Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
NFL Articles
NFL
Bets
Gross Bombs: Week 10 NFL Props
We’re on to Week 10 of the 2023 NFL season. As you’ll see across FTN Bets, there will be numerous pieces of content, as well as our terrific statistical tools available to all subscribers. If you haven’t already joined our Discord, I certainly recommend doing so, as our experts generally find time throughout the week […]
Josh Gross
NFL
Bets
Week 10 Player Props: Rushing Yards for David Montgomery from EV Insight
David MontgomeryRushing Yards Player Props – Week 10 Chargers vs. Lions Right now, David Montgomery’s rushing yards prop is set at 57.5 yards (-121/-113). The public has bet the OVER up to 57.5 (-121) after it opened @ 55.5 (-121). O/U 57.5 -115/-115 O/U 55.5 -110/-110 O/U 57.5 -121/-113 O/U 57.5 -120/-115 Pros The Lions […]
FTN Staff
NFL
DFS
MagicSportsGuy’s Weekly DVOA Funnel Report (Week 10)
Typically, our CEO Kevin Adams (@MagicSportsGuy) uses Aaron Schatz’s DVOA metric to identify the best pass and rush offenses facing funnel defenses. The twist for Week 10 is that I’m Adam Strangis and I’ll be filling in for Kevin this week. Funnel defenses are either successful at defending the run or the pass, but not […]
Adam Strangis
NFL
Bets
Week 10 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Devin Singletary from EV Insight
Devin SingletaryRushing Yards Player Props – Week 10 Bengals vs. Texans Right now, Devin Singletary’s rushing yards prop is set at 51.5 yards (-103/-133). The public has bet the OVER up to 51.5 (-103) after it opened @ 45.5 (-113). O/U 51.5 -115/-115 O/U 52.5 -110/-110 O/U 51.5 -103/-133 O/U 51.5 -115/-115 Pros The Houston […]
FTN Staff
NFL
Bets
Week 10 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Tank Dell from EV Insight
Tank DellReceiving Yards Player Props – Week 10 Bengals vs. Texans Right now, Tank Dell’s receiving yards prop is set at 57.5 yards (-110/-110). The public has bet the OVER up to 57.5 (-110) after it opened @ 56.5 (-114). O/U 57.5 -115/-115 O/U 57.5 -110/-110 O/U 57.5 -115/-119 O/U 57.5 -115/-115 Pros A passing […]
FTN Staff
NFL
Bets
Week 10 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Dalton Schultz from EV Insight
Dalton SchultzReceiving Yards Player Props – Week 10 Bengals vs. Texans Right now, Dalton Schultz’s receiving yards prop is set at 49.5 yards (-136/+104). The public has bet the OVER up to 49.5 (-136) after it opened @ 46.5 (-115). O/U 49.5 -120/-110 O/U 50.5 -110/-110 O/U 49.5 -131/-104 O/U 49.5 -125/-105 Pros A passing […]
FTN Staff
NFL
Bets
NFL Circa Millions Picks: Week 10
My second entry in the Circa Millions contest went a very respectable 4-1 last week, catapulting it to tied for 66th place out of 5,273 entries in the contest. My first entry is still languishing in the middle of the pack at 2,745th place, so it doesn’t really stand much of a chance for much […]
Michael Cohen
NFL
DFS
The GPP Report – Week 10 NFL DFS Game Theory
There are two ways to gain an edge against the competition in NFL DFS — we can outpick the competition, and we can outbuild the competition. To outpick the competition, we have to rely on the incredible and unique data that we have at FTN. To outbuild the competition, we have the Chalk Report. We […]
Alex Blickle
NFL
Fantasy
Golden Games for Week 10: Best Fantasy Matchups This Week
Welcome to the Week 10 edition of Golden Games, where we highlight the best fantasy football matchups of the week. This process is going to be simple. We’re looking for a few things each week: Game Environment: Good offenses? Bad defenses? Good weather? Which matchups have all (or most) of the firework ingredients we’re […]
Tyler Loechner
NFL
Fantasy
The Fantasy Football Report for Week 10
Depth is very important in fantasy football. We know, all too well, that injuries can happen at any time. You can’t predict them. And sometimes, those injuries can absolutely decimate our fantasy teams. While depth isn’t going to prevent injuries, it will at least help you roll with the punches down the stretch. Over the […]
Jeff Ratcliffe
NFL
Bets
Week 10 Player Props: Passing Yards for Joshua Dobbs from EV Insight
Joshua DobbsPassing Yards Player Props – Week 10 Vikings vs. Saints Right now, Joshua Dobbs’s passing yards prop is set at 203.5 yards (-110/-110). The public has bet the OVER up to 203.5 (-110) after it opened @ 201.5 (-114). O/U 208.5 -105/-125 O/U 203.5 -110/-110 O/U 208.5 -113/-121 O/U 208.5 -115/-115 Pros The Minnesota […]
