Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
This list features my favorite receivers with the most significant projected edges in their Sunday matchups, powered by our FTN WR/CB Matchup tool. Below each player writeup, I will list my favorite prop bets. You can use this data for bets, DFS and fantasy football lineups.
Josh Downs, WR, Indianapolis Colts
99.9 Matchup Rating
Josh Downs received the highest Week 12 matchup rating from our WR/CB Matchup Tool. The spread favors the Colts to have a heavy passing game, as they are 7.5-point home underdogs against the scorching-hot Detroit Lions. The Lions have allowed the most receiving yards per game to opposing wideouts (190.3). Per FTN’s DVOA-Adjusted Fantasy Points Against Tool, the Lions have allowed opposing WR1s to produce at a rate 24% above the league average, ranking fourth-worst defensively. Downs has emerged as the No. 1 option in the Colts passing game, leading the team in target share (19.8%), receptions per game (5.6) and touchdowns (4), despite missing two games. Downs has exceeded 54 receiving yards in seven out of nine games this season, averaging 63 yards per game. Downs has also exceeded five receptions in six of nine games this season.
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- Josh Downs Over 53.5 Receiving Yards (-113, FanDuel Sportsbook)
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- Josh Downs Over 4.5 Receptions (-108, FanDuel Sportsbook)
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