NFL Splits Tool, Week 10: Big Games to Monitor

The NFL is back, and so too is the fantasy football splits series, now featuring in-season data. Each week, I’ll be using the FTN Fantasy Splits Tool to look at how changes in environment and situations have impacted teams/players in the past, projecting their outlook going forward. Most of the content will be centered around injuries, thanks to our new partnership with Dr. David Chao and Sports Injury Central. For those of you unfamiliar with the website, it’s a one-stop shop to keep fans, gamblers, and fantasy players up to date on the latest injuries, covering all major sports such as the NFL, CFB, NBA and MLB.

SIC have a new feature – The Injury Edge – Your NFL Matchup Cheat Sheet.

It’s a tool for quickly seeing which teams have a health-based advantage each week using the proven SIC Health Score algorithm.
The SIC Health Score algorithm has seen teams with a 10+ health advantage win at over 58% Against The Spread over 4 NFL seasons!
FTN subscribers can get one free week of premium access to see all of The Injury Edge, plus all of the team and player health scores in SIC Data! Just go to sicscore.com/premium and select the weekly SIC Data subscription, then apply the promo code FTN.

Detroit Lions @ Los Angeles Chargers

Lions -2.5, O/U 45

Lions

After getting blown out by the Ravens in Week 7, the Lions got back on track before their bye, riding their first-round rookie running back to a 26-14 victory against the Raiders. It was a coming-out party for Jahmyr Gibbs, who posted career-high marks in carries (26) and rushing yards (156), giving him 125-plus yards from scrimmage and a touchdown in back-to-back games. Much of his production can be attributed to the absence of David Montgomery, who was a full participant in practice Wednesday, trending toward probable this weekend.

The return of Montgomery should help bolster Detroit’s run game but could be detrimental for Gibbs, who has been the clear second option when both backs are available. Gibbs has yet to surpass a 50% snap share with Montgomery active, averaging only 33 rushing yards per game.