a dominant performance on Sunday in a 38-6 victory over the Detroit Lions. Many analysts felt it was the best passing performance of his career. But by DYAR, it wasn’t even the best performance of the week. That belonged to Patrick […]

Aaron Schatz

NFL DVOA

October 16, 2023

Week 6 Quick Reads: A History of Mac Joneses

Mac Jones of the New England Patriots has a very strange career path. Jones was good as a rookie, very productive compared to other rookie quarterbacks. He ended the year with 6.1% passing DVOA, 13th that year among qualifying quarterbacks. By DYAR, Jones had the 10th-best passing season for any rookie in our database, back […]

Aaron Schatz

NFL DVOA

October 9, 2023

Week 5 Quick Reads: Stroud and Proud

Take a look at the passing DYAR stats for the first five games of the 2023 season and you’ll see some unexpected names at the top of the list. For example, Patrick Mahomes is only fourth, in part due to opponent adjustments for an easier schedule. Justin Herbert is only eighth. Jalen Hurts is 13th. […]

Aaron Schatz

NFL DVOA

October 2, 2023

Week 4 Quick Reads: Big Offense in Buffalo

Updated with Monday Night Football as of Tuesday 10:30 am EDT. Week 4 is the week I start introducing opponent adjustments to my numbers (at 40% strength) so this is a good time to look at which players have taken advantage of an easy schedule so far… or have been hurt by a tough schedule […]

Aaron Schatz

NFL DVOA

September 26, 2023

Week 3 Quick Reads: Off the Achane

Here’s a special delayed Quick Reads for Week 3, since I was off yesterday for the Jewish holiday of Yom Kippur. Just going to run the table of the best and worst DYAR with a couple of comments: As of now, De’Von Achane has the No. 4 best rookie running back game in DYAR history. […]

Aaron Schatz

NFL DVOA

September 18, 2023

Week 2 Quick Reads: The Tua Gap

Updated with Monday Night Football as of Tuesday 9:30 am EDT. Tua Tagovailoa of the Miami Dolphins had a good Week 2 game. It wasn’t a great game, although the Miami offense certainly looked unstoppable at times. Other times, the Patriots defense stopped them. Tagovailoa ended the week with 119 passing DYAR, ranked seventh among […]

Aaron Schatz

NFL DVOA

September 11, 2023

Week 1 Quick Reads: Tua’s Big Day

NOTE: Updated with Monday Night Football at 11am EDT. Welcome to Quick Reads! For readers who are new to my work and my stats, this is a weekly column where I will talk about the best and worst performances of the week according to my DYAR stats. That’s Defense-adjusted Yards Above Replacement, the “total” stat […]

Aaron Schatz