Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
NFL Articles
NFL
Bets
NFL Week 7 Best Bets
Thursday Night Football provided a surprising high-scoring contest between the Jaguars and Saints. Jacksonville quarterback Trevor Lawrence shook off a knee injury to connect on 20-of-24 passes for 204 yards and a touchdown and ran for 59 yards as the Jaguars grabbed a critical 31-24 road victory. We now turn our attention to Sunday’s […]
FTN Staff
NFL
Fantasy
The Read Option, Week 7: Miami Dolphins at Philadelphia Eagles
The Read-Option is Adam Pfeifer’s weekly fantasy football game-by-game breakdown, covering everything a fantasy manager needs to know before setting or building lineups for the week. Below, check out his breakdown of the Miami Dolphins and Philadelphia Eagles game for Week 7. Miami Dolphins @ Philadelphia Eagles PHI -2, O/U 52Pace: MIA: 26.2 sec/snap […]
Adam Pfeifer
NFL
Fantasy
The Read Option, Week 7: Green Bay Packers at Denver Broncos
The Read-Option is Adam Pfeifer’s weekly fantasy football game-by-game breakdown, covering everything a fantasy manager needs to know before setting or building lineups for the week. Below, check out his breakdown of the Green Bay Packers and Denver Broncos game for Week 7. Green Bay Packers @ Denver Broncos GB -1, O/U 45Pace: GB: […]
Adam Pfeifer
NFL
DFS
Underpriced and Overpriced DFS Players: Week 7
Week 7 has six bye teams and may push you to leverage your DFS lineups to your Dolphins-Eagles, Chargers-Chiefs and Lions-Ravens passing stacks. That may be a fine idea, but be sure to read my Underpriced and Overpriced DFS Players column for Week 7 before you lock in those lineups. Each week, I run […]
Scott Spratt
NFL
DVOA
The End of the Patriots Dynasty
The New England Patriots spent the 2023 offseason seemingly wiping their hands clean of the nightmare that was 2022. For how bad the season may have felt, an 8-9 record with a No. 15 total DVOA and a Week 18 playoff elimination seemed easy to come back from. The Patriots chalked their offensive woes up […]
Cale Clinton
NFL
Bets
Week 7 Player Props: Passing Yards for Kenny Pickett from EV Insight
Kenny PickettPassing Yards Player Props – Week 7 Rams vs. Steelers Right now, Kenny Pickett’s passing yards prop is set at 211.5 yards (-110/-110). The public has bet the OVER up to 211.5 (-110) after it opened @ 206.5 (-114). O/U 218.5 -115/-115 O/U 211.5 -110/-110 O/U 218.5 -117/-117 O/U 218.5 -115/-115 Pros At a […]
FTN Staff
NFL
Bets
Week 7 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Jaylen Warren from EV Insight
Jaylen WarrenRushing Yards Player Props – Week 7 Rams vs. Steelers Right now, Jaylen Warren’s rushing yards prop is set at 28.5 yards (-110/-110). O/U 28.5 -115/-115 O/U 28.5 -110/-110 O/U 28.5 -119/-115 O/U 28.5 -110/-120 Pros The leading projections forecast the Pittsburgh Steelers to call the 8th-most plays on offense among all teams this […]
FTN Staff
NFL
DVOA
Route DVOA for Defenses
Last week, I took a look at Route DVOA for receivers. This is DVOA based on value per route run rather than value per target, to account for the fact that earning targets by getting open is a skill. Now we’re going to flip that around and look at our DVOA vs. Types of Receivers […]
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DFS
10 Under 10%: The Best Overlooked DFS Plays of Week 7
