DVOA Articles

NFL DVOA

December 18, 2024

Our 2024 Pro Bowl Ballot: Offense

From Josh Allen to Ja'Marr Chase to the Eagles offensive line, we pick our ballot for the Pro Bowl offensive players.

Bryan Knowles

NFL DVOA

December 17, 2024

Week 15 DVOA: Ravens Back on Top

The Lions are out of the top spot, but the Bills aren't in. Instead, DVOA likes the 9-5 Ravens the most. Let's go in depth on why that is.

Aaron Schatz

NFL DVOA

December 16, 2024

Week 15 Quick Reads: Middle of the Road

With Jared Goff leading all quarterbacks in value this week, we take a look at passing to the middle of the field: who does it most and who does it best? Plus, best and worst players of Week 15.

Aaron Schatz

NFL DVOA

December 13, 2024

The Aggressive Mindset of the Lions and Bills

Detroit and Buffalo get ready for the Game of the Week, making it this far in part thanks to being aggressive -- and successful -- on fourth downs.

Bryan Knowles

NFL DVOA

December 12, 2024

The Teams Nobody Wants to Play (That Might Miss the Playoffs)

Every year, some team gets hot in the second half. It's the "team nobody wants to play." But will that team even make the postseason?

Tyler Loechner

NFL DVOA

December 11, 2024

New York Jets All-Drought Team

The Jets haven't made the playoffs in 14 years. There have been some good players during that drought, though, right? Right? Let's pick them.

Bryan Knowles

NFL DVOA

December 10, 2024

Week 14 DVOA: Lions Hold Their Lead

The Lions fall a bit after a close win over Green Bay but still rank among the top 10 teams in DVOA history. Get all the updated ratings here!

Aaron Schatz

NFL DVOA

December 9, 2024

Week 14 Quick Reads: Catch Rate as Catch Can

Pat Freiermuth and Amon-Ra St. Brown are among the 2024 receivers challenging catch rate records. Plus, best and worst of Week 14 by DYAR.

Aaron Schatz

NFL DVOA

December 6, 2024

Will D.J. Humphries Solve the Chiefs’ Pressure Problem?

Sunday night's Chargers-Chiefs game is big, and the Chiefs may be introducing a new left tackle. Can he help solve their pressure problem?

Bryan Knowles

NFL DVOA

December 5, 2024

2024 Route DVOA Through Week 13

Players who look better when we look at receiving by route instead of by target include Amon-Ra St. Brown, Drake London, and Malik Nabers.

Aaron Schatz

NFL DVOA

December 5, 2024

Is Saquon Barkley Even MVP of the Eagles?

Saquon Barkley is in the MVP conversation, but is he even as valuable as A.J. Brown or Jalen Hurts? Let's break it down.

Alex Blickle

NFL DVOA

December 4, 2024

Breaking Down the NFL Playoff Race 2024

This week's Cardinals-Seahawks game is huge, but the AFC playoff race is nearly over. Bryan Knowles lines up all the teams as we head into the final month.

Bryan Knowles

NFL DVOA

December 3, 2024

Week 13 DVOA: Eagles Defense Keeps Getting Better

The Eagles are up to third in weighted DVOA with their defense playing great since Week 7. Plus: are the Chiefs the worst 11-1 team ever?

Aaron Schatz

NFL DVOA

December 3, 2024

Week 13 Quick Reads: Russell Wilson Loves Bad Defenses

Russell Wilson had a big Week 13, but it was yet another game this year where he took advantage of a bad pass defense.

Aaron Schatz

NFL DVOA

November 27, 2024

Thanksgiving Fantasy Turkeys 2024

This Thanksgiving, let's look around the league at the turkeys that ruined our fantasy football teams in 2024.

Bryan Knowles

NFL DVOA

November 26, 2024

Week 12 DVOA: Schedules Past and Present

The Lions are still on top, the Eagles are on the rise, plus a look at schedule strength split into offense/defense and past/future.

