NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Dvoa NFL Articles
NFL
DVOA
Bad Luck and the Bengals
Is Joe Burrow on pace to be the best QB ever for a losing team? What would life be like if the Bengals -- and everyone else -- switched their results in one-score games?
Bryan Knowles
NFL
DVOA
Week 11 DVOA: Lions Among Historical Greats
The Lions climb up the ranks and now stand as the No. 3 team in DVOA history through 10 games. Plus, is the Ravens defense... OK?
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Week 11 Quick Reads: Good QBs Have Bad Days
The best and worst players of Week 11 by DYAR, plus a look at when MVP candidates have bad days. It happens!
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Will the Kansas City Chiefs Go Undefeated in 2024?
Looking at each game on the schedule to figure out where the Chiefs might stumble. Or will they go all the way to 17-0?
Tyler Loechner
NFL
DVOA
Throw the Damn Ball, Caleb Williams
Bryan Knowles goes inside the FTN StatsHub to figure out the Bears' offensive struggles and find where Caleb Williams' game has declined in the last few weeks.
Bryan Knowles
NFL
DVOA
Jared Goff: When Five Interceptions Aren’t That Bad
Is it possible to have a good game despite throwing five interceptions? Jared Goff almost did, because different interceptions are negative in different ways.
Bryan Knowles
NFL
DVOA
Week 10 DVOA: Are 49ers Doomed to Underachieve?
All the latest DVOA ratings, plus a look at whether certain coaches have a history of overperforming or underperforming their PGWE (Post-Game Win Expectancy) numbers.
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Week 10 Quick Reads: Triangular QB Types
Kyler Murray was the top quarterback of Week 10. Which QB archetype does he fit? Is he a Sack-Taker, a Gunslinger, or a Game Manager?
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Win Yards: Why Josh Jacobs is Underrated
A look at the FTN StatsHub metric "Win Yards" shows strong seasons for old backs in new places: Josh Jacobs, Derrick Henry, and Saquon Barkley.
Bryan Knowles
NFL
DVOA
Who Will Win the NFC West?
The NFC West is a mess of near-.500 teams. Can the Cardinals pull it out? Will the 49ers come back? Or are the Rams ready now that their receivers are healthy?
Bryan Knowles
NFL
DVOA
Week 9 DVOA: Lions Keep Climbing
The Lions continue to rise on the historical lists. Plus: Chiefs vs. historical 8-0 teams, and a look at pass funnels and run funnels.
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Week 9 Quick Reads: Dominant Lamar Jackson
It was another huge week for Lamar Jackson, his best of a great season. Plus, more on the best and worst DYAR of Week 9.
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
How the Packers Can Stop the Lions
Go inside StatsHub to look at how the Packers can stop the Lions with more zone coverage, and where the Lions will excel against the Packers in turn.
Bryan Knowles
NFL
DVOA
The Dan Campbell Effect is Real
Are the Lions just so physical that they wear out their opponents, who then struggle the following week? It appears the answer may be yes, especially for underdogs.
Alex Blickle
NFL
DVOA
How Is Sean McVay the Winningest Rams Coach Ever?
Go back into the long history of the Los Angeles Rams, a franchise that has never had a truly great coach that stuck around for a long time... until Sean McVay.
Bryan Knowles
NFL
DVOA
Week 8 DVOA: Lions No. 1 for the First Time Ever
Detroit moves up to No. 1 for the first time in DVOA history after destroying the Titans. Plus: Count down the 10 best special teams games since 1979!
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Week 8 Quick Reads: Broncos Win Despite Bad Run Day
Denver beat Carolina despite one of the worst rushing days in DYAR history from Javonte Williams. Plus, all of the best and worst players of Week 8!
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Is Caleb Williams Catching Up to Jayden Daniels?
We hope that Jayden Daniels and Caleb Williams will both be on the field together this Sunday. Is Williams catching up in the Offensive Rookie of the Year race?
Bryan Knowles
NFL
DVOA
Is NFC North the Best Division Ever?
Is the NFC North on pace to be the best division ever? And does that mean anything when we consider whether one of these four teams will win the Super Bowl?
Tyler Loechner
NFL
DVOA
2024 Route DVOA Through Week 7
Here's our first look at Route DVOA and DYAR for 2024, led by Falcons wideout Drake London and Justin Jefferson of the Vikings.
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
How the Chiefs are Scoring with Success Rate
How are the Chiefs staying undefeated? They may not have the best offensive DVOA, but they're the most consistent team staying on schedule. Is that sustainable?
Bryan Knowles
NFL
DVOA
Week 7 DVOA: Ravens Offense Setting Records
The Ravens move into the top slot with one of the best offenses ever tracked by DVOA. Meanwhile, if it feels like the really bad teams are particularly bad this season, that's because they are.
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Week 7 Quick Reads: Big Week for the Lions
It was a big week for Lions stars including Jahmyr Gibbs, Amon-Ra St. Brown, and Jared Goff. Plus, a look at who has gained and lost the most value due to schedule so far.
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
QBs by Route in Early 2024
Going inside the FTN StatsHub for information on which quarterbacks are succeeding on which routes through the first six weeks of 2024.
Bryan Knowles
NFL
DVOA
Cornerback Coverage DVOA: Weeks 1-6
Here's a look at cornerback coverage DVOA through Week 6 of the 2024 season, highlighted by Marshon Lattimore, Jaylon Johnson, Patrick Surtain, and a surprising Stephon Gilmore.
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Has Offensive Production Rebounded?
The early lows for offense seem to be gone. Pressure is down and performance against the blitz is up.
Alex Blickle
NFL
DVOA
Gauging the Trade Deadline 2024
Which teams are out of it, and which players could be going somewhere new? Diontae Johnson, DeAndre Hopkins, Brandon Scherff, and more...
Bryan Knowles
NFL
DVOA
Week 6 DVOA: Year of the NFC
The Vikings stay on top, the Lions are No. 2, and the Packers, Bucs, and Falcons move up. It's a big year for the NFC!
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Week 6 Quick Reads: Goff’s Big Week, Calvin Ridley’s O-For
Jared Goff was good and Dak Prescott was bad this week, plus a look at Calvin Ridley and other wide receivers with big 0-for days.
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Deshaun Watson’s Horrible Season
Deshaun Watson is on pace to shatter the record for worst season in our DYAR stats. Let's go inside StatsHub to get more details on just what's going wrong.
Bryan Knowles
NFL
DVOA
Are The Vikings Actually Good This Time?
The Vikings are No. 1 in DVOA. They've been No. 1 in DVOA before. They don't have a Super Bowl championship to show for it. Will this be the year?
Tyler Loechner
NFL
DVOA
Jets’ Saleh Move? It’s Just Weird
There haven't been a lot of coaches fired at midseason with a higher DVOA than Robert Saleh's New York Jets. Let's look further at the unexpected move.
Bryan Knowles