NBA Postseason Best Bets (5/17)
Alex Christenson
Drake LondonReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 10
Cardinals vs. Falcons
Right now, Drake London’s receiving yards prop is set at 46.5 yards (-115/-115).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 46.5 (-115) after it opened @ 46.5 (-114).
Pros
- Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Falcons are projected by the predictive model to call 66.2 plays on offense in this contest: the 4th-most on the slate this week.
- The 6th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Atlanta Falcons this year (a whopping 62.0 per game on average).
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
- The projections expect Drake London to earn 7.6 targets in this week’s game, on balance, placing him in the 87th percentile when it comes to WRs.
- With a terrific 58.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (80th percentile) this year, Drake London places among the best WRs in the league in the NFL.
Cons
- The predictive model expects the Atlanta Falcons as the 3rd-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 53.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
- Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.6 pass attempts per game against the Cardinals defense this year: 7th-fewest in the NFL.
- Drake London’s 23.4% Target Rate this season represents an impressive diminishment in his air attack utilization over last season’s 29.1% figure.
Projection
THE BLITZ
58
Receiving Yards
58
Receiving Yards
