NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Aidan O’ConnellPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 9
Raiders vs. Giants
Right now, Aidan O’Connell’s passing yards prop is set at 209.5 yards (-110/-110).
Pros
- The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm “weather” conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.
- When talking about protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Raiders profiles as the best in the league this year.
- The New York Giants defense has struggled when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, allowing an average of 6.16 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year: the most in the league.
- As it relates to cornerbacks in pass coverage, New York’s unit has been terrible this year, profiling as the 2nd-worst in football.
Cons
- The predictive model expects the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 6th-least pass-oriented team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 58.2% pass rate.
- Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Las Vegas Raiders are forecasted by the predictive model to run only 60.4 offensive plays in this contest: the fewest on the slate this week.
- The smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Raiders this year (a lowly 52.9 per game on average).
- Opposing QBs teams have been afraid to pass too much against the Giants, averaging the 6th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 33.2 per game) this year.
- This year, the fierce New York Giants defense has yielded a feeble 67.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 8th-lowest rate in the NFL.
Projection
THE BLITZ
229
Passing Yards
229
Passing Yards
