Week 7 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Jerome Ford from EV Insight

Jerome FordRushing Yards

Right now, Jerome Ford’s rushing yards prop is set at 53.5 yards (-109/-125).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 53.5 (-125) after it opened @ 59.5 (-125).

Pros

The Browns are a 3.5-point favorite in this week’s game, likely creating a running game script.
Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Cleveland Browns to run on 47.2% of their opportunities: the 4th-greatest rate on the slate this week.
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Cleveland Browns are predicted by our trusted projection set to call 66.9 offensive plays in this game: the 2nd-highest number among all teams this week.
The 2nd-most plays in the league have been called by the Browns this year (a massive 66.0 per game on average).
Jerome Ford has grinded out 49.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the highest figures in the league among running backs (79th percentile).

Cons

This year, the porous Colts run defense has given up a monstrous 3.85 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to opposing offenses: the 23rd-largest rate in football.

Projection

THE BLITZ
63
Rushing Yards