Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
NFL Articles
NFL
Bets
Week 9 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Darrell Henderson from EV Insight
Darrell HendersonRushing Yards Player Props – Week 9 Packers vs. Rams Right now, Darrell Henderson’s rushing yards prop is set at 47.5 yards (-120/-110). The public has bet the OVER up to 47.5 (-120) after it opened @ 45.5 (-115). O/U 47.5 -115/-115 O/U 47.5 -110/-110 O/U 47.5 -117/-117 O/U 47.5 -120/-110 Pros The Rams […]
FTN Staff
NFL
DFS
The GPP Report – Week 9 NFL DFS Game Theory
There are two ways to gain an edge against the competition in NFL DFS — we can outpick the competition, and we can out-build the competition. To outpick the competition, we have to rely on the incredible and unique data that we have at FTN. To out-build the competition, we have the Chalk Report. We […]
Alex Blickle
NFL
Fantasy
Golden Games for Week 9: Best Fantasy Matchups This Week
Welcome to the Week 9 edition of Golden Games, where we highlight the best fantasy football matchups of the week. This process is going to be simple. We’re looking for a few things each week: Game Environment: Good offenses? Bad defenses? Good weather? Which matchups have all (or most) of the firework ingredients we’re […]
Tyler Loechner
NFL
Bets
NFL Week 9 Best Bets
Thursday Night Football provided a physical battle between two blue-collar teams in Pittsburgh and Tennessee. The Steelers gutted out a 20-16 home victory to move to 5-3 on the season. We now turn our attention to Sunday’s 12-game slate, with Denver, Detroit, San Francisco and Jacksonville on byes. I already provided my favorite moneyline underdog backing […]
FTN Staff
NFL
Bets
Week 9 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Van Jefferson from EV Insight
Van JeffersonReceiving Yards Player Props – Week 9 Falcons vs. Vikings Right now, Van Jefferson’s receiving yards prop is set at 28.5 yards (-105/-125). The public has bet the UNDER down to 28.5 (-125) after it opened @ 29.5 (-115). O/U 28.5 -105/-125 O/U 27.5 -110/-110 O/U 28.5 -129/-106 O/U 28.5 -115/-115 Pros Given the […]
FTN Staff
NFL
Bets
Week 9 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Kyle Pitts from EV Insight
Kyle PittsReceiving Yards Player Props – Week 9 Falcons vs. Vikings Right now, Kyle Pitts’s receiving yards prop is set at 42.5 yards (-115/-115). O/U 42.5 -115/-115 O/U 44.5 -110/-110 O/U 42.5 -117/-117 O/U 42.5 -120/-115 Pros Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is predicted by our […]
FTN Staff
NFL
DFS
Underpriced and Overpriced DFS Players: Week 9
Joe Burrow’s hip recovery could breathe new life into his Bengals wide receivers in fantasy. But Burrow and Ja’Marr Chase aren’t my only Bengals DFS favorites this week. This is my Underpriced and Overpriced DFS Players column for Week 9. Each week, I run the weekly player projections I use as a foundation for my […]
Scott Spratt
NFL
DFS
MagicSportsGuy’s Weekly DVOA Funnel Report (Week 9)
Our CEO Kevin Adams (@MagicSportsGuy) uses Aaron Schatz’ DVOA metric to identify the best pass and rush offenses facing funnel defenses for NFL Week 9. Let’s start with a brief explanation of funnel defenses and how to properly identify them each week for DFS. Funnel defenses are either successful at defending the run or […]
Kevin Adams
NFL
Fantasy
The Fantasy Football Report for Week 9
November is here, and that means we’ve officially entered the third quarter of the fantasy season. Just like an NFL game, there are a lot of changes from one quarter to the next. It’s vitally important to be aware of these changes and to anticipate the direction things are moving in the NFL. Players will […]
Jeff Ratcliffe
NFL
Fantasy
The Read Option, Week 9: Los Angeles Chargers @ New York Jets
The Read-Option is Adam Pfeifer’s weekly fantasy football game-by-game breakdown, covering everything a fantasy manager needs to know before setting or building lineups for the week. Below, check out his breakdown of the Los Angeles Chargers and New York Jets game for Week 9. Week 9 Fantasy Football Breakdown: Los Angeles Chargers @ New […]
Adam Pfeifer
NFL
Fantasy
The Read Option, Week 9: Buffalo Bills @ Cincinnati Bengals
The Read-Option is Adam Pfeifer’s weekly fantasy football game-by-game breakdown, covering everything a fantasy manager needs to know before setting or building lineups for the week. Below, check out his breakdown of the Buffalo Bills and Cincinnati Bengals game for Week 9. Week 9 Fantasy Football Breakdown: Buffalo Bills @ Cincinnati Bengals CIN -3, […]
