Week 10 Player Props: Rushing Yards for David Montgomery from EV Insight

David MontgomeryRushing Yards

Right now, David Montgomery’s rushing yards prop is set at 57.5 yards (-121/-113).

The public has bet the OVER up to 57.5 (-121) after it opened @ 55.5 (-121).

Pros

The Lions rank as the 10th-most run-oriented offense in football (in a neutral context) this year with a 40.1% run rate.
The projections expect the Lions to call the 6th-most total plays among all teams this week with 65.8 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
The 5th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Detroit Lions this year (a massive 62.8 per game on average).
In this week’s contest, David Montgomery is predicted by the model to find himself in the 83rd percentile among running backs with 15.6 rush attempts.
David Montgomery has rushed for a lot more adjusted yards per game (85.0) this season than he did last season (48.0).

Cons

This year, the tough Chargers run defense has conceded a meager 92.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing teams: the 8th-best in the league.

Projection

THE BLITZ
63
Rushing Yards