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Today’s Best Bets

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Welcome to FTN’s Best Bets. We use our incredible tools and models to research and find value in the betting markets.

When betting sides and totals, make sure to check out our betting model to see how we project the game. We have betting models for NFL, MLB, NBA, CBB and CFB. We also have a PGA model for golf bettors! Become a better prop bettor by using FTN’s NFL, MLB and NBA Prop Tools as part of your daily process. Don’t leave money on the table and check FTN’s free Prop Shop Tool to make sure you’re betting the best number available.

Lastly, if you plan on betting same game parlays, make sure you use our SGP tool for NFL, NBA or MLB to build highly correlated parlays that are +EV.

Here are our favorite bets of the day. To see all of our plays, check out the bet tracker.

1/16/25

NBA

Cade Cunningham 40+ Points + Rebounds + Assists (-145, DraftKings)

Bet by: Sam Choudhury

  • At least 40 points, rebounds and assists in 21 out of 36 (58.3%) games, averaging 24.5 points on 20.1 shots, 6.6 rebounds and 9.4 assists per game.
  • At least 40 points, rebounds and assists in nine out of 15 (60%) games with Ausar Thompson, including each of the last four, averaging 25.5 points on 20.7 shots, 5.5 rebounds and 9.5 assists per game.
  • At least 40 points, rebounds and assists in 10 out of 17 (58.8%) games at home, including each of the last four, averaging 24.8 points on 19.7 shots, 7.1 rebounds and 9.6 assists per game.
  • At least 42 points, rebounds and assists in eight out of 10 (80%) games without Jaden Ivey (out), averaging 28.1 points on 22.1 shots, 6.2 rebounds and 9.3 assists per game.
  • At least 42 points, rebounds and assists in six out of seven (85.7%) games without Ivey and with Thompson, including each of the last four, averaging 28.1 points on 21.4 shots, averaging 28.7 points on 22.0 shots, 6.3 rebounds and 9.7 assists per game.
  • At least 44 points, rebounds and assists in six out of seven (85.7%) games without Ivey at home, including each of the last four, averaging 28.1 points on 21.4 shots, averaging 28.1 points on 22.1 shots, 6.9 rebounds and 10.4 assists per game.
  • At least 41 points, rebounds and assists in three out of the last four (75%) games against Indiana, averaging 26.3 points on 20.5 shots, 5.5 rebounds on 7.2 chances and 9.3 assists on 11.8 potential assists.
  • At least 41 points, rebounds and assists in both career games against Indiana with either Tobias Harris and/or Tim Hardaway Jr., averaging 24.1 points on 21.0 shots, 5.5 rebounds on 11.0 chances and 9.5 assists on 15.0 potential assists. 

Malik Beasley 20+ Points + Rebounds + Assists (-150, DraftKings)

Bet by: Sam Choudhury

  • At least 20 points, rebounds and assists in 26 out of 40 (65%) games, including each of the last four, averaging 16.5 points on 13.0 shots, 3.0 rebounds and 1.9 assists per game.
  • At least 20 points, rebounds and assists in 25 out of 38 (64.8%) games with Tobias Harris, including each of the last four.
  • At least 20 points, rebounds and assists in 12 out of 18 (66.7%) games with Ausar Thompson, including each of the last four, averaging 16.9 points on 13.7 shots, 2.9 rebounds and 2.1 assists per game.
  • At least 23 points, rebounds and assists in eight out of 10 (80%) games without Jaden Ivey (out), averaging 20.4 points on 16.5 shots, 3.3 rebounds and 2.7 assists per game.
  • At least 23 points, rebounds and assists in six out of seven (85.7%) games without Ivey and with Thompson, including each of the last four, averaging 21.4 points on 17.3 shots, 2.6 rebounds and 2.4 assists per game.
  • At least 22 points, rebounds, assists on each of the last two games playing 24-plus minutes against Indiana, averaging 19 points on 11.5 shots, 3.5 rebounds on 6.0 chances, and 1.0 assist on 1.0 potential assist.
  • The Pacers allow the 11th-most rebounds to opposing shooting guards.

Both Malik Beasley and Cade Cunningham To Score 15+ Points (-150, DraftKings)

Bet by: Sam Choudhury

Malik Beasley 15+ Points
  • At least 15 points in 25 out of 40 (62.3%) games, including each of the last four, averaging 16.5 points on 13.0 shots.
  • At least 18 points in 24 out of 38 (63.2%) games with Tobias Harris, including each of the last four.
  • At least 18 points in eight out of 10 (80%) games without Jaden Ivey (out), averaging 20.4 points on 16.5 shots.
  • At least 18 points in six out of seven (85.7%) games without Ivey and with Ausar Thompson, including each of the last four, averaging 21.4 points on 17.3 shots, 2.6 rebounds and 2.4 assists per game.
  • At least 18 points in three out of the last four (75%) games playing 24-plus minutes against Indiana, scoring 14 points on 13 shots on the only miss (Oct. 23), averaging 19.3 points on 12.5 shots.
Cade Cunnigham 15+ Points
  • At least 15 points 35 out of 36 (97.3%) games, averaging 24.5 points on 20.1 shots.
  • At least 17 points in all 17 games at home, averaging 24.8 points on 19.5 shots.
  • At least 15 points in all 35 games playing 24-plus minutes, averaging 24.9 points on 20.3 shots.
  • At least 17 points in all 15 games with Ausar Thompsom, averaging 25.5 points on 20.7 shots.
  • At least 16 points in all 10 career games against Indiana, averaging 23.6 points on 20.5 shots.

