Today’s Best Bets

Welcome to FTN’s Best Bets. We use our incredible tools and models to research and find value in the betting markets.

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Here are our favorite bets of the day. To see all of our plays, check out the bet tracker.

12/16/24

NBA

Guerschon Yabusele Over 4.5 Rebounds (-130, Bet365)

Bet by: Sam Choudhury

• Five-plus rebounds in 12 out of 23 (52.2%) games, averaging 5.4 rebounds per game. 
• Five-plus rebounds in 11 out of 17 (64.8%) games without Joel Embiid (OUT), averaging 6.1 rebounds on 12.9 chances. 
• Five-plus rebounds in five out of seven (71.4%) games without Embiid on the road. 
• Five-plus rebounds in five out of seven (71.4%) games without Embiid and with Paul George, averaging 6.3 rebounds on 12.6 chances. 
• Five-plus rebounds in 10 out of 13 (76.9%) games playing at least 20 minutes, averaging 6.8 rebounds on 14.2 chances. 
• Five-plus rebounds in four out of five (80%) games without Embiid and with George on the road, averaging 6.6 rebounds on 11.2 chances. 
• Five-plus rebounds in 10 out of 12 (83.3%) games playing at least 20 minutes without Embiid, averaging 7.3 rebounds on 14.7 chances. 
• Five-plus rebounds in all four games playing at least 18 minutes without Embiid on the road, averaging eight rebounds on 27.7 chances.

Michael Porter Jr. Over 5.5 Rebounds (-135, DraftKings)

Bet by: Sam Choudhury

• Nine-plus assists and rebounds in 19 out of 23 (81.8%) games, including each of the last five, averaging 2.9 assists and seven rebounds per game. 
• Nine-plus assists and rebounds in 17 out of 20 (85%) games with Nikola Jokic, including each of the last five, averaging three assists and 7.1 rebounds per game. 
• Nine-plus assists and rebounds in 13 out of 15 (86.7%) games with Jokic and Jamal Murray, averaging 2.9 assists and 7.2 rebounds per game. 
• Nine-plus rebounds and assists in nine out of 10 (90%) games playing at least 30 minutes, averaging 7.4 rebounds and three assists per game. 
• Eight rebounds on 11 chances and two assists on one potential assist in the only career game playing more than 25 minutes against Sacramento, with Aaron Gordon on the road (12/2/22).

Michael Porter Jr. 25+ Points + Rebounds + Assists (-150, DraftKings)

Bet by: Sam Choudhury

• 25-plus points, plus rebounds, plus assists in 18 out of 23 (78.3%) games, averaging 18.9 points on 14.5 shots, seven rebounds, and 2.9 assists per game. 
• 25-plus points, plus rebounds, plus assists in 16 out of 20 (80%) games with Nikola Jokic, averaging 18.8 points on 14.1 shots, 7.1 rebounds, and three assists per game. 25-plus points, plus rebounds, plus assists in 18 out of 23 (78.3%) games playing at least 28 minutes, averaging 19.3 points on 14.6 shots, 7.2 rebounds, and three assists per game. 
• 25-plus points, plus rebounds, plus assists in four out of five (80%) career games playing more than 25 minutes against Sacramento, averaging 20.3 points on 15.3 shots, 6.3 rebounds on 11.3 chances, and 1.8 assists on 1.8 potential assists.  
• 30 points on 20 shots, six rebounds on nine chances, and two assists on two potential assists in the only career game playing more than 25 minutes against Sacramento with Jamal Murray (12/27/22).

