Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
Now with Monday Night Football!
Lamar Jackson had an insanely good game against a strong Denver Broncos defense. It’s just part of the insanely good season Jackson is putting together in 2024.
Jackson currently leads all quarterbacks with 1,114 passing DYAR on the year. Jayden Daniels is second at 676 passing DYAR. The gap between Jackson and Daniels is larger than the gap between Daniels and No. 16 Jordan Love at 288 passing DYAR.
Jackson led all quarterbacks in DYAR for Week 9 but it’s not his highest DYAR game ever or close to it. That’s because of volume, as Jackson only had 20 pass attempts (including one sack). However, if we look at DVOA instead of DYAR, this was Jackson’s second-best game of his career, trailing only the huge 56-19 victory over Miami in Week 17 of last season.
| Top Lamar Jackson Games by Pass DVOA | ||||||||||||
| Pass DYAR |
Pass DVOA |
Year | Wk | Opp | PaYd | Cmp | Att | C% | NetY/P | TD | INT | Sk |
| 240 | 166.9% | 2023 | 17 | MIA | 321 | 18 | 21 | 86% | 15.6 | 5 | 0 | 1 |
| 204 | 153.9% | 2024 | 9 | DEN | 280 | 16 | 19 | 84% | 13.5 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| 175 | 148.0% | 2019 | 10 | CIN | 223 | 15 | 16 | 94% | 13.9 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| 186 | 134.1% | 2024 | 7 | TB | 281 | 17 | 22 | 77% | 11.0 | 5 | 0 | 2 |
| 234 | 117.1% | 2023 | 7 | DET | 357 | 21 | 27 | 78% | 13.2 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| 180 | 108.3% | 2019 | 1 | MIA | 324 | 17 | 20 | 85% | 17.0 | 5 | 0 | 1 |
| 188 | 101.2% | 2019 | 15 | NYJ | 212 | 15 | 23 | 65% | 9.6 | 5 | 0 | 1 |
| 162 | 100.6% | 2019 | 12 | LAR | 169 | 15 | 20 | 75% | 8.9 | 5 | 0 | 2 |
| 105 | 98.4% | 2024 | 3 | DAL | 182 | 12 | 15 | 80% | 12.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 170 | 95.2% | 2019 | 11 | HOU | 222 | 17 | 24 | 71% | 9.3 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
Jackson is currently on pace to finish with over 2,000 passing DYAR. This would give him only the 11th season to ever top 2,000. Players who have done it before including Tom Brady three times, Peyton Manning three times, Dan Marino, Drew Brees, Aaron Rodgers, and Patrick Mahomes
The Ravens came out of this week as the No. 3 offense ever measured by DVOA through nine games, trailing only the 2018 Chiefs and the 2007 Patriots. The full table will run in tomorrow’s DVOA commentary.
Here’s the rest of the best and worst players of Week 9 by DYAR…
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