Adam Pfeifer
NFL
DFS
10 Under 10%: The Best Overlooked DFS Plays of Week 9
The path to winning DFS GPP tournaments is typically aided by diamonds in the rough. These are the players often overlooked and considered to be contrarian, looming under 10% rostered. Building chalky lineups filled with popular plays over 20% can work in cash games where we’re looking to finish in the 51st percentile of a […]
Adam Strangis
NFL
Bets
Week 9 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Keenan Allen from EV Insight
Keenan AllenReceiving Yards Player Props – Week 9 Jets vs. Chargers Right now, Keenan Allen’s receiving yards prop is set at 74.5 yards (-110/-110). O/U 75.5 -115/-115 O/U 74.5 -110/-110 O/U 75.5 -119/-115 O/U 74.5 -115/-115 Pros Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Los Angeles Chargers are expected by the projection model to […]
FTN Staff
NFL
DVOA
Defenses and Interception-Worthy Throws
Welcome back to our exploration of interception-worthy throws, a stat we collect with FTN Data charting. Last week, we looked at this stat in its proper context: analyzing quarterbacks. This is a quarterback passing stat used to count throws to well-defended receivers. I argued that this was a good way to cut out the noise and […]
Cale Clinton
CFB
NFL
Fantasy
2024 NFL Draft Scouting Report: Audric Estime
Last Updated: 11/3/2023 Audric Estime was a touchdown machine for Notre Dame in 2022, finding the end zone 12 times as a sophomore and adding a team-leading 920 yards on the ground. This season he has seen a significant role increase and has impressed with it. He already has over 900 rushing yards and […]
Jeremy Popielarz
NFL
Bets
Week 9 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Demario Douglas from EV Insight
Demario DouglasReceiving Yards Player Props – Week 9 Patriots vs. Commanders Right now, Demario Douglas’s receiving yards prop is set at 49.5 yards (-127/-108). The public has bet the OVER up to 49.5 (-127) after it opened @ 41.5 (-119). O/U 49.5 -115/-115 O/U 47.5 -110/-110 O/U 49.5 -127/-108 O/U 49.5 -115/-115 Pros Accounting for […]
FTN Staff
NFL
Bets
Week 9 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Hunter Henry from EV Insight
Hunter HenryReceiving Yards Player Props – Week 9 Patriots vs. Commanders Right now, Hunter Henry’s receiving yards prop is set at 31.5 yards (-110/-110). The public has bet the OVER up to 31.5 (-110) after it opened @ 30.5 (-102). O/U 31.5 -115/-115 O/U 31.5 -110/-110 O/U 31.5 -119/-115 O/U 31.5 -115/-120 Pros Accounting for […]
FTN Staff
NFL
Bets
Week 9 Player Props: Passing Yards for Aidan O’Connell from EV Insight
Aidan O’ConnellPassing Yards Player Props – Week 9 Raiders vs. Giants Right now, Aidan O’Connell’s passing yards prop is set at 209.5 yards (-110/-110). O/U 214.5 -115/-115 O/U 209.5 -110/-110 O/U 214.5 -123/-111 O/U 214.5 -115/-115 Pros The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the […]
FTN Staff
NFL
Bets
Week 9 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Jaylen Warren from EV Insight
Jaylen WarrenRushing Yards Player Props – Week 9 Steelers vs. Titans Right now, Jaylen Warren’s rushing yards prop is set at 25.5 yards (-110/-110). O/U 26.5 -110/-120 O/U 25.5 -110/-110 O/U 26.5 -121/-113 O/U 26.5 -110/-120 Pros This game’s line indicates a running game script for the Steelers, who are favored by 3 points. The […]
FTN Staff
NFL
DFS
TNF Week 9 DFS Showdown: Titans vs. Steelers
Thursday Night Football has arrived, and we have the Tennessee Titans at the Pittsburgh Steelers to kick off Week 9. This article will give you my DFS showdown picks and strategy for DraftKings and FanDuel. I tend to go with a correlated build that tells a story. I find that wins more than it loses. […]
David Jones
NFL
Bets
NFL Survivor/Eliminator Picks: Week 9
The nerds doubted my Bryce Young-led Panthers pick over “it” rookie C.J. Stroud and the Texans last week. The jocks doubted my fourth-down wizard Brandon Staley-led Chargers choice over “Justin Fields role model” Tyson Bagent and the Bears. And the psychologists doubted my “low positive” Josh Allen-led Bills backing over “not Tom Brady” and the […]
FTN Staff
NFL
Bets
Week 9 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Tyler Conklin from EV Insight
