Week 7 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Michael Pittman from EV Insight

Michael PittmanReceiving Yards

Right now, Michael Pittman’s receiving yards prop is set at 50.5 yards (-110/-110).

Pros

This week’s line implies a throwing game script for the Colts, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to have 133.4 total plays run: the most out of all the games this week.
The Indianapolis Colts have run the 5th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 62.3 plays per game.
Michael Pittman has run a route on 98.5% of his offense’s passing plays this year, putting him in the 99th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
Michael Pittman’s 51.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year marks a a noteable decline in his pass-catching proficiency over last year’s 61.0 figure.

Cons

With a 58.3% rate of throwing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 5th-least pass-centric offense in the NFL has been the Indianapolis Colts.
Opposing QBs have averaged 28.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Cleveland Browns defense this year: fewest in the league.
This year, the fierce Browns defense has conceded a feeble 82.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing wideouts: the best in the NFL.
This year, the tough Cleveland Browns defense has allowed a meager 44.1% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing WRs: the best rate in football.
The Cleveland Browns safeties profile as the 8th-best safety corps in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

Projection

THE BLITZ
67
Receiving Yards