The path to winning DFS GPP tournaments is typically aided by diamonds in the rough. These are the players often overlooked and considered to be contrarian, looming under 10% rostered. Building chalky lineups filled with popular plays over 20% can work in cash games where we’re looking to finish in the 51st percentile of a […]
Vlad Sedler
NFL
Fantasy
2023 Fantasy Football Linebacker Midseason Rankings
The linebacker position can look very different on a team-by-team basis in today’s NFL. Some teams utilize outside linebackers to generate pressure or drop in coverage. Others use two or three off-ball linebackers, opting to go with bigger defensive linemen to control the line of scrimmage. Through six weeks, there have been clear examples […]
Dan Fornek
NFL
Bets
Week 7 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Kendrick Bourne from EV Insight
Kendrick BourneReceiving Yards Player Props – Week 7 Patriots vs. Bills Right now, Kendrick Bourne’s receiving yards prop is set at 37.5 yards (-110/-110). The public has bet the UNDER down to 37.5 (-110) after it opened @ 39.5 (-114). O/U 37.5 -115/-115 O/U 37.5 -110/-110 O/U 37.5 -129/-106 O/U 37.5 -115/-115 Pros An extreme […]
FTN Staff
NFL
Bets
Week 7 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Rhamondre Stevenson from EV Insight
Rhamondre StevensonRushing Yards Player Props – Week 7 Patriots vs. Bills Right now, Rhamondre Stevenson’s rushing yards prop is set at 44.5 yards (-110/-110). The public has bet the OVER up to 44.5 (-110) after it opened @ 43.5 (-110). O/U 44.5 -125/-105 O/U 45.5 -110/-110 O/U 44.5 -119/-115 O/U 44.5 -110/-120 Pros The Patriots […]
FTN Staff
NFL
Bets
Week 7 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Amon-Ra St. Brown from EV Insight
Amon-Ra St. BrownReceiving Yards Player Props – Week 7 Ravens vs. Lions Right now, Amon-Ra St. Brown’s receiving yards prop is set at 74.5 yards (-119/-115). The public has bet the OVER up to 74.5 (-119) after it opened @ 70.5 (-119). O/U 74.5 -105/-125 O/U 71.5 -110/-110 O/U 74.5 -119/-115 O/U 74.5 -110/-120 Pros […]
FTN Staff
NFL
Bets
Week 7 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Noah Fant from EV Insight
Noah FantReceiving Yards Player Props – Week 7 Seahawks vs. Cardinals Right now, Noah Fant’s receiving yards prop is set at 20.5 yards (-115/-115). The public has bet the UNDER down to 20.5 (-115) after it opened @ 21.5 (-114). O/U 21.5 105/-135 O/U 19.5 -113/-113 O/U 21.5 104/-142 Pros Right now, the 9th-most pass-oriented […]
FTN Staff
NFL
Bets
Week 7 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Zach Ertz from EV Insight
Zach ErtzReceiving Yards Player Props – Week 7 Seahawks vs. Cardinals Right now, Zach Ertz’s receiving yards prop is set at 23.5 yards (-101/-135). The public has bet the UNDER down to 23.5 (-135) after it opened @ 24.5 (-119). O/U 23.5 -110/-120 O/U 22.5 -110/-110 O/U 23.5 -101/-135 O/U 23.5 -110/-120 Pros The Arizona […]
FTN Staff
NFL
Bets
Week 7 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Davante Adams from EV Insight
Davante AdamsReceiving Yards Player Props – Week 7 Bears vs. Raiders Right now, Davante Adams’s receiving yards prop is set at 74.5 yards (-110/-110). The public has bet the OVER up to 74.5 (-110) after it opened @ 69.5 (-114). O/U 72.5 -125/-105 O/U 74.5 -110/-110 O/U 72.5 -129/-106 O/U 72.5 -115/-115 Pros The Raiders […]
FTN Staff
