Week 10 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Tank Dell from EV Insight

Tank DellReceiving Yards

Right now, Tank Dell’s receiving yards prop is set at 57.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 57.5 (-110) after it opened @ 56.5 (-114).

Pros

A passing game script is implied by the Texans being a -5.5-point underdog in this week’s contest.
In this game, Nathaniel Dell is projected by the model to position himself in the 84th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 7.4 targets.
Nathaniel Dell has accumulated a whopping 87.0 air yards per game this year: 86th percentile among wide receivers.
Nathaniel Dell’s 48.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive usage) ranks him among the league leaders: 75th percentile for wideouts.
Nathaniel Dell grades out as one of the top pass-catching WRs this year, averaging an outstanding 59.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 81st percentile.

Cons

The Houston Texans feature a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Bobby Slowik, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to skew 1.3% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
The predictive model expects the Texans to be the 8th-least pass-oriented offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 58.6% pass rate.
Our trusted projections expect the Texans to call the 9th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.8 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
This year, the stout Bengals defense has allowed a puny 60.4% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wide receivers: the 6th-lowest rate in the league.

Projection

THE BLITZ
66
Receiving Yards