Tyler ConklinReceiving Yards Player Props – Week 9 Jets vs. Chargers Right now, Tyler Conklin’s receiving yards prop is set at 25.5 yards (-115/-119). The public has bet the UNDER down to 25.5 (-119) after it opened @ 26.5 (-119). O/U 25.5 -120/-110 O/U 27.5 -110/-110 O/U 25.5 -115/-119 O/U 25.5 -115/-115 Pros The Jets […]
FTN Staff
NFL
Bets
Week 9 Player Props: Receiving Yards for T.J. Hockenson from EV Insight
T.J. HockensonReceiving Yards Player Props – Week 9 Falcons vs. Vikings Right now, T.J. Hockenson’s receiving yards prop is set at 47.5 yards (-110/-110). The public has bet the UNDER down to 47.5 (-110) after it opened @ 49.5 (-114). O/U 48.5 -110/-120 O/U 47.5 -110/-110 O/U 48.5 -119/-115 O/U 48.5 -125/-105 Pros A passing […]
FTN Staff
NFL
Bets
Week 9 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Jordan Addison from EV Insight
Jordan AddisonReceiving Yards Player Props – Week 9 Falcons vs. Vikings Right now, Jordan Addison’s receiving yards prop is set at 49.5 yards (+108/-141). The public has bet the OVER up to 49.5 (+108) after it opened @ 45.5 (-112). O/U 46.5 -115/-115 O/U 45.5 -110/-110 O/U 46.5 -119/-115 O/U 46.5 -115/-115 Pros A passing […]
FTN Staff
NFL
Bets
Week 9 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Luke Musgrave from EV Insight
Luke MusgraveReceiving Yards Player Props – Week 9 Packers vs. Rams Right now, Luke Musgrave’s receiving yards prop is set at 29.5 yards (+110/-143). The public has bet the OVER up to 29.5 (+110) after it opened @ 27.5 (-113). O/U 25.5 -115/-115 O/U 25.5 -110/-110 O/U 25.5 -117/-117 O/U 25.5 -115/-115 Pros The Packers […]
FTN Staff
NFL
Bets
Week 9 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Noah Fant from EV Insight
Noah FantReceiving Yards Player Props – Week 9 Ravens vs. Seahawks Right now, Noah Fant’s receiving yards prop is set at 20.5 yards (+100/-130). The public has bet the UNDER down to 20.5 (-130) after it opened @ 20.5 (-120). O/U 18.5 -115/-115 O/U 18.5 -110/-110 O/U 18.5 -113/-121 O/U 18.5 -120/-110 Pros This week’s […]
FTN Staff
NFL
Bets
Week 9 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Austin Ekeler from EV Insight
Austin EkelerRushing Yards Player Props – Week 9 Jets vs. Chargers Right now, Austin Ekeler’s rushing yards prop is set at 48.5 yards (-110/-110). The public has bet the OVER up to 48.5 (-110) after it opened @ 47.5 (-114). O/U 48.5 -115/-115 O/U 48.5 -110/-110 O/U 48.5 -117/-117 O/U 49.5 -130/100 Pros The Los […]
FTN Staff
NFL
Bets
Week 9 Player Props: Passing Yards for Justin Herbert from EV Insight
Justin HerbertPassing Yards Player Props – Week 9 Jets vs. Chargers Right now, Justin Herbert’s passing yards prop is set at 248.5 yards (-110/-110). The public has bet the UNDER down to 248.5 (-110) after it opened @ 249.5 (-114). O/U 250.5 -105/-125 O/U 248.5 -110/-110 O/U 250.5 -109/-125 O/U 250.5 -115/-115 Pros Given their […]
FTN Staff
NFL
Fantasy
NFL Splits Tool, Week 9: Big Games to Monitor
The NFL is back, and so too is the fantasy football splits series, now featuring in-season data. Each week, I’ll be using the FTN Fantasy Splits Tool to look at how changes in environment and situations have impacted teams/players in the past, projecting their outlook going forward. Most of the content will be centered around injuries, […]
Sam Choudhury
NFL
DFS
NFL DFS Breakdown: WR vs. CB Matchups for Week 9
DFS is all about the matchups, especially when it comes to WR vs. CB. Remember when fantasy matchup analysis used to be “Team A gives up the most fantasy points to wide receivers”? Well, we’ve moved from analog to digital and now look at matchups on an individual level. Each week, I dig through the […]
Jeff Ratcliffe
NFL
Fantasy
The Read Option, Week 9: New York Giants @ Las Vegas Raiders
The Read-Option is Adam Pfeifer’s weekly fantasy football game-by-game breakdown, covering everything a fantasy manager needs to know before setting or building lineups for the week. Below, check out his breakdown of the New York Giants and Las Vegas Raiders game for Week 9. Week 9 Fantasy Football Breakdown: New York Giants @ Las […]
Adam Pfeifer
NFL
Bets
Week 9 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Raheem Mostert from EV Insight
Raheem MostertRushing Yards Player Props – Week 9 Chiefs vs. Dolphins Right now, Raheem Mostert’s rushing yards prop is set at 56.5 yards (-110/-110). The public has bet the OVER up to 56.5 (-110) after it opened @ 55.5 (-114). O/U 52.5 -120/-110 O/U 56.5 -110/-110 O/U 52.5 -123/-111 O/U 52.5 -115/-115 Pros The leading […]
FTN Staff