Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
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Week 16 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Dallas Goedert from EV Insight
Dallas GoedertReceiving Yards Player Props – Week 16 Eagles vs. Giants Right now, Dallas Goedert’s receiving yards prop is set at 40.5 yards (-110/-110). O/U 39.5 -115/-115 O/U 40.5 -110/-110 O/U 39.5 -115/-119 O/U 39.5 -115/-115 Pros To the extent of a defense’s impact on tempo, at 27.47 seconds per snap, the predictive model expects […]
FTN Staff
NFL
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Week 16 Player Props: Rushing Yards for D’Andre Swift from EV Insight
D’Andre SwiftRushing Yards Player Props – Week 16 Eagles vs. Giants Right now, D’Andre Swift’s rushing yards prop is set at 64.5 yards (-130/+110). The public has bet the UNDER down to 64.5 (+110) after it opened @ 70.5 (-110). O/U 64.5 -130/100 O/U 64.5 -110/-110 O/U 64.5 -142/104 O/U 64.5 -135/100 Pros An extreme […]
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NFL
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Week 16 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Saquon Barkley from EV Insight
Saquon BarkleyRushing Yards Player Props – Week 16 Eagles vs. Giants Right now, Saquon Barkley’s rushing yards prop is set at 51.5 yards (-106/-129). The public has bet the UNDER down to 51.5 (-129) after it opened @ 54.5 (-119). O/U 51.5 -115/-115 O/U 53.5 -110/-110 O/U 51.5 -106/-129 O/U 51.5 -115/-115 Pros The projections […]
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NFL
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Week 16 Player Props: Passing Yards for Jalen Hurts from EV Insight
Jalen HurtsPassing Yards Player Props – Week 16 Eagles vs. Giants Right now, Jalen Hurts’s passing yards prop is set at 238.5 yards (-110/-110). The public has bet the OVER up to 238.5 (-110) after it opened @ 233.5 (-110). O/U 238.5 -115/-115 O/U 233.5 -110/-110 O/U 238.5 -115/-119 O/U 238.5 -115/-115 Pros To the […]
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NFL
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Week 16 Player Props: Receiving Yards for A.J. Brown from EV Insight
A.J. BrownReceiving Yards Player Props – Week 16 Eagles vs. Giants Right now, A.J. Brown’s receiving yards prop is set at 77.5 yards (-137/+100). The public has bet the OVER up to 77.5 (-137) after it opened @ 73.5 (-119). O/U 77.5 -115/-115 O/U 76.5 -110/-110 O/U 77.5 -137/100 O/U 77.5 -110/-120 Pros To the […]
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NFL
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Week 16 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Wan’Dale Robinson from EV Insight
Wan’Dale RobinsonReceiving Yards Player Props – Week 16 Eagles vs. Giants Right now, Wan’Dale Robinson’s receiving yards prop is set at 31.5 yards (-110/-110). O/U 33.5 -115/-115 O/U 31.5 -110/-110 O/U 33.5 -117/-117 O/U 33.5 -115/-115 Pros This week’s spread implies an extreme throwing game script for the Giants, who are huge -14-point underdogs. Based […]
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NFL
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Week 16 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Darren Waller from EV Insight
Darren WallerReceiving Yards Player Props – Week 16 Eagles vs. Giants Right now, Darren Waller’s receiving yards prop is set at 35.5 yards (-110/-110). The public has bet the UNDER down to 35.5 (-110) after it opened @ 38.5 (-110). O/U 35.5 -115/-115 O/U 36.5 -110/-110 O/U 35.5 -121/-113 O/U 35.5 -115/-115 Pros This week’s […]
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NFL
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TNF Plays: Best Props for Thursday Night Football, Week 16
Week 16 brings us an NFC matchup between two teams that are fighting for the playoffs. The Rams have won four of their last five games to even their record at 7-7, while the Saints have the same record and are tied with the Buccaneers for first place in the NFC South. The winner of […]