Kevin Durant Over 31.5 Points + Assists (-125, DraftKings)

Bet by: Sam Choudhury

  • At least 32 points and assists in 17 out of 29 (58.6%) games, averaging 27.2 points on 18.8 shots and 4.2 assists on 7.0 potential assists.
  • At least 32 points and assists in 15 out of 24 (62.5%) games with Bradley Beal, averaging 27.9 points on 18.8 shots and 4.1 assists on 6.9 potential assists. 
  • At least 32 points and assists in six out of nine (66.7%) games without Jusuf Nurkic (out).
  • At least 32 points and assists in all six out of eight (75%) games without Nurkic and with Beal.
  • At least 32 points and assists in all three games without Nurkic on the road, averaging 29 points on 19.3 shots and 5.3 assists on 7.7 potential assists.
  • At least 33 points and assists in four out of the last five (80%) games against Washington, averaging 28.6 points on 18.2 shots and 6.0 assists on 9.0 potential assists.
  •  At least 33 points and assists in four out of the last five (80%) games against Washington, averaging 28.6 points on 18.2 shots and 6.0 assists on 9.0 potential assists.
  • 28 points on 24 shots and five assists on eight potential assists in the only career game playing more than 26 minutes against Washington with Phoenix.
  • At least 33 points and assists in each of the last four games playing more than 26 minutes against Washington, averaging 31.3 points on 20.5 shots and 6.8 assists on 10.0 potential assists.
  • Homecoming game.

Jalen Williams 15+ Points and 5+ Assists (-125, Bet365)

Bet by: Sam Choudhury

15+ Points
  • At least 15 points in 30 out of 39 (76.9%) games, including each of the last four, averaging 20.6 points on 16.8 shots.
  • At least 15 points in 22 out of 28 (78.6%) games without Adam Flagler (Q), including each of the last four.
  • At least 15 points in 23 out of 29 (79.3%) games without Chet Holmgren (out), including each of the last four. averaging 21.2 points on 17.1 shots.
  • At least 27 points in four out of five (80%) games without Holmgren and Isaiah Hartenstein (out), scoring 14 points on 16 shots in the only miss (Nov. 15), averaging 25.4 points on 18.6 shots.
  • At least 17 points in 17 out of 21 (80.9%) games with Alex Caruso, averaging 21.2 points on 17.4 shots.
  • At least 17 points in 10 out of 11 (90.9%) games with Caruso and without Holmgren, averaging 23.2 points on 18.8 shots.
  • At least 27 points in both games with Caruso and without Holmgren and Hartenstein, averaging 27.5 points on 21.0 shots.
  • At least 15 points in three out of the last four (75%) games against Cleveland, averaging 17.8 points on 13.3 shots.
  • 25 points on 17.0 shots in the only career game against Cleveland without Holmgren last week (Jan. 8).
5+ Assists
  • At least 5 assists in 25 out of 39 (64.1%) games, averaging 5.2 assists on 8.9 potential assists.
  • At least 5 assists in 21 out of 29 (72.4%) games without Holmgren, averaging 5.3 assists on 8.9 potential assists.
  • At least 5 assists in four out of five (80%) games without Holmgren and Hartenstein.
  • At least 5 assists in both games without Holmgren and Hartenstein and with Caruso, averaging 5.5 assists on 8.0 potential assists.
  • Nine assists on 11 potential assists in the only career game against Cleveland without Holmgren last week (Jan. 8).

Alperen Sengun Over 4.5 Assists (-130, Bet365)

Bet by: Sam Choudhury

  • At least 5 assists in 24 out of 39 (61.5%) games, including each of the last four, averaging 5.1 assists per game.
  • At least 5 assists in 10 out of 15 (66.7%) games without Tari Eason (out), including each of the last four.
  • At least 5 assists in four out of six (66.7%) games without Jabari Smith Jr. (out), including each of the last four, averaging 5.2 assists per game.
  •  At least 5 assists in 14 out of 19 (73.7%) games on the road, including each of the last four, averaging 5.6 assists per game.
  • At least 5 assists in seven out of eight (87.5%) games on the road without Eason, including each of the last four, recording four assists on eight potential assists in the only miss (Dec. 23), averaging 5.6 assists per game.
  • At least 5 assists in all three games on the road without Smith, averaging 6.3 assists per game.
  • At least six assists in seven out of eight (87.5%) career games playing more than 15 minutes against Sacramento, averaging 7.6 assists on 10.3 potential assists.
  • At least six assists in all four career games playing 30-plus against Sacramento.

Keon Ellis Over 0.5 Steals -135 (BetMGM)

Bet By: Alex Christenson

  • Has had a steal in nine consecutive games and in 28 of the 38 games he’s played this season.
  • The Houston Rockets are playing their second game in two nights and average almost 1.5 more turnovers one the second night of a back-to-back.
  • Our model at FTN projects Ellis to have 1.59 steals and prices over 0.5 steals at -312.

Remember, these and all our bets are available in the bet tracker.

Previous NHL Best Bets for Thursday (1/16)