NFL
Bets
Week 7 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Michael Mayer from EV Insight
Michael MayerReceiving Yards Player Props – Week 7 Bears vs. Raiders Right now, Michael Mayer’s receiving yards prop is set at 20.5 yards (-145/+106). The public has bet the OVER up to 20.5 (-145) after it opened @ 20.5 (-121). O/U 20.5 -135/105 O/U 21.5 -110/-110 O/U 20.5 -145/106 O/U 20.5 -135/105 Pros The Raiders […]
FTN Staff
NFL
Bets
Week 7 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Aaron Jones from EV Insight
Aaron JonesRushing Yards Player Props – Week 7 Broncos vs. Packers Right now, Aaron Jones’s rushing yards prop is set at 53.5 yards (-110/-110). The public has bet the UNDER down to 53.5 (-110) after it opened @ 54.5 (-110). O/U 53.5 -120/-110 O/U 47.5 -110/-110 O/U 53.5 -115/-119 O/U 53.5 -115/-115 Pros Aaron Jones […]
FTN Staff
NFL
Bets
Week 7 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Sam LaPorta from EV Insight
Sam LaPortaReceiving Yards Player Props – Week 7 Ravens vs. Lions Right now, Sam LaPorta’s receiving yards prop is set at 43.5 yards (-110/-110). The public has bet the OVER up to 43.5 (-110) after it opened @ 41.5 (-110). O/U 43.5 -115/-115 O/U 42.5 -110/-110 O/U 43.5 -119/-115 O/U 43.5 -115/-115 Pros A passing […]
FTN Staff
NFL
Bets
NFL Survivor/Eliminator Picks: Week 7
If anyone asks, I wrote about four instead of my usual five Survivor League picks for Week 7 because six teams are on bye and not so I could leave work an hour early to beat the Thirsty Thursday bar rush. Seattle Seahawks -8 vs. Cardinals It breaks my heart to pick against my beloved Jo […]
FTN Staff
NFL
Fantasy
The Read Option, Week 7: Los Angeles Chargers and Kansas City Chiefs
The Read-Option is Adam Pfeifer’s weekly fantasy football game-by-game breakdown, covering everything a fantasy manager needs to know before setting or building lineups for the week. Below, check out his breakdown of the Los Angeles Chargers and Kansas City Chiefs game for Week 7. Week 7 Fantasy Football Breakdown: Los Angeles Chargers @ Kansas […]
Adam Pfeifer
NFL
DFS
Week 7 Thursday Night Football DFS Showdown Slate: Jacksonville Jaguars vs. New Orleans Saints
Thursday Night Football has arrived and we have the Jacksonville Jaguars at the new Orleans Saints to start up Week 7. This article will give you my DFS showdown picks and strategy for DraftKings and FanDuel. I tend to go with a correlated build that tells a story. I find that wins more than it […]
David Jones
NFL
Fantasy
NFL Defensive Line Rankings — Midseason
Scoring is down in the NFL this season, which means that defenses must be playing exceptionally well. The key to any good defense is the ability to get after the passer. Consistent pressure on quarterbacks helps the secondary and keeps teams from finding a rhythm and stringing together chunk plays down the field. Six […]
Dan Fornek
NFL
Bets
Week 7 Player Props: Receiving Yards for A.J. Brown from EV Insight
A.J. BrownReceiving Yards Player Props – Week 7 Eagles vs. Dolphins Right now, A.J. Brown’s receiving yards prop is set at 84.5 yards (-110/-110). The public has bet the OVER up to 84.5 (-110) after it opened @ 82.5 (-114). O/U 81.5 -125/-105 O/U 84.5 -110/-110 O/U 81.5 -117/-117 O/U 81.5 -115/-115 Pros Accounting for […]
FTN Staff
NFL
Bets
Week 7 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Michael Pittman from EV Insight