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NFL
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Week 16 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Courtland Sutton from EV Insight
Courtland SuttonReceiving Yards Player Props – Week 16 Broncos vs. Patriots Right now, Courtland Sutton’s receiving yards prop is set at 50.5 yards (-110/-110). The public has bet the UNDER down to 50.5 (-110) after it opened @ 58.5 (-114). O/U 48.5 -115/-115 O/U 50.5 -110/-110 O/U 48.5 -135/-101 O/U 48.5 -125/-105 Pros Opposing offenses […]
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NFL
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Week 16 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Javonte Williams from EV Insight
Javonte WilliamsRushing Yards Player Props – Week 16 Broncos vs. Patriots Right now, Javonte Williams’s rushing yards prop is set at 52.5 yards (-110/-110). The public has bet the OVER up to 52.5 (-110) after it opened @ 46.5 (-114). O/U 53.5 -120/-110 O/U 52.5 -110/-110 O/U 53.5 -104/-131 O/U 53.5 -120/-110 Pros This game’s […]
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NFL
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Week 16 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Sam LaPorta from EV Insight
Sam LaPortaReceiving Yards Player Props – Week 16 Vikings vs. Lions Right now, Sam LaPorta’s receiving yards prop is set at 48.5 yards (-110/-110). O/U 48.5 -115/-115 O/U 49.5 -110/-110 O/U 48.5 -119/-115 O/U 48.5 -115/-115 Pros The leading projections forecast the Lions to call the 7th-most plays on offense among all teams this week […]
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NFL
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Week 16 Player Props: Receiving Yards for T.J. Hockenson from EV Insight
T.J. HockensonReceiving Yards Player Props – Week 16 Vikings vs. Lions Right now, T.J. Hockenson’s receiving yards prop is set at 52.5 yards (-110/-110). O/U 53.5 -115/-115 O/U 52.5 -110/-110 O/U 53.5 -129/-106 O/U 53.5 -115/-115 Pros The Minnesota Vikings may pass less in this week’s game (and hand the ball off more) since they […]
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NFL
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Week 16 Player Props: Passing Yards for Jared Goff from EV Insight
Jared GoffPassing Yards Player Props – Week 16 Vikings vs. Lions Right now, Jared Goff’s passing yards prop is set at 251.5 yards (-110/-110). The public has bet the OVER up to 251.5 (-110) after it opened @ 247.5 (-114). O/U 256.5 -115/-115 O/U 251.5 -110/-110 O/U 256.5 -111/-123 O/U 256.5 -115/-115 Pros The leading […]
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NFL
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Week 16 Player Props: Passing Yards for Nick Mullens from EV Insight
Nick MullensPassing Yards Player Props – Week 16 Vikings vs. Lions Right now, Nick Mullens’s passing yards prop is set at 257.5 yards (-110/-110). The public has bet the OVER up to 257.5 (-110) after it opened @ 253.5 (-110). O/U 257.5 -115/-115 O/U 258.5 -110/-110 O/U 257.5 -115/-119 O/U 257.5 -115/-115 Pros The Minnesota […]
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NFL
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Week 16 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Amon-Ra St. Brown from EV Insight
Amon-Ra St. BrownReceiving Yards Player Props – Week 16 Vikings vs. Lions Right now, Amon-Ra St. Brown’s receiving yards prop is set at 75.5 yards (-110/-120). The public has bet the UNDER down to 75.5 (-120) after it opened @ 77.5 (-110). O/U 75.5 -135/105 O/U 78.5 -110/-110 O/U 75.5 -115/-119 O/U 75.5 -110/-120 Pros […]
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NFL
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Week 16 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Jahmyr Gibbs from EV Insight
Jahmyr GibbsRushing Yards Player Props – Week 16 Vikings vs. Lions Right now, Jahmyr Gibbs’s rushing yards prop is set at 48.5 yards (-110/-110). The public has bet the OVER up to 48.5 (-110) after it opened @ 46.5 (-110). O/U 46.5 -115/-115 O/U 47.5 -110/-110 O/U 46.5 -119/-115 O/U 46.5 -115/-115 Pros At the […]
