Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
Jerome FordRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 7
Colts vs. Browns
Right now, Jerome Ford’s rushing yards prop is set at 53.5 yards (-109/-125).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 53.5 (-125) after it opened @ 59.5 (-125).
Pros
- The Browns are a 3.5-point favorite in this week’s game, likely creating a running game script.
- Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Cleveland Browns to run on 47.2% of their opportunities: the 4th-greatest rate on the slate this week.
- Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Cleveland Browns are predicted by our trusted projection set to call 66.9 offensive plays in this game: the 2nd-highest number among all teams this week.
- The 2nd-most plays in the league have been called by the Browns this year (a massive 66.0 per game on average).
- Jerome Ford has grinded out 49.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the highest figures in the league among running backs (79th percentile).
Cons
- This year, the porous Colts run defense has given up a monstrous 3.85 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to opposing offenses: the 23rd-largest rate in football.
Projection
THE BLITZ
63
Rushing Yards
63
Rushing Yards
