FTN Staff's Articles

Betting on NFL football spreads used to be a much simpler process. Most books offered nothing but 11/10 odds or -110 on either side of the game. Whether you were getting a +3 or laying -3, your payout was going to be $0.91 cents on the dollar if you won. If books took heavy action, […]

This week, the PGA Tour heads to Liberty National Golf Club in New Jersey for the first event of the FedEx Cup Playoffs. Liberty National has hosted a handful of PGA Tour events, including the President’s Cup in 2017 and the Northern Trust in 2019.  The course is a par 71 and roughly 7,200 yards. […]

The Clemson Tigers quickly rose to power under head coach Dabo Swinney thanks to their ability to stack talent around an explosive quarterback. Tajh Boyd and Deshaun Watson allowed the program to become an elite one nationally, and then Trevor Lawrence followed Watson. Clemson has finished in the top-four of the final AP poll every […]

In this article, I’ll use the Strikeout Model to sift through the pitching options on DraftKings tonight. We’ll discuss the threshold probabilities and how they combine with projected ownership to allow us to consistently make +EV decisions at the starting pitcher position. We’ve got a five-game slate! If you’ve been reading my stuff for even […]

As I’ve mentioned in my pieces on longshot quarterbacks to lead the NFL in passing and longshot running backs to lead the league in rushing, I view season-long player futures more as profitable entertainments and less as hardcore investments. That doesn’t mean I bet willy nilly without any regards to probabilities and likelihoods, but it does mean […]

The 11-0 streak finally came to an end for the MLB Best Bets writeups when Tampa Bay and Minnesota failed to score six runs in the first five innings Sunday, putting five runs through the first five and scoring a heartbreaking two runs in the top of the sixth that would’ve cashed the over an […]

Considered the most talented quarterback in football, there’s no shortage of NFL futures and betting odds for Kansas City Chiefs Patrick Mahomes entering the 2021 season. The fifth-year QB has taken the throne as the most coveted player in the league with his arm talent and unconventional throws that make him a human highlight-reel. Sportsbooks […]

What. A. Run. That makes it 11 straight cashes in a row for the MLB Best Bets writeups as back-to-back jacks by Nolan Arenado and Tyler O’Neill power St. Louis to a 3-0 F5RL win. With the week wrapping up Sunday, we’re looking to make it two straight undefeated weeks and push the streak to […]

In this article, I’ll use the Strikeout Model to sift through the pitching options on DraftKings tonight. We’ll discuss the threshold probabilities and how they combine with projected ownership to allow us to consistently make +EV decisions at the starting pitcher position. We’ve got a 10-game Sunday slate on tap with some really interesting pitchers. Let’s […]

As I mentioned in my piece on longshot quarterbacks to lead the NFL in passing, I view season-long player futures more as profitable entertainments and less as hardcore investments, so when I bet in this market I tend to gravitate toward players who have longer odds (+1000 or higher). With that in mind, here are six […]

The ACC football team with the most at stake for its program’s outlook in 2021 and beyond is the Virginia Tech Hokies. Although others may have loftier expectations or in the critical stages of building a future, the Hokies are facing the critical fork in the Justin Fuente-era. Fuente, entering his sixth season with the […]

In this article, I’ll use the Strikeout Model to sift through the pitching options on DraftKings tonight. We’ll discuss the threshold probabilities and how they combine with projected ownership to allow us to consistently make +EV decisions at the starting pitcher position. With 14 games on tap for Friday, we have a ton of guys to […]

Wednesday, July 28. Now I know what you’re thinking, “What does Dana White’s and Soulja Boy’s birthday have to do with MLB betting?” But actually, this marks the last day the MLB Best Bets column has lost a bet. We’re on a 10-0 streak with a 15.68u profit over that span thanks to, most recently, […]

 The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are fresh off a Super Bowl 55 win and get the right to play the opening game of the 2021 NFL season in front of their home fans, the same ones they won the Big Game in front of. Now, they welcome another NFC contender in the Dallas Cowboys, who will […]

The ACC features a deep set of intriguing teams capable of entertaining us throughout the 2021 season. From Clemson’s chase for College Football Playoff redemption, to Virginia trying to defend their ACC Coastal division crown, to Georgia Tech’s quest for relevance, the conference has it all. We fully plan on profiting off the ACC as […]

The Alabama Crimson Tide have continued to set records with their dominance under head coach Nick Saban. His 165-23 record is complemented by his seven national championships. It’s easy to see why he’s again the favorite to hoist the trophy in 2021.  The Crimson Tide will surely be in the mix as they reload with […]