FTN Staff
NFL
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Week 16 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Justin Jefferson from EV Insight
Justin JeffersonReceiving Yards Player Props – Week 16 Vikings vs. Lions Right now, Justin Jefferson’s receiving yards prop is set at 89.5 yards (+106/-137). The public has bet the OVER up to 89.5 (+106) after it opened @ 80.5 (-115). O/U 82.5 -115/-115 O/U 82.5 -110/-110 O/U 82.5 -129/-106 O/U 82.5 -110/-120 Pros The Minnesota […]
FTN Staff
NFL
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NFL Survivor/Eliminator Picks: Week 16
What’s that you hear coming down your chimney? It’s another five winners from the internet’s favorite/possibly-only Survivor Picks columnist. Ho ho ho. Week 16 NFL Eliminator Picks Philadelphia Eagles -11.5 vs. Giants Last week was a difficult week for the Eagles. Jalen Hurts fell ill Saturday and had to travel to Seattle separate from […]
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NFL
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Week 16 Player Props: Passing Yards for Justin Fields from EV Insight
Justin FieldsPassing Yards Player Props – Week 16 Bears vs. Cardinals Right now, Justin Fields’s passing yards prop is set at 207.5 yards (-110/-110). The public has bet the OVER up to 207.5 (-110) after it opened @ 205.5 (-110). O/U 207.5 -115/-115 O/U 205.5 -110/-110 O/U 207.5 -115/-119 O/U 207.5 -120/-115 Pros Justin Fields’s […]
FTN Staff
NFL
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Week 16 Player Props: Passing Yards for Kyler Murray from EV Insight
Kyler MurrayPassing Yards Player Props – Week 16 Bears vs. Cardinals Right now, Kyler Murray’s passing yards prop is set at 215.5 yards (-110/-110). O/U 215.5 -115/-115 O/U 209.5 -110/-110 O/U 215.5 -119/-115 O/U 215.5 -115/-115 Pros At a -4.5-point disadvantage, the Cardinals are underdogs this week, implying more of a reliance on moving the […]
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NFL
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Week 16 Player Props: Receiving Yards for CeeDee Lamb from EV Insight
CeeDee LambReceiving Yards Player Props – Week 16 Dolphins vs. Cowboys Right now, CeeDee Lamb’s receiving yards prop is set at 89.5 yards (-110/-110). The public has bet the UNDER down to 89.5 (-110) after it opened @ 90.5 (-114). O/U 87.5 -115/-115 O/U 89.5 -110/-110 O/U 87.5 -115/-119 O/U 87.5 -115/-120 Pros The leading […]
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NFL
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Week 16 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Devon Achane from EV Insight
Devon AchaneRushing Yards Player Props – Week 16 Dolphins vs. Cowboys Right now, Devon Achane’s rushing yards prop is set at 43.5 yards (-110/-110). The public has bet the UNDER down to 43.5 (-110) after it opened @ 47.5 (-114). O/U 43.5 -115/-115 O/U 43.5 -110/-110 O/U 43.5 -119/-115 O/U 45.5 -115/-115 Pros The weather […]
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NFL
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Week 16 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Jake Ferguson from EV Insight
Jake FergusonReceiving Yards Player Props – Week 16 Dolphins vs. Cowboys Right now, Jake Ferguson’s receiving yards prop is set at 43.5 yards (-110/-110). The public has bet the OVER up to 43.5 (-110) after it opened @ 42.5 (-114). O/U 44.5 -110/-120 O/U 43.5 -110/-110 O/U 44.5 -117/-117 O/U 44.5 -115/-115 Pros The leading […]
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Week 16 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Tony Pollard from EV Insight
Tony PollardRushing Yards Player Props – Week 16 Dolphins vs. Cowboys Right now, Tony Pollard’s rushing yards prop is set at 53.5 yards (-110/-110). O/U 53.5 -115/-115 O/U 53.5 -110/-110 O/U 53.5 -115/-119 O/U 53.5 -120/-110 Pros Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Cowboys are projected by the projection model to run […]