FTN Staff
NFL
Bets
Week 10 Player Props: Receiving Yards for T.J. Hockenson from EV Insight
T.J. HockensonReceiving Yards Player Props – Week 10 Vikings vs. Saints Right now, T.J. Hockenson’s receiving yards prop is set at 47.5 yards (+105/-135). The public has bet the OVER up to 47.5 (+105) after it opened @ 46.5 (-115). O/U 47.5 105/-135 O/U 43.5 -110/-110 O/U 47.5 -101/-135 O/U 47.5 105/-140 Pros The Minnesota […]
FTN Staff
NFL
Bets
Week 10 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Alexander Mattison from EV Insight
Alexander MattisonRushing Yards Player Props – Week 10 Vikings vs. Saints Right now, Alexander Mattison’s rushing yards prop is set at 60.5 yards (-110/-120). The public has bet the OVER up to 60.5 (-110) after it opened @ 45.5 (-115). O/U 47.5 -115/-115 O/U 47.5 -110/-110 O/U 47.5 -119/-115 O/U 47.5 -115/-115 Pros The predictive […]
FTN Staff
NFL
Bets
Week 10 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Jordan Addison from EV Insight
Jordan AddisonReceiving Yards Player Props – Week 10 Vikings vs. Saints Right now, Jordan Addison’s receiving yards prop is set at 49.5 yards (-121/-108). The public has bet the OVER up to 49.5 (-121) after it opened @ 49.5 (-113). O/U 50.5 -125/-105 O/U 52.5 -110/-110 O/U 50.5 -119/-115 O/U 50.5 -120/-110 Pros The Minnesota […]
FTN Staff
NFL
DVOA
How the Chiefs Built a Top Defense
This has been an unusual season for the Kansas City Chiefs. Sure, the Andy Reid-coached offense is still good. Patrick Mahomes is performing toward the top of the league. Travis Kelce leads all tight ends in receiving DYAR. That’s all typical, but it hasn’t been the story dominating Kansas City’s season. For the first time […]
Cale Clinton
NFL
Fantasy
NFL Splits Tool, Week 10: Big Games to Monitor
The NFL is back, and so too is the fantasy football splits series, now featuring in-season data. Each week, I’ll be using the FTN Fantasy Splits Tool to look at how changes in environment and situations have impacted teams/players in the past, projecting their outlook going forward. Most of the content will be centered around injuries, […]
Sam Choudhury
NFL
DFS
Underpriced and Overpriced DFS Players: Week 10
The Chiefs’, Eagles’ and Dolphins’ byes are unequivocable bad news for traditional fantasy players. But in DFS, the absences of stars like Patrick Mahomes and Jalen Hurts open opportunities for some less conventional DFS stacks to take down GPP contests. And hopefully my Underpriced and Overpriced DFS Players column for Week 10 can help you […]
Scott Spratt
NFL
DFS
10 Under 10%: The Best Overlooked DFS Plays of Week 10
The path to winning DFS GPP tournaments is typically aided by diamonds in the rough. These are the players often overlooked and considered to be contrarian, looming under 10% rostered. Building chalky lineups filled with popular plays over 20% can work in cash games where we’re looking to finish in the 51st percentile of a […]
Vlad Sedler
NFL
Bets
Week 10 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Marquise Brown from EV Insight
Marquise BrownReceiving Yards Player Props – Week 10 Cardinals vs. Falcons Right now, Marquise Brown’s receiving yards prop is set at 58.5 yards (+100/-130). The public has bet the OVER up to 58.5 (+100) after it opened @ 53.5 (-115). O/U 58.5 100/-130 O/U 56.5 -110/-110 O/U 58.5 -115/-119 O/U 57.5 -115/-115 Pros Given the […]
FTN Staff
NFL
Bets
Week 10 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Trey McBride from EV Insight
Trey McBrideReceiving Yards Player Props – Week 10 Cardinals vs. Falcons Right now, Trey McBride’s receiving yards prop is set at 42.5 yards (-115/-115). The public has bet the OVER up to 42.5 (-115) after it opened @ 40.5 (-120). O/U 43.5 -125/-105 O/U 43.5 -110/-110 O/U 43.5 -125/-109 O/U 42.5 -115/-115 Pros Given the […]
FTN Staff
NFL
Bets
Week 10 Player Props: Rushing Yards for James Conner from EV Insight
James ConnerRushing Yards Player Props – Week 10 Cardinals vs. Falcons Right now, James Conner’s rushing yards prop is set at 52.5 yards (-110/-110). O/U 54.5 -110/-120 O/U 52.5 -110/-110 O/U 54.5 -108/-127 O/U 54.5 -115/-120 Pros The Cardinals feature a new play-caller this season in head coach Jonathan Gannon, and the projections expect their […]
FTN Staff
NFL
Bets
Week 10 Player Props: Passing Yards for Kyler Murray from EV Insight
