Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
NFL Articles
NFL
Bets
Super Bowl Betting Trends
Sports gambling continues to rise in popularity, especially this week, with the Super Bowl just around the corner. Approximately 68 million Americans are projected to place a wager on the Super Bowl, with an estimated total of $23.1 billion worth of bets. Below, I’m going to break down the key stats and trends you need […]
FTN Staff
NFL
Fantasy
Top Takeaways from the NFL Coaching Cycle
The fantasy football offseason can be even more exciting than the actual season. Each team starts anew, with dreams of a better record and legitimate run at the NFL playoffs. As we approach Super Bowl LVIII, it’s time to take stock in the first “shoe to drop” on the 2024 fantasy season: head coaching changes. […]
Mike Randle
NFL
DVOA
Super Bowl LVIII: Learning from the Worst of the Chiefs and 49ers
Teams don’t get to the Super Bowl without playing good football. But not all teams are perfect and there are often bumps along the way. With that, we’ll continue a DVOA tradition of looking at not when the Super Bowl participants played their best, but when they were at their worst. Let’s look at the […]
FTN Staff
NFL
Bets
NFL Super Bowl FTN Staff Bets
We are less than one week from Super Bowl LVIII, with the San Francisco 49ers and Kansas City Chiefs ready to battle in Las Vegas. I surveyed our entire FTN Bets staff and asked them for their one favorite side, total or prop bet for next Sunday’s game. Here are our favorite FTN staff bets […]
FTN Staff
NFL
DVOA
Super Bowl LVIII Prop Bet Extravaganza
In 2004, the original Scramble for the Ball writers, Ian Dembsky and Al Bogdan, wrote the first Prop Bet Extravaganza at our old website, previewing the upcoming Patriots-Panthers Super Bowl. Twenty years later, the betting landscape has slightly changed. Twenty years ago, actually betting on these things was a bit more challenging. Unless you lived […]
Bryan Knowles
NFL
Bets
Super Bowl 58 Player Notes: San Francisco 49ers
Everyone loves to bet individual player props for the Super Bowl, adding even more interest to the biggest sporting event of the season. Using our incredible tools at FTN Bets, we can analyze each player’s strengths and project where they can see success in the grand finale of the 2023 NFL season. Here are […]
FTN Staff
NFL
Bets
Super Bowl 58 Player Notes: Kansas City Chiefs
Everyone loves to bet individual player props for the Super Bowl, adding even more interest to the biggest sporting event of the season. Using our incredible tools at FTN Bets, we can analyze each player’s strengths and project where they can see success in the grand finale of the 2023 NFL season. Here are […]
FTN Staff
NFL
Fantasy
The Fantasy Football One-Hit Wonders of 2023
Today is wet blanket day. There are plenty of players who, this time a year ago, were afterthoughts or worse in fantasy football, but who are now big names based on their 2023 performance. Some of them were breakouts, guys who are now set up to be long-term contributors. But some aren’t. There are one-year […]
Daniel Kelley
NFL
Bets
Top Taylor Swift Super Bowl Bets
Most sports betting for the Super Bowl will revolve around the Chiefs and 49ers, but there’s an entire world of new NFL fans paying attention to Taylor Swift Super Bowl bets. There may not be data analysis used to break down how to make these bets, but we’re here to round up the top […]
FTN Staff
CFB
NFL
Fantasy
2024 NFL Draft Scouting Report: Jamari Thrash
Last Updated: 2/2/2024 It was a slow start to Jamari Thrash’s college career, taking three years to top 500 yards receiving. However, in 2022, he broke out with a Sun Belt-leading 1,122 receiving yards and seven scores on 61 receptions for Georgia State. Prior to the start of this season, Thrash transferred to Louisville, […]
Jeremy Popielarz
NFL
Fantasy
NFL Splits Tool, Super Bowl: Situations to Monitor
The FTN Fantasy Splits Tool rolls along in the postseason, where I’ll be looking at how changes in environment and situations have impacted teams/players in the past, projecting their outlook in the playoffs. Most of the content will be centered around injuries, thanks to our new partnership with Dr. David Chao and Sports Injury Central. For those […]
Sam Choudhury
NFL
Fantasy
The Relationship Between DVOA and Fantasy Football Value at the End of 2023
In late September, I took an early look at the relationship between DVOA and fantasy football value. We know DVOA is useful for all forms of football analysis — including fantasy — but where can we use it the most? Today, we’re revisiting the topic now that we have a full season of data at […]