Aaron Schatz

NFL DVOA

November 25, 2024

Week 12 Quick Reads: Saquon’s Schedule

Saquon Barkley's MVP case is complicated by a very easy schedule. Plus, more of the best and worst players of Week 12 by our DYAR stats.

Aaron Schatz

NFL DVOA

November 22, 2024

QBs vs. Man and Zone Coverage

Is man coverage the secret to stopping Josh Allen? Which quarterbacks are better against man than zone? Bryan Knowles investigates using the FTN StatsHub.

Bryan Knowles

NFL DVOA

November 21, 2024

Cornerback Coverage DVOA Weeks 1-11

Here's a look at cornerback coverage through Week 11. Some of the best cornerbacks are those expected (Patrick Surtain, Christian Benford) and those unexpected (Darrell Baker?).

Aaron Schatz

NFL DVOA

November 21, 2024

How Much Blame Does Aaron Rodgers Deserve?

Yes, the mess in New York is heavily Aaron Rodgers' fault. Nathaniel Hackett doesn't escape blame either.

Alex Blickle

NFL DVOA

November 20, 2024

Bad Luck and the Bengals

Is Joe Burrow on pace to be the best QB ever for a losing team? What would life be like if the Bengals -- and everyone else -- switched their results in one-score games?

Bryan Knowles

NFL DVOA

November 19, 2024

Week 11 DVOA: Lions Among Historical Greats

The Lions climb up the ranks and now stand as the No. 3 team in DVOA history through 10 games. Plus, is the Ravens defense... OK?

Aaron Schatz

NFL DVOA

November 18, 2024

Week 11 Quick Reads: Good QBs Have Bad Days

The best and worst players of Week 11 by DYAR, plus a look at when MVP candidates have bad days. It happens!

Aaron Schatz

NFL DVOA

November 15, 2024

Will the Kansas City Chiefs Go Undefeated in 2024?

Looking at each game on the schedule to figure out where the Chiefs might stumble. Or will they go all the way to 17-0?

Tyler Loechner

NFL DVOA

November 15, 2024

Throw the Damn Ball, Caleb Williams

Bryan Knowles goes inside the FTN StatsHub to figure out the Bears' offensive struggles and find where Caleb Williams' game has declined in the last few weeks.

Bryan Knowles

NFL DVOA

November 13, 2024

Jared Goff: When Five Interceptions Aren’t That Bad

Is it possible to have a good game despite throwing five interceptions? Jared Goff almost did, because different interceptions are negative in different ways.

Bryan Knowles

NFL DVOA

November 12, 2024

Week 10 DVOA: Are 49ers Doomed to Underachieve?

All the latest DVOA ratings, plus a look at whether certain coaches have a history of overperforming or underperforming their PGWE (Post-Game Win Expectancy) numbers.

Aaron Schatz

NFL DVOA

November 11, 2024

Week 10 Quick Reads: Triangular QB Types

Kyler Murray was the top quarterback of Week 10. Which QB archetype does he fit? Is he a Sack-Taker, a Gunslinger, or a Game Manager?

Aaron Schatz

NFL DVOA

November 8, 2024

Win Yards: Why Josh Jacobs is Underrated

A look at the FTN StatsHub metric "Win Yards" shows strong seasons for old backs in new places: Josh Jacobs, Derrick Henry, and Saquon Barkley.

Bryan Knowles

NFL DVOA

November 6, 2024

Who Will Win the NFC West?

The NFC West is a mess of near-.500 teams. Can the Cardinals pull it out? Will the 49ers come back? Or are the Rams ready now that their receivers are healthy?

Bryan Knowles

NFL DVOA

November 5, 2024

Week 9 DVOA: Lions Keep Climbing

The Lions continue to rise on the historical lists. Plus: Chiefs vs. historical 8-0 teams, and a look at pass funnels and run funnels.

Aaron Schatz

NFL DVOA

November 4, 2024

Week 9 Quick Reads: Dominant Lamar Jackson

It was another huge week for Lamar Jackson, his best of a great season. Plus, more on the best and worst DYAR of Week 9.

Aaron Schatz