2024 FTN NFL Power Rankings Through Week 15: Who Takes Over the Top Spot?
Daniel Kelley
Dvoa NFL Articles
NFL
DVOA
Our 2024 Pro Bowl Ballot: Defense
From Nik Bonitto and Patrick Surtain to Zack Baun and Cooper DeJean, the Broncos and Eagles feature strongly in our picks for the Pro Bowl on defense and special teams.
Bryan Knowles
NFL
DVOA
Our 2024 Pro Bowl Ballot: Offense
From Josh Allen to Ja'Marr Chase to the Eagles offensive line, we pick our ballot for the Pro Bowl offensive players.
Bryan Knowles
NFL
DVOA
Week 15 DVOA: Ravens Back on Top
The Lions are out of the top spot, but the Bills aren't in. Instead, DVOA likes the 9-5 Ravens the most. Let's go in depth on why that is.
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Week 15 Quick Reads: Middle of the Road
With Jared Goff leading all quarterbacks in value this week, we take a look at passing to the middle of the field: who does it most and who does it best? Plus, best and worst players of Week 15.
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
NFL Playoff Picture: Odds to Win Super Bowl LIX
Odds to Win Super Bowl LIX Revised as of 12/17/24, through Week 16 Compiled by Mike Harris The NFL playoff picture odds report plays out the season 25,000 times. A random draw assigns each team a win or loss for each game. The probability that a team will be given a win is based on […]
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
The Aggressive Mindset of the Lions and Bills
Detroit and Buffalo get ready for the Game of the Week, making it this far in part thanks to being aggressive -- and successful -- on fourth downs.
Bryan Knowles
NFL
DVOA
The Teams Nobody Wants to Play (That Might Miss the Playoffs)
Every year, some team gets hot in the second half. It's the "team nobody wants to play." But will that team even make the postseason?
Tyler Loechner
NFL
DVOA
New York Jets All-Drought Team
The Jets haven't made the playoffs in 14 years. There have been some good players during that drought, though, right? Right? Let's pick them.
Bryan Knowles
NFL
DVOA
Week 14 DVOA: Lions Hold Their Lead
The Lions fall a bit after a close win over Green Bay but still rank among the top 10 teams in DVOA history. Get all the updated ratings here!
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Week 14 Quick Reads: Catch Rate as Catch Can
Pat Freiermuth and Amon-Ra St. Brown are among the 2024 receivers challenging catch rate records. Plus, best and worst of Week 14 by DYAR.
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Will D.J. Humphries Solve the Chiefs’ Pressure Problem?
Sunday night's Chargers-Chiefs game is big, and the Chiefs may be introducing a new left tackle. Can he help solve their pressure problem?
Bryan Knowles
NFL
DVOA
2024 Route DVOA Through Week 13
Players who look better when we look at receiving by route instead of by target include Amon-Ra St. Brown, Drake London, and Malik Nabers.
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Is Saquon Barkley Even MVP of the Eagles?
Saquon Barkley is in the MVP conversation, but is he even as valuable as A.J. Brown or Jalen Hurts? Let's break it down.
Alex Blickle
NFL
DVOA
Breaking Down the NFL Playoff Race 2024
This week's Cardinals-Seahawks game is huge, but the AFC playoff race is nearly over. Bryan Knowles lines up all the teams as we head into the final month.
Bryan Knowles
NFL
DVOA
Week 13 DVOA: Eagles Defense Keeps Getting Better
The Eagles are up to third in weighted DVOA with their defense playing great since Week 7. Plus: are the Chiefs the worst 11-1 team ever?
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
DVOA Downloads
2024 DVOA Downloads Updated December 17 (Individual Defense updated December 10) Historical DVOA Archive Here’s what you will find in these workbooks: ALL BASIC DVOA STATS 1979-2023 Total DVOA with past schedule, variance, estimated wins, and Pythagorean wins. Offensive DVOA with run/pass splits. (Remember, scrambles are passes for the purposes of team DVOA!) Defensive DVOA […]
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Week 13 Quick Reads: Russell Wilson Loves Bad Defenses
Russell Wilson had a big Week 13, but it was yet another game this year where he took advantage of a bad pass defense.
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Thanksgiving Fantasy Turkeys 2024
This Thanksgiving, let's look around the league at the turkeys that ruined our fantasy football teams in 2024.
Bryan Knowles
NFL
DVOA
Week 12 DVOA: Schedules Past and Present
The Lions are still on top, the Eagles are on the rise, plus a look at schedule strength split into offense/defense and past/future.
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Week 12 Quick Reads: Saquon’s Schedule
Saquon Barkley's MVP case is complicated by a very easy schedule. Plus, more of the best and worst players of Week 12 by our DYAR stats.
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
QBs vs. Man and Zone Coverage
Is man coverage the secret to stopping Josh Allen? Which quarterbacks are better against man than zone? Bryan Knowles investigates using the FTN StatsHub.
Bryan Knowles
NFL
DVOA
Cornerback Coverage DVOA Weeks 1-11
Here's a look at cornerback coverage through Week 11. Some of the best cornerbacks are those expected (Patrick Surtain, Christian Benford) and those unexpected (Darrell Baker?).
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
How Much Blame Does Aaron Rodgers Deserve?
Yes, the mess in New York is heavily Aaron Rodgers' fault. Nathaniel Hackett doesn't escape blame either.
Alex Blickle
NFL
DVOA
Bad Luck and the Bengals
Is Joe Burrow on pace to be the best QB ever for a losing team? What would life be like if the Bengals -- and everyone else -- switched their results in one-score games?
Bryan Knowles
NFL
DVOA
Week 11 DVOA: Lions Among Historical Greats
The Lions climb up the ranks and now stand as the No. 3 team in DVOA history through 10 games. Plus, is the Ravens defense... OK?
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Week 11 Quick Reads: Good QBs Have Bad Days
The best and worst players of Week 11 by DYAR, plus a look at when MVP candidates have bad days. It happens!
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Will the Kansas City Chiefs Go Undefeated in 2024?
Looking at each game on the schedule to figure out where the Chiefs might stumble. Or will they go all the way to 17-0?
Tyler Loechner
NFL
DVOA
Throw the Damn Ball, Caleb Williams
Bryan Knowles goes inside the FTN StatsHub to figure out the Bears' offensive struggles and find where Caleb Williams' game has declined in the last few weeks.
Bryan Knowles
NFL
DVOA
Jared Goff: When Five Interceptions Aren’t That Bad
Is it possible to have a good game despite throwing five interceptions? Jared Goff almost did, because different interceptions are negative in different ways.
Bryan Knowles
NFL
DVOA
Week 10 DVOA: Are 49ers Doomed to Underachieve?
All the latest DVOA ratings, plus a look at whether certain coaches have a history of overperforming or underperforming their PGWE (Post-Game Win Expectancy) numbers.
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Week 10 Quick Reads: Triangular QB Types
Kyler Murray was the top quarterback of Week 10. Which QB archetype does he fit? Is he a Sack-Taker, a Gunslinger, or a Game Manager?
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Win Yards: Why Josh Jacobs is Underrated
A look at the FTN StatsHub metric "Win Yards" shows strong seasons for old backs in new places: Josh Jacobs, Derrick Henry, and Saquon Barkley.
Bryan Knowles