Just like we hoped for, the MLB Best Bets writeups carried over last week’s success into a new week. Chicago dominated Minnesota Monday, winning 11-1, cashed their team total over within the first 1.1 innings, and cashed their F5RL by a solid 7.5 runs. We’re up a phenomenal 12u over the past few articles, going […]

Although it’s generally panned as a mistake to take a running back near the top of the NFL Draft, one back with the New York Giants is looking to finally live up to his potential for the 2021 NFL season, and that’s Saquon Barkley.  The juke-stick bulldozer out of Penn State has some high expectations […]

The Big Ten conference has been dominated by one team over the last seven seasons, and the gap has widened over the last four. The Ohio State Buckeyes were thought to be in trouble when Urban Meyer handed the keys to the program to Ryan Day, but instead Day has turned them into even more […]

The 2020 season brought confusion and uncertainty across the college football landscape. We saw the Big Ten scramble as much as any conference after deciding at the last moment possible to partake in the season. The result included favorites like Penn State and Michigan flailing, and Indiana rising as a true competitor. The Big Ten […]

I thought about giving this article a more SEO-friendly title. Something like, “5 Key Takeaways from My Waffle House Challenge.” But the word “postmortem” feels too appropriate not to include in the title. As I type this sentence, at 10 a.m. CT, the morning after my 15-hour, 10-waffle Waffle House challenge, I have these five thoughts. […]

Everyone who has ever successfully bet on NFL games has heard about key numbers. A key number is one that occurs more frequently than random chance would suggest. The NFL has the most unique scoring system of any major sport. The scoring events in a football game are random and worth an arbitrary number of […]

Wyndham Championship Betting Preview     This wild, long ride of a PGA Tour season is coming to an end this week with the final “regular” season event on the 2020-21 schedule, The Wyndham Championship. This event has been played at Sedgefield Country Club since 2008, so there is a nice sample of historical data […]

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish enjoyed a surge in 2020 as they returned to the College Football Playoff with a 10-2 record. It was the fourth consecutive season with three losses or fewer, with 43 wins in that time span. Brian Kelly has this program as well as almost anyone could. (Follow along with our […]

In this article, I’ll use the Strikeout Model to sift through the pitching options on DraftKings Monday. We’ll discuss the threshold probabilities and how they combine with projected ownership to allow us to consistently make +EV decisions at the starting pitcher position. We’ve got a five-game slate Monday. If you’ve been reading my stuff for even […]

Someone call the fire department, because MLB Best Bets has absolutely been on fire lately. We double dipped on the under 9.5 in the San Francisco and Milwaukee game Sunday and just barely sneaked by with a final score of 5-4. The win capped off an undefeated 6-0 week for the MLB Best Bets writeups […]

Points scored in the NBA might be the most rudimentary statistic to grasp for a casual NBA bettor or follower and it also has the most hype when trying to determine a player’s impact on a given game. Well, one shooting guard from the Washington Wizards nearly was the points-per-game leader during the 2020-21 season […]

The Big Ten East was a two-team race last year, as Ohio State and Indiana proved to be significantly better than any of their competition. The two schools combined for a 13-3 record while no other division member reached a winning record. That must change in 2021. At the bottom of the Big Ten East […]

The Big Ten East is expected to be another landslide once again. The mighty Ohio State Buckeyes loom so large over the division that oddsmakers aren’t even offering a play on the Big Ten East. Although there’s not much we can do about that, we’ve found several great value plays within the conference. The Michigan […]

On Monday, Aug. 9, I am doing the Waffle House Challenge to raise money for Cook Children’s Medical Center, a not-for-profit pediatric hospital in Fort Worth, Texas. Barring the unforeseen, the event will take place at Waffle House No. 861 in Burleson, Texas, at 405 E. Renfro St. I was born in Fort Worth and raised […]

That makes it five straight winners for the MLB Best Bets column, with San Francisco and Milwaukee combining for only three runs in 10 innings Friday to cash the under on eight total runs. I’ll admit I was a little nervous when Milwaukee scored an early run in the first and then again when the […]

In this article, I’ll use the Strikeout Model to sift through the pitching options on DraftKings tonight. We’ll discuss the threshold probabilities and how they combine with projected ownership to allow us to consistently make +EV decisions at the starting pitcher position. We’ve got a 10-game Sunday slate, so let’s get to it. Pitchers to play […]