Norman Powell Over 4.5 Rebounds + Assists (-130, FanDuel)

Bet by: Sam Choudhury

• Five-plus rebounds and assists in 11 out of 19 (57.9%) games, averaging three rebounds and 2.6 assists per game. 
• Five-plus rebounds in seven out of 12 (58.3%) games at home. Five-plus rebounds and assists in 10 out of 16 (62.5%) games playing more than 26 minutes, averaging 3.3 rebounds and 2.7 assists. 
• Five-plus rebounds and assists in six out of nine (66.7%) games playing more than 26 minutes at home, including each of the last four, averaging 2.7 rebounds and 3.2 assists per game. 
• Five-plus rebounds and assists in both career games playing more than 28 minutes against Utah with the Clippers, averaging three rebounds on four chances and three assists on five potential assists. 
• The Jazz allow ninth-most rebounds and 10th-most rebounds plus assists to opposing shooting guards.

Walker Kessler Over 21.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-115, DraftKings)

Bet by: Sam Choudhury

• 23-plus points, rebounds, and assists in 12 out of 18 (66.7%) games, including each of the last seven, averaging 11.2 points on 6.6 shots, 10.7 rebounds and 1.5 assists per game. 
• 23-plus points, rebounds and assists in 12 out of 15 (80%) games playing more than 25 minutes, including each of the last seven, averaging 12.5 points on 7.4 shots, 11.4 rebounds and 1.7 assists per game. 
• 24-plus points, rebounds and assists in eight out of nine (88.9%) games without Jordan Clarkson (Q), including each of the last six, averaging 13.4 points on 6.9 shots, 12.4 rebounds and 1.7 assists per game. 
• 23-plus points, rebounds and assists in both career games playing more than 22 minutes against the Clippers, averaging 10.5 on nine shots, 11.5 rebounds on 18.5 chances and three assists on 4.5 potential assists. 
• The Clippers allow the 10th-most points and the fourth-most assists to opposing centers.

John Collins To Score 15+ Points (-130, FanDuel)

Bet by: Sam Choudhury

• 15-plus points in 18 out of 23 (78.3%) games including each of the last 10, averaging 18.1 points on 12.5 shots and 19.1 points on 13.8 shots at home. 
• 15-plus points in 15 out of 19 (78.9%) games with Lauri Markkanen. 16-plus points in eight out of 10 (80%) games with Markkanen at home, including each of the last eight, averaging 19.9 points on 13.9 shots. 
• 15-plus points in 17 out of 20 (85%) games without Taylor Hendricks, including each of the last 10, averaging 18.8 points on 12.6 shots.
• 16-plus points in eight out of nine (88.9%) games without Hendricks at home, including each of the last seven, scoring 14 in the only miss (10/31), averaging 20.9 points on 14.4 shots. 
• 15-plus points in 13 out of 14 (92.9%) games playing more than 28 minutes, including each of the last eight, averaging 19.9 points on 13.2 shots. 
• 16-plus points in all seven games playing more than 28 minutes at home, averaging 22.3 points on 14.4 shots. 
• 15-plus points in all nine games without Jordan Clarkson (Q). 
• 20 points on 12 shots in the only career game against the Clippers, playing alongside Walker Kessler, and with James Harden active (12/8/23).

John Collins Over 9.5 Assists And Rebounds (-135, Bet365)

Bet by: Sam Choudhury

• 10-plus assists and rebounds in 17 out of 23 (73.9%) games averaging 2.7 assists and 8.2 rebounds per game.
• 10-plus assists and rebounds in seven out of nine (77.8%) games without Jordan Clarkson (Q), averaging 3.1 assists and 8.7 rebounds per game. 
• 10-plus assists and rebounds in 16 out of 20 (80%) games without Taylor Hendricks (OUT), averaging 2.7 assists and 8.6 rebounds per game.
• 10-plus assists and rebounds in 14 out of 16 (87.5%) games playing more than 25 minutes, averaging 9.3 rebounds and 2.8 assists. 
• 10-plus rebounds and assists in all three career games against the Clippers with Collin Sexton and/or Keyonte George, averaging 1.3 assists on 3.7 potential assists and 11 rebounds on 19 chances.
• 12-plus assists and rebounds in both career games against the Clippers with Walker Kessler, averaging one assist on 3.5 potential assists and 12.5 rebounds on 20 chances.

Remember, these and all our bets are available in the bet tracker.