NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Sam LaPortaReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 7
Ravens vs. Lions
Right now, Sam LaPorta’s receiving yards prop is set at 43.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 43.5 (-110) after it opened @ 41.5 (-110).
Pros
- A passing game script is indicated by the Lions being a -3-point underdog in this game.
- The leading projections forecast Sam LaPorta to garner 7.1 targets in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 96th percentile among TEs.
- With a high 22.6% Target Share (98th percentile) this year, Sam LaPorta places among the tight ends with the most usage in the NFL.
- When talking about air yards, Sam LaPorta grades out in the lofty 96th percentile among TEs this year, totaling a superb 51.0 per game.
- Sam LaPorta profiles as one of the best TE receiving threats this year, averaging a remarkable 50.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 95th percentile.
Cons
- At the present time, the 4th-slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Detroit Lions.
- This year, the tough Baltimore Ravens defense has yielded the least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing tight ends: a mere 4.2 yards.
- The Baltimore Ravens pass defense has been quite strong when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, giving up an average of 3.14 yards-after-the-catch this year: the fewest in the NFL.
- As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Baltimore’s group of safeties has been fantastic this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in football.
Projection
THE BLITZ
41
Receiving Yards
41
Receiving Yards
