Today’s Best Bets

Welcome to FTN’s Best Bets. We use our incredible tools and models to research and find value in the betting markets.

When betting sides and totals, make sure to check out our betting model to see how we project the game. We have betting models for NFL, MLB, NBA, CBB and CFB. We also have a PGA model for golf bettors! Become a better prop bettor by using FTN’s NFL, MLB and NBA Prop Tools as part of your daily process. Don’t leave money on the table and check FTN’s free Prop Shop Tool to make sure you’re betting the best number available.

Lastly, if you plan on betting same game parlays, make sure you use our SGP tool for NFL, NBA or MLB to build highly correlated parlays that are +EV.

Here are our favorite bets of the day. To see all of our plays, check out the bet tracker.

12/11/24

NBA

Jalen Johnson 5+ Assists (-160, Bet365)

Bet by: Sam Choudhury

• At least 5 assists in 14 out of 23 (60.8%) games, including each of the last six, averaging 5.5 assists on 10.3 potential assists. 
• At least 5 assists in 13 out of 21 (61.9%) games with Dyson Daniels, including each of the last six. 
• At least 5 assists in seven out of 11 (63.6%) games at home, averaging 5.5 assists on 10.8 potential assists. 
• 7 assists in each of the last two games against the Knicks, averaging seven assists on 11.5 potential assists.

Jalen Johnson 10+ Points/3+ Assists & Dyson Daniels 3+ Assists SGP (-125, Bet365)

Bet by: Sam Choudhury

Jalen Johnson

• At least 11 points and three-plus assists in 21 out of 23 (91.3%) games, including each of the last 13, averaging 19.8 points on 15.5 shots and 5.5 assists on 10.3 potential assists.
• At least 11 points and three-plus assists in all 12 games with De’Andre Hunter, averaging 19.1 points on 14.8 shots and 5.5 assists on 10.5 potential assists.

Dyson Daniels

• At least 3 assists in 15 out of 23 (65.2%) games, averaging 3.3 assists on 6.7 potential assists.
• At least 3 assists in 10 out of 14 (71.4%) games with De’Andre Hunter, averaging 3.5 assists on 6.4 potential assists.
• At least 3 assists in eight out of 11 (72.7%) games on the road, averaging 3.6 assists on 7.6 potential assists.
• At least 3 assists in five out of six (83.3%) games on the road with De’Andre Hunter.
• At least 3 assists in five out of the last six (83.3%) games, recording two assists on four potential assists in the only miss, averaging 4.3 assists on seven potential assists. 

Draymond Green Over 11.5 Assists + Rebounds (-120, DraftKings)

Bet by: Sam Choudhury

• At least 13 assists and rebounds in 13 out of 21 (61.9%) games, averaging six assists on 11.1 potential assists and 6.4 rebounds on 11.4 chances.
• At least 13 assists and rebounds in 11 out of 17 (64.8%) games with Stephen Curry, averaging 6.2 assists on 10.9 potential assists and six rebounds on 10.4 chances.
• At least 13 assists and rebounds in 13 out of 18 (72.2%) games playing at least 22 minutes, averaging 6.3 assists on 11.7 potential assists and 6.9 rebounds on 12.3 chances.
• At least 13 assists and rebounds in 11 out of the last 12 (91.6%) games, averaging 7.2 assists on 12.3 potential assists and 7.3 rebounds on 12.3 chances.
• At least 12 assists and rebounds in each of the last 16 games playing at least 22 minutes against Houston, averaging 7.2 assists and 9.4 rebounds per game.

Fred VanVleet Under 18.5 Points (-125, Hard Rock)

Bet by: Sam Choudhury

• 18 or fewer points in 16 out of 22 (72.7%) games averaging 16 points on 14.4 shots.
• 13 or fewer points in three out of the last four (75%) games.
• 13 or fewer points in all five career games against Golden State with Houston, averaging 10.5 points on 12 shots.
• The Warriors allow the third fewest points and fifth-fewest points to opposing point guards.

Fred VanVleet Under 29.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists (-130, Bet365)

Bet by: Sam Choudhury

• 29 or fewer points, rebounds, and assists in 16 out of 22 (72.7%) games, averaging 16 points on 14.4 shots, 4.2 rebounds on 6.9 chances, and 5.9 assists on 10.9 potential assists.
• 27 or fewer points, rebounds, and assists in 11 out of 14 (78.6%) games without Jae’Sean Tate (Q), averaging 16 points on 16 shots, 4.2 rebounds on seven chances and 5.9 assists on 10.3 potential assists.
• 29 or fewer points, rebounds, and assists in all five career games against Golden State, with Houston, averaging 10.5 points on 12 shots, 3.2 rebounds on 4.6 chances and 7.4 assists on 12 potential assists.
• The Warriors allow the third-fewest points and fifth-fewest points, plus rebounds, plus assists to opposing point guards.

Remember, these and all our bets are available in the bet tracker.