Week 10 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Dalton Schultz from EV Insight

Dalton SchultzReceiving Yards

Right now, Dalton Schultz’s receiving yards prop is set at 49.5 yards (-136/+104).

The public has bet the OVER up to 49.5 (-136) after it opened @ 46.5 (-115).

Pros

A passing game script is implied by the Texans being a -5.5-point underdog in this week’s contest.
In this week’s game, Dalton Schultz is anticipated by the predictive model to secure a spot in the 95th percentile among tight ends with 7.1 targets.
Dalton Schultz has been heavily involved in his team’s offense, posting a Target Share of 18.6% this year, which ranks in the 91st percentile among TEs.
Dalton Schultz grades out as one of the leading pass-game TEs this year, averaging an excellent 43.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 88th percentile.
This year, the anemic Cincinnati Bengals defense has given up a colossal 64.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing TEs: the 3rd-most in football.

Cons

The Houston Texans feature a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Bobby Slowik, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to skew 1.3% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
The predictive model expects the Texans to be the 8th-least pass-oriented offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 58.6% pass rate.
Our trusted projections expect the Texans to call the 9th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.8 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

Projection

THE BLITZ
49
Receiving Yards