NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Dalton SchultzReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 10
Bengals vs. Texans
Right now, Dalton Schultz’s receiving yards prop is set at 49.5 yards (-136/+104).
The public has bet the OVER up to 49.5 (-136) after it opened @ 46.5 (-115).
Pros
- A passing game script is implied by the Texans being a -5.5-point underdog in this week’s contest.
- In this week’s game, Dalton Schultz is anticipated by the predictive model to secure a spot in the 95th percentile among tight ends with 7.1 targets.
- Dalton Schultz has been heavily involved in his team’s offense, posting a Target Share of 18.6% this year, which ranks in the 91st percentile among TEs.
- Dalton Schultz grades out as one of the leading pass-game TEs this year, averaging an excellent 43.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 88th percentile.
- This year, the anemic Cincinnati Bengals defense has given up a colossal 64.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing TEs: the 3rd-most in football.
Cons
- The Houston Texans feature a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Bobby Slowik, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to skew 1.3% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
- The predictive model expects the Texans to be the 8th-least pass-oriented offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 58.6% pass rate.
- Our trusted projections expect the Texans to call the 9th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.8 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
Projection
THE BLITZ
49
Receiving Yards
49
Receiving Yards
