Week 7 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Davante Adams from EV Insight

Davante AdamsReceiving Yards

Right now, Davante Adams’s receiving yards prop is set at 74.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 74.5 (-110) after it opened @ 69.5 (-114).

Pros

The Raiders will be forced to use backup QB Brian Hoyer in this week’s contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
Opposing teams have averaged 37.5 pass attempts per game against the Chicago Bears defense this year: 9th-most in the league.
The model projects Davante Adams to accumulate 9.1 targets in this week’s contest, on average, ranking him in the 93rd percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
Davante Adams has totaled a staggering 127.0 air yards per game this year: 98th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
With a RATE1-RATE2 point boost in WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive volume) from last season to this one, Davante Adams has been more prominently used in his offense’s air attack.

Cons

The leading projections forecast the Raiders as the 5th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 54.0% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Las Vegas Raiders are forecasted by the predictive model to call just 60.0 total plays in this game: the fewest on the slate this week.
The 6th-lowest number of plays in the league have been run by the Raiders this year (a lowly 54.2 per game on average).
Davante Adams’s talent in picking up extra yardage have tailed off this season, totaling a mere 3.44 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 4.95 figure last season.

Projection

THE BLITZ
75
Receiving Yards