Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
DVOA Articles
NFL
DVOA
Gauging the Trade Deadline 2024
Which teams are out of it, and which players could be going somewhere new? Diontae Johnson, DeAndre Hopkins, Brandon Scherff, and more...
Bryan Knowles
NFL
DVOA
Week 6 DVOA: Year of the NFC
The Vikings stay on top, the Lions are No. 2, and the Packers, Bucs, and Falcons move up. It's a big year for the NFC!
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Week 6 Quick Reads: Goff’s Big Week, Calvin Ridley’s O-For
Jared Goff was good and Dak Prescott was bad this week, plus a look at Calvin Ridley and other wide receivers with big 0-for days.
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Deshaun Watson’s Horrible Season
Deshaun Watson is on pace to shatter the record for worst season in our DYAR stats. Let's go inside StatsHub to get more details on just what's going wrong.
Bryan Knowles
NFL
DVOA
Are The Vikings Actually Good This Time?
The Vikings are No. 1 in DVOA. They've been No. 1 in DVOA before. They don't have a Super Bowl championship to show for it. Will this be the year?
Tyler Loechner
NFL
DVOA
Jets’ Saleh Move? It’s Just Weird
There haven't been a lot of coaches fired at midseason with a higher DVOA than Robert Saleh's New York Jets. Let's look further at the unexpected move.
Bryan Knowles
NFL
DVOA
Week 5 DVOA: Chiefs on the Rise
The undefeated Vikings are still on top with the undefeated Chiefs climbing six spots to No. 3.
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Week 5 Quick Reads: You and Your Cousins
Kirk Cousins didn't have one of the best DYAR games ever, but he had the best game so far this year. Plus, the rest of the best and worst of Week 5.
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
2024 MVP May Not Have Wide Receivers, But He’ll Have Help
What does a lack of WR help mean for the MVP narrative for quarterbacks? How much help did past MVP quarterbacks get from their wideouts vs. other positions?
Scott Spratt
NFL
DVOA
Why Doesn’t DVOA Love Derrick Henry More?
Inside StatsHub and successful vs. unsuccessful runs to figure out why our DVOA stats aren't more in love with Derrick Henry's fine 2024 season.
Bryan Knowles
NFL
DVOA
Guts and Stomps and the Ravens-Bills Blowout
An update on Guts and Stomps shows that it is still better to beat down on your opponents like the Ravens often have, even if the Chiefs may be an exception to the rule.
Bryan Knowles
NFL
DVOA
What Does the Bills Blowout Mean?
Buffalo had gone 43 regular-season games without losing by more than a touchdown. What did Sunday night's loss mean for their future?
Bryan Knowles
NFL
DVOA
Week 4 DVOA: Undefeated Vikings to No. 1
Defense drives the Vikings into the top spot. Plus: the best 2-2 teams in DVOA history, why DVOA and EPA differ on the Commanders, and more!
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Week 4 Quick Reads: Jayden Daniels’ Incredible Start
Few quarterbacks have ever started their career hotter than Jayden Daniels of the Commanders. Can he keep it up? Plus, best and worst players of Week 4 by DYAR.
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
2024 Early Air Yards Leaders
Average depth of target is down around the league, but some receivers are still going deep including Rome Odunze, Alec Pierce, and Calvin Ridley.
Bryan Knowles
NFL
DVOA
Rising Pressure and Offensive Decline in the NFL
What if great pass rushers like T.J. Watt have as much to do with declining offenses as the rise of two-high safety coverage?
Alex Blickle
NFL
DVOA
Year of the Retread Quarterbacks
It seems like an abnormal number of quarterbacks are having success in 2024 with new teams. How does this compare with years in the recent past?
Bryan Knowles
NFL
DVOA
Week 3 DVOA: Here Come the Buffalo Bills
The Bills climb to No. 1 with a big Monday night win. Plus: How bad is the Washington defense vs. historically bad defenses?
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Week 3 Quick Reads: Rated Rookies
In a bit of a surprise, Malik Nabers doesn't finish among Week 3's top wide receivers, but he's part of a strong rookie class so far.
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
How Klint Kubiak Made the Saints
How Klint Kubiak has built the Saints offense into a juggernaut with play-action and outside zone.
Bryan Knowles
NFL
DVOA
Bryce Young: Biggest Draft Bust Ever?
Is the problem Bryce Young, or the team that surrounds him?
Tyler Loechner
NFL
DVOA
The 2024 DOOM Index
The Panthers are doomed! The Ravens and Bengals less so. Which 0-2 teams can regroup and still make the playoffs?
Bryan Knowles
NFL
DVOA
DVOA Week 2: More New Orleans Magic
The Saints continue to dominate early, the Panthers are terrible, the Seahawks have been surprisingly good, and the Chiefs... mediocre?
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Week 2 Quick Reads: Murray’s Law
It was a big week for Kyler Murray, Geno Smith, and... Malik Willis? Yes, Malik Willis!
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Ten Week 1 Narratives That Opponent Adjustments Would Explain
A lot of Week 1's stories make more sense if we apply last season's opponent adjustments: From Sam Darnold's big day to Aaron Rodgers' struggles.
Scott Spratt
NFL
DVOA
Week 1 QB Pressures
Go deep inside the new FTN StatsHub with DVOA numbers with and without pressure, already updated after just one week!
Bryan Knowles
NFL
DVOA
Let’s Jump to Some Conclusions!
National Jump to Conclusions Week has been somewhat quiet in 2024, but that doesn't mean we don't have thoughts on everything from MVP favorites to Antonio Pierce punting.
Bryan Knowles
NFL
DVOA
How Injuries Increase Later in NFL Games
It's intuitive to believe that NFL players suffer more injuries later in games. But is it true?
Guest Writer
NFL
DVOA
Week 1 DVOA: The Saints March In
Just how much does it mean for the New Orleans Saints to destroy a bad opponent in Week 1?
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Week 1 Quick Reads: Baker Mayfield’s Career Day
One NFC South quarterback had the best day of his career yesterday, but it may not be the one you expected. Plus, all the DYAR stats from Week 1.
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
2024 DVOA Projections
Updated 2024 projections are here, with San Francisco as our Super Bowl LIX favorites.
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
NFL Playoff Picture: Odds to Win Super Bowl LIX
Odds to Win Super Bowl LIX Revised as of 11/26/24, through Week 12 Compiled by Mike Harris The NFL playoff picture odds report plays out the season 25,000 times. A random draw assigns each team a win or loss for each game. The probability that a team will be given a win is based on […]
Aaron Schatz