Week 9 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Raheem Mostert from EV Insight

Raheem MostertRushing Yards

Right now, Raheem Mostert’s rushing yards prop is set at 56.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 56.5 (-110) after it opened @ 55.5 (-114).

Pros

The leading projections forecast Raheem Mostert to garner 13.1 rush attempts in this week’s contest, on balance, placing him in the 75th percentile among running backs.
Out of all running backs, Raheem Mostert grades out in the 87th percentile for carries this year, making up 54.7% of the workload in his offense’s ground game.
The Miami offensive line grades out as the 7th-best in football last year in run support.
Raheem Mostert’s 68.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season signifies a noteable growth in his rushing proficiency over last season’s 54.0 figure.
The Chiefs defense has had the 10th-worst efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, allowing 4.46 adjusted yards-per-carry.

Cons

Our trusted projections expect the Dolphins to be the 4th-least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 36.3% run rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
The leading projections forecast the Dolphins offense to be the 4th-most sluggish paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 28.74 seconds per play.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Projection

THE BLITZ
61
Rushing Yards