Week 7 Player Props: Passing Yards for Kenny Pickett

Kenny PickettPassing Yards

Right now, Kenny Pickett’s passing yards prop is set at 211.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 211.5 (-110) after it opened @ 206.5 (-114).

Pros

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Steelers are underdogs in this week’s game, indicating more of a reliance on passing than their usual approach.
The leading projections forecast the Pittsburgh Steelers to call the 8th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Our trusted projections expect Kenny Pickett to attempt 36.7 passes in this contest, on average: the 7th-most among all quarterbacks.
The Rams linebackers project as the worst LB corps in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

Cons

The 7th-fewest plays in the NFL have been called by the Pittsburgh Steelers this year (only 54.6 per game on average).
The Pittsburgh Steelers O-line grades out as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful influence on all passing game stats across the board.
Kenny Pickett’s throwing precision has diminished this season, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 64.9% to 58.8%.
Kenny Pickett ranks as one of the worst per-play passers in the league this year, averaging a measly 6.03 adjusted yards-per-target while grading out in the lowly 12th percentile.
This year, the imposing Rams defense has allowed a measly 207.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing offenses: the 5th-best in football.

Projection

THE BLITZ
244
Passing Yards