Kyler MurrayPassing Yards Player Props – Week 10 Cardinals vs. Falcons Right now, Kyler Murray’s passing yards prop is set at 225.5 yards (+110/-145). The public has bet the OVER up to 225.5 (+110) after it opened @ 220.5 (-115). O/U 227.5 -115/-115 O/U 218.5 -110/-110 O/U 227.5 106/-145 O/U 225.5 110/-145 Pros Given the […]
FTN Staff
NFL
Fantasy
The Read Option: Fantasy Football Game-by-Game Breakdown (Week 10)
Welcome to The Read Option, FTN Fantasy’s NFL Week 10 game-by-game previews. This landing page will serve as your quarterback for the week and will link to preview for the upcoming slate of games. FTN’s game-by-game previews are the most detailed and data-rich in the industry. This page will be updated throughout the week […]
Adam Pfeifer
NFL
Bets
Week 10 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Kyle Pitts from EV Insight
Kyle PittsReceiving Yards Player Props – Week 10 Cardinals vs. Falcons Right now, Kyle Pitts’s receiving yards prop is set at 36.5 yards (-110/-110). O/U 35.5 -115/-115 O/U 36.5 -110/-110 O/U 35.5 -119/-115 O/U 35.5 -120/-110 Pros Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Falcons are projected by the predictive model to call […]
FTN Staff
NFL
Bets
Week 10 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Drake London from EV Insight
Drake LondonReceiving Yards Player Props – Week 10 Cardinals vs. Falcons Right now, Drake London’s receiving yards prop is set at 46.5 yards (-115/-115). The public has bet the UNDER down to 46.5 (-115) after it opened @ 46.5 (-114). O/U 47.5 -115/-115 O/U 49.5 -110/-110 O/U 47.5 -125/-109 O/U 46.5 -120/-110 Pros Based on […]
FTN Staff
NFL
Fantasy
The Read Option, Week 10: Denver Broncos @ Buffalo Bills
The Read-Option is Adam Pfeifer’s weekly fantasy football game-by-game breakdown, covering everything a fantasy manager needs to know before setting or building lineups for the week. Below, check out his breakdown of the Denver Broncos and Buffalo Bills game for Week 10. Denver Broncos @ Buffalo Bills BUF -7.5, O/U 47Pace: DEN: 28.6 sec/snap […]
Adam Pfeifer
NFL
Fantasy
The Read Option, Week 10: New York Jets @ Las Vegas Raiders
The Read-Option is Adam Pfeifer’s weekly fantasy football game-by-game breakdown, covering everything a fantasy manager needs to know before setting or building lineups for the week. Below, check out his breakdown of the New York Jets and Las Vegas Raiders game for Week 10. New York Jets @ Las Vegas Raiders NYJ -1.5, O/U […]
Adam Pfeifer
NFL
Bets
NFL Survivor/Eliminator Picks: Week 10
My efforts to shame Kyler Murray into a Week 9 start and Cardinals upset of the Browns backfired when his opponent Deshaun Watson returned to play instead. But no matter, my Saints held on, and I remain a perfect 9-0 with my preferred Survivor League picks. Let’s keep it rolling into the second half of the […]
FTN Staff
NFL
Bets
Week 10 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Javonte Williams from EV Insight
Javonte WilliamsRushing Yards Player Props – Week 10 Bills vs. Broncos Right now, Javonte Williams’s rushing yards prop is set at 54.5 yards (-135/-101). The public has bet the OVER up to 54.5 (-135) after it opened @ 54.5 (-121). O/U 54.5 -125/-105 O/U 55.5 -110/-110 O/U 54.5 -135/-101 O/U 54.5 -115/-115 Pros The model […]
FTN Staff
NFL
Bets
Week 10 Player Props: Passing Yards for Russell Wilson from EV Insight
Russell WilsonPassing Yards Player Props – Week 10 Bills vs. Broncos Right now, Russell Wilson’s passing yards prop is set at 211.5 yards (-110/-110). The public has bet the OVER up to 211.5 (-110) after it opened @ 207.5 (-114). O/U 212.5 -115/-115 O/U 211.5 -110/-110 O/U 212.5 -117/-117 O/U 212.5 -115/-115 Pros An extreme […]
FTN Staff
NFL
Bets
Week 10 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Stefon Diggs from EV Insight
Stefon DiggsReceiving Yards Player Props – Week 10 Bills vs. Broncos Right now, Stefon Diggs’s receiving yards prop is set at 87.5 yards (-110/-110). O/U 84.5 -115/-115 O/U 87.5 -110/-110 O/U 84.5 -117/-117 O/U 85.5 -115/-115 Pros The projections expect the Buffalo Bills to be the 3rd-most pass-heavy team in the league (adjusted for context) […]
FTN Staff
NFL
Bets
Week 10 Player Props: Rushing Yards for James Cook from EV Insight
James CookRushing Yards Player Props – Week 10 Bills vs. Broncos Right now, James Cook’s rushing yards prop is set at 60.5 yards (-125/-105). The public has bet the OVER up to 60.5 (-125) after it opened @ 55.5 (-115). O/U 59.5 -115/-115 O/U 58.5 -110/-110 O/U 59.5 -119/-115 O/U 59.5 -115/-115 Pros With a […]
FTN Staff