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Divisional Quick Reads: Lamar Jackson Runs Away With It

NFL DVOA
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Lamar Jackson had one of the best rushing games in DYAR history against the Houston Texans this weekend. He had 11 carries for 100 yards and two touchdowns against one of the top run defenses in the NFL this year. That’s worth 60 DYAR, the sixth-best rushing game by a quarterback. That’s good because frankly, Jackson did not have a good first half as a passer. Jackson had -39 passing DYAR with 1.6 net yards per pass in the first half and then 82 passing DYAR with 9.1 net yards per pass in the second half.

Top Quarterback Rushing Games by DYAR, 1981-2023
Rk Year Week Player Team CP/AT Yds TD Int Sk Runs Yds TD Total
DYAR
Pass
DYAR
Rush
DYAR
Opp
1 2022 9 J.Fields CHI 17/28 123 3 0 2 14 179 1 128 44 85 MIA
2 2002 13 M.Vick ATL 11/28 173 1 1 2 9 173 2 -4 -86 82 MIN
3 2000 1 D.Culpepper MIN 13/23 190 0 1 1 8 81 3 78 10 68 CHI
4 2012 DIV C.Kaepernick SF 17/31 263 2 1 1 14 183 2 150 87 63 GB
5 2012 6 R.Griffin WAS 17/22 182 1 1 1 11 140 2 98 36 61 MIN
6 2023 DIV L.Jackson BAL 16/22 152 2 0 3 11 100 2 103 43 60 HOU
7 2014 5 R.Wilson SEA 18/24 201 2 0 3 10 122 1 46 -13 59 WAS
8 2022 9 J.Allen BUF 18/34 205 0 2 5 9 86 2 -27 -86 59 NYJ
9 2014 7 R.Wilson SEA 23/36 313 2 0 3 7 106 1 190 132 58 STL
10 2010 15 M.Vick PHI 21/35 242 3 1 3 9 131 1 122 65 57 NYG
11 2022 3 L.Jackson BAL 18/29 218 4 1 4 8 110 1 165 108 57 NE
12 2020 14 L.Jackson BAL 11/16 163 1 0 4 9 124 2 113 57 56 CLE

For those curious, the best quarterback rushing game prior to 2000 belongs to Randall Cunningham in Week 9 of 1990 (8-124-1 for 50 DYAR vs. the Patriots).

Jackson had a great day as a runner and half a great day as a passer, but Patrick Mahomes had a whole game so he’s our top quarterback of the week by DYAR.

Quarterbacks
Rk Player Team CP/AT Yds TD INT Sacks Total
DYAR
Pass
DYAR
Rush
DYAR
Opp
1. Patrick Mahomes KC 17/23 215 2 0 0 169 163 6 BUF
Mahomes only had 2.8 net yards per pass on third down, but he only had to throw a pass on third down four times.
2. Josh Allen BUF 26/39 186 1 0 0 121 102 20 KC
3. Jared Goff DET 30/43 287 2 0 2 106 99 8 TB
Goff had 4 passing DYAR and 4.1 net yards per pass in the first half, then 94 passing DYAR and 8.3 net yards per pass in the second half. Goff also had most of his value (80 passing DYAR, 7.5 net yards per pass) on first downs.
4. Lamar Jackson BAL 16/22 152 2 0 3 103 43 60 HOU
Jackson had just -29 passing DYAR and 3.4 net yards per pass on first downs.
5. C.J. Stroud HOU 20/33 175 0 0 0 65 69 -4 BAL
6. Brock Purdy SF 23/38 252 1 0 1 50 51 -2 GB
Purdy had 51 passing DYAR and 7.4 net yards per pass in the first half and then 0 passing DYAR with 5.5 net yards per pass in the second half.
7. Baker Mayfield TB 26/41 349 3 2 4 44 37 7 DET
Mayfield was worth 95 passing DYAR on first downs (9.4 net yards per pass) but -55 passing DYAR on second downs and -21 passing DYAR on third downs.
8. Jordan Love GB 21/34 194 2 2 0 38 64 -26 SF
Love had 71 passing DYAR and 7.5 net yards per pass in the first half, then -7 passing DYAR and 6.3 net yards per pass in the second half. (Net yards per pass numbers here include DPI flags.) Love’s negative rushing value here is all on the aborted pitch to Aaron Jones which is technically attributed to Love but wasn’t necessarily his fault.
Five Best Running Backs by DYAR
Rk Player Team Runs Rush
Yds
Rush
TD
Rec Rec
Yds
Rec
TD
Total
DYAR
Rush
DYAR
Rec
DYAR
Opp
1. Jahmyr Gibbs DET 9 74 1 4/4 40 0 62 41 21 TB
Gibbs gained at least 5 yrads on seven carries out of nine, with one of the other carries being four yards to convert second-and-3.
2. Rachaad White TB 9 55 0 4/5 36 1 55 21 34 DET
White converted third-and-long twice with receptions, including his touchdown.
3. Isiah Pacheco KC 15 97 1 1/1 14 0 40 30 10 BUF
Pacheco had four first downs and a touchdown, with seven carries of 6 or more yards.
4. Justice Hill BAL 13 66 0 2/2 11 0 20 11 10 HOU
5. Emanuel Wilson GB 4 16 0 1/1 11 0 13 4 9 SF
6. Christian McCaffrey SF 17 98 2 7/12 30 0 8 38 -30 GB
The weird thing here is McCaffrey’s very abnormal negative value on receptions, where he didn’t have one greater than 9 yards and had only one first-down conversion on 12 targets. He gained zero yards on seven targets: five incompletes and two 0-yard catches.
Worst Running Back by DYAR
Rk Player Team Runs Rush
Yds
Rush
TD
Rec Rec
Yds
Rec
TD
Total
DYAR
Rush
DYAR
Rec
DYAR
Opp
1. James Cook BUF 18 61 0 4/5 21 0 -9 -7 -2 KC
Five Best Wide Receivers and Tight Ends by DYAR
Rk Player Team Rec Att Yds Avg TD Total
DYAR
Opp
1. Travis Kelce KC 5 6 75 15.0 2 45 BUF
All five of Kelce’s catches earned a first down or a touchdown.
2. Mike Evans TB 8 12 147 18.4 1 44 DET
Evans would be at 54 YAR without opponent adjustments. He had six catches of 15 or more yards, including the 24-yard gain on fourth-and-14 in the fourth quarter.
3. Bo Melton GB 1 1 19 19.0 1 40 SF
Melton had only two targets but they were a 19-yard touchdown and a 41-yard DPI gain that came on third-and-15.
4. Romeo Doubs GB 4 6 83 20.8 0 37 SF
This includes a 13-yard gain on DPI, one of three conversions for Doubs on third down with at least 6 yards to go (out of four opportunities).
5. Rashee Rice KC 4 4 47 11.8 0 24 BUF
This includes a questionable 3-yard Buffalo DPI that moved the chains on third-and-6, the only DPI committed this weekend by a team other than the 49ers.
6. Cade Otton TB 5 8 65 13.0 1 23 DET
Otton moved the chains five times, including the touchdown grab.
Worst Wide Receiver or Tight End by DYAR
Rk Player Team Rec Att Yds Avg TD Total
DYAR
Opp
1. Stefon Diggs BUF 3 8 21 7.0 0 -30 KC

There’s no adjustment here for dropping perfect deep passes, but Diggs had only one first down and fumbled on the Bills’ first drive.

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