Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
David MontgomeryRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 10
Chargers vs. Lions
Right now, David Montgomery’s rushing yards prop is set at 57.5 yards (-121/-113).
The public has bet the OVER up to 57.5 (-121) after it opened @ 55.5 (-121).
Pros
- The Lions rank as the 10th-most run-oriented offense in football (in a neutral context) this year with a 40.1% run rate.
- The projections expect the Lions to call the 6th-most total plays among all teams this week with 65.8 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
- The 5th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Detroit Lions this year (a massive 62.8 per game on average).
- In this week’s contest, David Montgomery is predicted by the model to find himself in the 83rd percentile among running backs with 15.6 rush attempts.
- David Montgomery has rushed for a lot more adjusted yards per game (85.0) this season than he did last season (48.0).
Cons
- This year, the tough Chargers run defense has conceded a meager 92.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing teams: the 8th-best in the league.
Projection
THE BLITZ
63
Rushing Yards
63
Rushing Yards