Michael PittmanReceiving Yards Player Props – Week 7 Colts vs. Browns Right now, Michael Pittman’s receiving yards prop is set at 50.5 yards (-110/-110). O/U 52.5 -115/-115 O/U 50.5 -110/-110 O/U 52.5 -119/-115 O/U 53.5 -110/-120 Pros This week’s line implies a throwing game script for the Colts, who are -3.5-point underdogs. Given the game […]
FTN Staff
NFL
Bets
Week 7 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Jonathan Taylor from EV Insight
Jonathan TaylorRushing Yards Player Props – Week 7 Colts vs. Browns Right now, Jonathan Taylor’s rushing yards prop is set at 43.5 yards (-115/-115). The public has bet the UNDER down to 43.5 (-115) after it opened @ 44.5 (-115). O/U 49.5 -115/-115 O/U 48.5 -132/108 O/U 49.5 -133/-103 O/U 43.5 -115/-115 Pros The Colts […]
FTN Staff
NFL
Bets
Week 7 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Jerome Ford from EV Insight
Jerome FordRushing Yards Player Props – Week 7 Colts vs. Browns Right now, Jerome Ford’s rushing yards prop is set at 53.5 yards (-109/-125). The public has bet the UNDER down to 53.5 (-125) after it opened @ 59.5 (-125). O/U 53.5 -115/-115 O/U 53.5 -109/-125 O/U 55.5 -110/-120 Pros The Browns are a 3.5-point […]
FTN Staff
NFL
Fantasy
The Read Option, Week 7: Arizona Cardinals and Seattle Seahawks
The Read-Option is Adam Pfeifer’s weekly fantasy football game-by-game breakdown, covering everything a fantasy manager needs to know before setting or building lineups for the week. Below, check out his breakdown of the Arizona Cardinals and Seattle Seahawks game for Week 7. Week 7 Fantasy Football Breakdown: Arizona Cardinals @ Seattle Seahawks SEA -7.5, […]
Adam Pfeifer
NFL
Bets
Week 7 Player Props: Passing Yards for Brock Purdy from EV Insight
Brock PurdyPassing Yards Player Props – Week 7 Vikings vs. 49ers Right now, Brock Purdy’s passing yards prop is set at 240.5 yards (-110/-110). The public has bet the OVER up to 240.5 (-110) after it opened @ 238.5 (-110). O/U 245.5 -115/-115 O/U 241.5 -110/-110 O/U 245.5 -123/-111 O/U 245.5 -115/-115 Pros This game […]
FTN Staff
NFL
Bets
Week 7 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Brandon Aiyuk from EV Insight
Brandon AiyukReceiving Yards Player Props – Week 7 Vikings vs. 49ers Right now, Brandon Aiyuk’s receiving yards prop is set at 73.5 yards (-110/-110). The public has bet the OVER up to 73.5 (-110) after it opened @ 65.5 (-110). O/U 74.5 -115/-115 O/U 74.5 -110/-110 O/U 74.5 -137/100 O/U 74.5 -115/-115 Pros This game […]
FTN Staff
NFL
Bets
Week 7 Player Props: Passing Yards for Kirk Cousins from EV Insight
Kirk CousinsPassing Yards Player Props – Week 7 Vikings vs. 49ers Right now, Kirk Cousins’s passing yards prop is set at 249.5 yards (+112/-148). The public has bet the OVER up to 249.5 (+112) after it opened @ 232.5 (-113). O/U 244.5 -115/-115 O/U 241.5 -110/-110 O/U 244.5 -117/-117 O/U 244.5 -115/-115 Pros This game’s […]
FTN Staff
NFL
Bets
Week 7 Player Props: Receiving Yards for T.J. Hockenson from EV Insight
T.J. HockensonReceiving Yards Player Props – Week 7 Vikings vs. 49ers Right now, T.J. Hockenson’s receiving yards prop is set at 51.5 yards (-110/-110). The public has bet the OVER up to 51.5 (-110) after it opened @ 49.5 (-114). O/U 54.5 -105/-125 O/U 51.5 -110/-110 O/U 54.5 -115/-119 O/U 54.5 -115/-120 Pros This game’s […]
FTN Staff