NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Davante AdamsReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 7
Bears vs. Raiders
Right now, Davante Adams’s receiving yards prop is set at 74.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 74.5 (-110) after it opened @ 69.5 (-114).
Pros
- The Raiders will be forced to use backup QB Brian Hoyer in this week’s contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
- Opposing teams have averaged 37.5 pass attempts per game against the Chicago Bears defense this year: 9th-most in the league.
- The model projects Davante Adams to accumulate 9.1 targets in this week’s contest, on average, ranking him in the 93rd percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
- Davante Adams has totaled a staggering 127.0 air yards per game this year: 98th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
- With a RATE1-RATE2 point boost in WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive volume) from last season to this one, Davante Adams has been more prominently used in his offense’s air attack.
Cons
- The leading projections forecast the Raiders as the 5th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 54.0% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
- Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Las Vegas Raiders are forecasted by the predictive model to call just 60.0 total plays in this game: the fewest on the slate this week.
- The 6th-lowest number of plays in the league have been run by the Raiders this year (a lowly 54.2 per game on average).
- Davante Adams’s talent in picking up extra yardage have tailed off this season, totaling a mere 3.44 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 4.95 figure last season.
Projection
THE BLITZ
75
Receiving Yards
75
Receiving Yards
