NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Dvoa NFL Articles
NFL
DVOA
Cornerback Coverage DVOA Weeks 1-11
Here's a look at cornerback coverage through Week 11. Some of the best cornerbacks are those expected (Patrick Surtain, Christian Benford) and those unexpected (Darrell Baker?).
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
How Much Blame Does Aaron Rodgers Deserve?
Yes, the mess in New York is heavily Aaron Rodgers' fault. Nathaniel Hackett doesn't escape blame either.
Alex Blickle
NFL
DVOA
Bad Luck and the Bengals
Is Joe Burrow on pace to be the best QB ever for a losing team? What would life be like if the Bengals -- and everyone else -- switched their results in one-score games?
Bryan Knowles
NFL
DVOA
Will the Kansas City Chiefs Go Undefeated in 2024?
Looking at each game on the schedule to figure out where the Chiefs might stumble. Or will they go all the way to 17-0?
Tyler Loechner
NFL
DVOA
Jared Goff: When Five Interceptions Aren’t That Bad
Is it possible to have a good game despite throwing five interceptions? Jared Goff almost did, because different interceptions are negative in different ways.
Bryan Knowles
NFL
DVOA
Who Will Win the NFC West?
The NFC West is a mess of near-.500 teams. Can the Cardinals pull it out? Will the 49ers come back? Or are the Rams ready now that their receivers are healthy?
Bryan Knowles
NFL
DVOA
The Dan Campbell Effect is Real
Are the Lions just so physical that they wear out their opponents, who then struggle the following week? It appears the answer may be yes, especially for underdogs.
Alex Blickle
NFL
DVOA
How Is Sean McVay the Winningest Rams Coach Ever?
Go back into the long history of the Los Angeles Rams, a franchise that has never had a truly great coach that stuck around for a long time... until Sean McVay.
Bryan Knowles
NFL
DVOA
Is NFC North the Best Division Ever?
Is the NFC North on pace to be the best division ever? And does that mean anything when we consider whether one of these four teams will win the Super Bowl?
Tyler Loechner
NFL
DVOA
2024 Route DVOA Through Week 7
Here's our first look at Route DVOA and DYAR for 2024, led by Falcons wideout Drake London and Justin Jefferson of the Vikings.
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
How the Chiefs are Scoring with Success Rate
How are the Chiefs staying undefeated? They may not have the best offensive DVOA, but they're the most consistent team staying on schedule. Is that sustainable?
Bryan Knowles
NFL
DVOA
Cornerback Coverage DVOA: Weeks 1-6
Here's a look at cornerback coverage DVOA through Week 6 of the 2024 season, highlighted by Marshon Lattimore, Jaylon Johnson, Patrick Surtain, and a surprising Stephon Gilmore.
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Has Offensive Production Rebounded?
The early lows for offense seem to be gone. Pressure is down and performance against the blitz is up.
Alex Blickle
NFL
DVOA
Gauging the Trade Deadline 2024
Which teams are out of it, and which players could be going somewhere new? Diontae Johnson, DeAndre Hopkins, Brandon Scherff, and more...
Bryan Knowles
NFL
DVOA
Are The Vikings Actually Good This Time?
The Vikings are No. 1 in DVOA. They've been No. 1 in DVOA before. They don't have a Super Bowl championship to show for it. Will this be the year?
Tyler Loechner
NFL
DVOA
Jets’ Saleh Move? It’s Just Weird
There haven't been a lot of coaches fired at midseason with a higher DVOA than Robert Saleh's New York Jets. Let's look further at the unexpected move.
Bryan Knowles
NFL
DVOA
2024 MVP May Not Have Wide Receivers, But He’ll Have Help
What does a lack of WR help mean for the MVP narrative for quarterbacks? How much help did past MVP quarterbacks get from their wideouts vs. other positions?
Scott Spratt
NFL
DVOA
Guts and Stomps and the Ravens-Bills Blowout
An update on Guts and Stomps shows that it is still better to beat down on your opponents like the Ravens often have, even if the Chiefs may be an exception to the rule.
Bryan Knowles
NFL
DVOA
What Does the Bills Blowout Mean?
Buffalo had gone 43 regular-season games without losing by more than a touchdown. What did Sunday night's loss mean for their future?
Bryan Knowles
NFL
DVOA
Rising Pressure and Offensive Decline in the NFL
What if great pass rushers like T.J. Watt have as much to do with declining offenses as the rise of two-high safety coverage?
Alex Blickle
NFL
DVOA
Year of the Retread Quarterbacks
It seems like an abnormal number of quarterbacks are having success in 2024 with new teams. How does this compare with years in the recent past?
Bryan Knowles
NFL
DVOA
Bryce Young: Biggest Draft Bust Ever?
Is the problem Bryce Young, or the team that surrounds him?
Tyler Loechner
NFL
DVOA
The 2024 DOOM Index
The Panthers are doomed! The Ravens and Bengals less so. Which 0-2 teams can regroup and still make the playoffs?
Bryan Knowles
NFL
DVOA
Ten Week 1 Narratives That Opponent Adjustments Would Explain
A lot of Week 1's stories make more sense if we apply last season's opponent adjustments: From Sam Darnold's big day to Aaron Rodgers' struggles.
Scott Spratt
NFL
DVOA
Let’s Jump to Some Conclusions!
National Jump to Conclusions Week has been somewhat quiet in 2024, but that doesn't mean we don't have thoughts on everything from MVP favorites to Antonio Pierce punting.
Bryan Knowles
NFL
DVOA
How Injuries Increase Later in NFL Games
It's intuitive to believe that NFL players suffer more injuries later in games. But is it true?
Guest Writer
NFL
DVOA
NFL Playoff Picture: Odds to Win Super Bowl LIX
Odds to Win Super Bowl LIX Revised as of 11/19/24, through Week 11 Compiled by Mike Harris The NFL playoff picture odds report plays out the season 25,000 times. A random draw assigns each team a win or loss for each game. The probability that a team will be given a win is based on […]
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Preseason Award Picks Part II
More analysis of NFL awards for 2024, looking at Rookie of the Year, Comeback Player of the Year, and who will win the Super Bowl in New Orleans.
Bryan Knowles
Cale Clinton
NFL
DVOA
Preseason Award Picks Part I
Bryan and Cale take a look at the most likely award winners for 2024: the best bets, the strong longshots, and the best values.
Bryan Knowles
Cale Clinton
NFL
DVOA
AFC West Over/Unders 2024
Is anybody going to challenge the Chiefs in the AFC West? No, but you can still bet on the over/unders for those other teams!
Bryan Knowles
Cale Clinton
NFL
DVOA
AFC South Over/Unders 2024
The AFC South is now an exciting division where all four teams have a quarterback on a rookie contract. Can the other three teams stop the Houston Texans?
Bryan Knowles
Cale Clinton
NFL
DVOA
AFC North Over/Unders 2024
Who will win the NFL's most lauded division? Can the Ravens dominate again, are the Bengals back, or is it all about the Browns defense?
Bryan Knowles
Cale Clinton