Tyler Loechner
NFL
DVOA
All-Keep Choppin’ Wood Team 2023
Oh, did you think you’d be safe, just because of a little thing like an entire website shutting down? It takes more than that to stop the Woodchoppers from finding you. The All-Keep Choppin’ Wood Team is our annual attempt to sift through the debris of the season that was, pulling out the prime examples […]
Bryan Knowles
NFL
DFS
TwoGun’s NFL DFS Millionaire-Maker Lineup Review
I had my fifth million dollar win on DraftKings last Sunday. Out of these five wins, two were in the playoffs. The previous one was during the NFL Divisional Round in 2015, so it was a four-game slate. It was a $100 buy-in with around 20,000 total entries. Last weekend was a $4,444 buy-in with […]
Michael Cohen
NFL
Fantasy
Jeff Ratcliffe’s 2024 NFL Mock Draft 1.0
We may still be in the NFL postseason, but NFL Draft season is officially here. So, let’s break out the abacus and do the first mock draft of the year. Mock drafts are an exercise in futility. It’s essentially impossible to get even remotely close to correct on all your picks. Instead of worrying about […]
Jeff Ratcliffe
NFL
Bets
Week 22 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Christian McCaffrey from EV Insight
Christian McCaffreyRushing Yards Player Props – Week 22 Chiefs vs. 49ers Right now, Christian McCaffrey’s rushing yards prop is set at 90.5 yards (-110/-110). O/U 90.5 -120/-110 O/U 90.5 -110/-110 O/U 90.5 -120/-110 O/U 90.5 -120/-110 Pros Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by the model […]
FTN Staff
NFL
Bets
Week 22 Player Props: Passing Yards for Patrick Mahomes from EV Insight
Patrick MahomesPassing Yards Player Props – Week 22 Chiefs vs. 49ers Right now, Patrick Mahomes’s passing yards prop is set at 263.5 yards (+115/-145). The public has bet the OVER up to 263.5 (+115) after it opened @ 260.5 (-117). O/U 263.5 -115/-115 O/U 260.5 -110/-110 O/U 263.5 115/-145 O/U 263.5 -115/-115 Pros The predictive […]
FTN Staff
NFL
Bets
Week 22 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Deebo Samuel from EV Insight
Deebo SamuelReceiving Yards Player Props – Week 22 Chiefs vs. 49ers Right now, Deebo Samuel’s receiving yards prop is set at 59.5 yards (+100/-124). The public has bet the OVER up to 59.5 (+100) after it opened @ 56.5 (-114). O/U 58.5 -130/100 O/U 58.5 -110/-110 O/U 58.5 -130/100 O/U 58.5 -120/-110 Pros Given the […]
FTN Staff
NFL
Bets
Week 22 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Rashee Rice from EV Insight
Rashee RiceReceiving Yards Player Props – Week 22 Chiefs vs. 49ers Right now, Rashee Rice’s receiving yards prop is set at 66.5 yards (-110/-110). The public has bet the UNDER down to 66.5 (-110) after it opened @ 67.5 (-110). O/U 67.5 -115/-115 O/U 67.5 -110/-110 O/U 67.5 -130/100 O/U 67.5 -110/-120 Pros The predictive […]
FTN Staff
NFL
Bets
Week 22 Player Props: Receiving Yards for George Kittle from EV Insight
George KittleReceiving Yards Player Props – Week 22 Chiefs vs. 49ers Right now, George Kittle’s receiving yards prop is set at 49.5 yards (+100/-124). The public has bet the UNDER down to 49.5 (-124) after it opened @ 49.5 (-117). O/U 50.5 -120/-110 O/U 50.5 -110/-110 O/U 50.5 -115/-115 O/U 50.5 -110/-120 Pros Given the […]
FTN Staff
NFL
Bets
Week 22 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Isiah Pacheco from EV Insight
Isiah PachecoRushing Yards Player Props – Week 22 Chiefs vs. 49ers Right now, Isiah Pacheco’s rushing yards prop is set at 64.5 yards (-125/-105). The public has bet the UNDER down to 64.5 (-105) after it opened @ 67.5 (-115). O/U 64.5 -125/-105 O/U 65.5 -110/-110 O/U 64.5 -120/-110 O/U 64.5 -125/-105 Pros Accounting for […]
FTN Staff
NFL
Bets
Week 22 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Travis Kelce from EV Insight
Travis KelceReceiving Yards Player Props – Week 22 Chiefs vs. 49ers Right now, Travis Kelce’s receiving yards prop is set at 71.5 yards (-125/-105). The public has bet the OVER up to 71.5 (-125) after it opened @ 70.5 (-115). O/U 71.5 -125/-105 O/U 70.5 -110/-110 O/U 71.5 -120/-110 O/U 71.5 -110/-120 Pros The predictive […]
FTN Staff
NFL
Bets
Week 22 Player Props: Passing Yards for Brock Purdy from EV Insight
Brock PurdyPassing Yards Player Props – Week 22 Chiefs vs. 49ers Right now, Brock Purdy’s passing yards prop is set at 239.5 yards (-117/-107). The public has bet the UNDER down to 239.5 (-107) after it opened @ 248.5 (-115). O/U 246.5 -115/-115 O/U 246.5 -110/-110 O/U 246.5 -115/-115 O/U 246.5 -115/-115 Pros Given the […]
FTN Staff
NFL
Bets
Should You Bet on a Non-Quarterback for Super Bowl MVP?