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NFL
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Week 16 Player Props: Passing Yards for Russell Wilson from EV Insight
Russell WilsonPassing Yards Player Props – Week 16 Broncos vs. Patriots Right now, Russell Wilson’s passing yards prop is set at 212.5 yards (-110/-110). The public has bet the OVER up to 212.5 (-110) after it opened @ 207.5 (-110). O/U 212.5 -115/-115 O/U 203.5 -110/-110 O/U 212.5 100/-137 O/U 212.5 -115/-115 Pros Opposing offenses […]
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NFL
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Week 16 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Isaiah Likely from EV Insight
Isaiah LikelyReceiving Yards Player Props – Week 16 49ers vs. Ravens Right now, Isaiah Likely’s receiving yards prop is set at 39.5 yards (-103/-127). The public has bet the OVER up to 39.5 (-103) after it opened @ 35.5 (-110). O/U 38.5 -125/-105 O/U 38.5 -110/-110 O/U 38.5 -129/-106 O/U 38.5 -110/-120 Pros At a […]
FTN Staff
PGA
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PGA Outright Betting – The Essential Role of Variance
We often think of variance as the enemy of projections in sports. When a player has a surprising game, was the projection bad, or was the result just a product of variance? Golf is no different. Players shock us all the time with how well or how poorly they play. However, if we can reliably […]
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NFL
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Week 16 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Puka Nacua from EV Insight
Puka NacuaReceiving Yards Player Props – Week 16 Rams vs. Saints Right now, Puka Nacua’s receiving yards prop is set at 59.5 yards (-134/+102). The public has bet the UNDER down to 59.5 (+102) after it opened @ 63.5 (-114). O/U 62.5 -120/-110 O/U 64.5 -112/-108 O/U 62.5 -117/-117 O/U 62.5 -115/-115 Pros The leading […]
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NFL
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Week 16 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Tee Higgins from EV Insight
Tee HigginsReceiving Yards Player Props – Week 16 Steelers vs. Bengals Right now, Tee Higgins’s receiving yards prop is set at 59.5 yards (-110/-120). The public has bet the OVER up to 59.5 (-110) after it opened @ 58.5 (-118). O/U 58.5 -115/-115 O/U 60.5 -110/-110 O/U 58.5 -115/-119 O/U 58.5 -120/-110 Pros The Bengals […]
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NFL
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Week 16 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Josh Palmer from EV Insight
Josh PalmerReceiving Yards Player Props – Week 16 Chargers vs. Bills Right now, Josh Palmer’s receiving yards prop is set at 43.5 yards (-110/-120). The public has bet the OVER up to 43.5 (-110) after it opened @ 39.5 (-110). O/U 43.5 -115/-115 O/U 44.5 -110/-110 O/U 43.5 -131/-104 O/U 43.5 -110/-120 Pros The Los […]
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NFL
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Week 16 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Christian McCaffrey from EV Insight
Christian McCaffreyRushing Yards Player Props – Week 16 49ers vs. Ravens Right now, Christian McCaffrey’s rushing yards prop is set at 83.5 yards (-120/-100). The public has bet the OVER up to 83.5 (-120) after it opened @ 80.5 (-110). O/U 83.5 -115/-115 O/U 85.5 -110/-110 O/U 83.5 -125/-109 O/U 83.5 -110/-120 Pros This game’s […]
FTN Staff
NFL
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Week 16 Player Props: Passing Yards for Brock Purdy from EV Insight
Brock PurdyPassing Yards Player Props – Week 16 49ers vs. Ravens Right now, Brock Purdy’s passing yards prop is set at 249.5 yards (-136/+104). The public has bet the OVER up to 249.5 (-136) after it opened @ 247.5 (-114). O/U 255.5 -115/-115 O/U 252.5 -110/-110 O/U 255.5 -111/-123 O/U 255.5 -115/-115 Pros The Baltimore […]
FTN Staff