Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
Amon-Ra St. BrownReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 7
Ravens vs. Lions
Right now, Amon-Ra St. Brown’s receiving yards prop is set at 74.5 yards (-119/-115).
The public has bet the OVER up to 74.5 (-119) after it opened @ 70.5 (-119).
Pros
- A passing game script is indicated by the Lions being a -3-point underdog in this game.
- The projections expect Amon-Ra St. Brown to notch 10.3 targets in this week’s game, on average, placing him in the 97th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
- With an extraordinary 29.4% Target% (94th percentile) this year, Amon-Ra St. Brown ranks among the WRs with the highest volume in the league.
- Amon-Ra St. Brown has put up far more air yards this season (72.0 per game) than he did last season (65.0 per game).
- Amon-Ra St. Brown’s 96.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season represents a a meaningful progression in his pass-catching skills over last season’s 77.0 mark.
Cons
- At the present time, the 4th-slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Detroit Lions.
- The Ravens defense has allowed the 9th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 137.0) to wide receivers this year.
- The Ravens pass defense has shown good efficiency vs. wide receivers this year, conceding 6.55 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-fewest in football.
- As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Baltimore’s group of safeties has been fantastic this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in football.
Projection
THE BLITZ
82
Receiving Yards
82
Receiving Yards