The regular season MVP award has become an effective best quarterback award, and that realization has infected the public attitude toward the Super Bowl MVP award, as well. For many, it is inconceivable that the Chiefs would win and Patrick Mahomes would fail to secure his third Super Bowl MVP trophy. So why bet an […]
FTN Staff
NFL
DVOA
Super Bowl LVIII Pre-Preview
I’m currently working on my 21st Super Bowl preview. That should run in the middle of next week, a few days before Super Bowl Sunday, but this means waiting more than a week before unveiling all the stat tidbits that get you ready for the big matchup. It was one thing when I was the […]
Aaron Schatz
CFB
NFL
Fantasy
2024 NFL Draft Scouting Report: Jacob Cowing
Last Updated: 1/29/2024 Jacob Cowing started his career at UTEP, where he amassed an impressive 2,595 receiving yards and 13 scores. After an impressive 1,354-yard season in 2021, Cowing transferred to Arizona, where he spent the last two years producing 1,882 receiving yards and 20 scores. This past season his 13 receiving touchdowns tied […]
Jeremy Popielarz
NFL
Fantasy
The Most Irrelevant Touchdowns of 2023
Every touchdown is important. Points for the team. Excitement for the fans. Dollars in his bank account. There’s no such thing as a meaningless touchdown in the NFL. They’re all important. But that doesn’t mean they are all equally important. I might argue that the most important touchdown of the NFL regular season was […]
Daniel Kelley
NFL
DVOA
Super Bowl LVIII DVOA Picks
Welcome to Week 22 of our DVOA-based picks. Each week, I pick (almost) every game straight up and against the spread, as well as over-under totals. This does not make this advice to bet every single game! You’ve got to pick and choose and be smart about it. But for people in office pools, we […]
Aaron Schatz
NFL
Fantasy
2024 Fantasy Football Storylines
This year’s Super Bowl matchup is set, with Patrick Mahomes leading the Kansas City Chiefs to their fourth Super Bowl in the past five years against the San Francisco 49ers. As we take a collective breath during the two-week buildup to Super Bowl LVIII, it’s the perfect time to take a look at next year’s […]
Mike Randle
NFL
DVOA
Conference Championship DVOA Ratings
Continuing with my traditions from the old site, we’re not going to bother with the full 32-team table of weighted DVOA ratings, since there are only two teams left and most teams haven’t played for three weeks. We’ll just take a quick look at both teams set for Super Bowl LVIII: The San Francisco 49ers […]
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Conference Championship Quick Reads: Mahomes Magic
Here are the best and worst players of the conference championship games according to our DYAR stats. Quarterbacks Rk Player Team CP/AT Yds TD INT Sacks TotalDYAR PassDYAR RushDYAR Opp 1. Patrick Mahomes KC 30/39 241 1 0 2 147 139 8 BAL Mahomes had 125 passing DYAR before halftime and 13 passing DYAR after […]
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DFS
Sunday Night Conference Championship DFS Showdown: 49ers vs. Lions
By the time this game kicks off, we’ll know which team is going to represent the AFC in this year’s Super Bowl. The Lions are a bit of a surprise team to make it this far after not winning a playoff game for 32 years, but they’ll provide a challenge for the 49ers. Let’s talk […]
Adam Strangis