Week 10 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Devin Singletary from EV Insight

Devin SingletaryRushing Yards

Right now, Devin Singletary’s rushing yards prop is set at 51.5 yards (-103/-133).

The public has bet the OVER up to 51.5 (-103) after it opened @ 45.5 (-113).

Pros

The Houston Texans feature a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Bobby Slowik, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to skew 1.3% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
At the moment, the 9th-most run-focused offense in the NFL (41.4% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Texans.
This week, Devin Singletary is predicted by our trusted projection set to position himself in the 98th percentile when it comes to RBs with 18.6 rush attempts.
While Devin Singletary has been responsible for 27.6% of his offense’s carries in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a more important option in Houston’s rushing attack in this week’s game at 69.7%.
The Cincinnati Bengals defense owns the 5th-worst efficiency against opposing run games this year, giving up 4.91 adjusted yards-per-carry.

Cons

A passing game script is implied by the Texans being a -5.5-point underdog in this week’s contest.
Our trusted projections expect the Texans to call the 9th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.8 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
The Houston offensive line ranks as the 2nd-worst in the league last year at opening holes for rushers.
Devin Singletary’s 28.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season indicates a substantial diminishment in his running prowess over last season’s 54.0 figure.
Devin Singletary’s 3.6 adjusted yards per carry this season shows a significant diminishment in his running prowess over last season’s 4.8 rate.

Projection

THE BLITZ
80
Rushing Yards