Week 9 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Jordan Addison from EV Insight

Jordan AddisonReceiving Yards

Right now, Jordan Addison’s receiving yards prop is set at 49.5 yards (+108/-141).

The public has bet the OVER up to 49.5 (+108) after it opened @ 45.5 (-112).

Pros

A passing game script is suggested by the Vikings being a -3.5-point underdog in this week’s contest.
Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Minnesota Vikings to pass on 62.9% of their opportunities: the 7th-highest clip among all teams this week.
The predictive model expects the Vikings to call the 6th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.5 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still “weather” conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may suffer.
In this game, Jordan Addison is forecasted by the projection model to position himself in the 89th percentile among wideouts with 8.6 targets.

Cons

Jordan Addison profiles as one of the worst wideouts in football at picking up extra yardage, averaging a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 1st percentile.
The Atlanta Falcons defense has given up the 5th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 132.0) versus wideouts this year.
The Atlanta Falcons pass defense has allowed the 8th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (62.5%) versus wideouts this year (62.5%).
When it comes to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Atlanta’s safety corps has been great this year, grading out as the 9th-best in football.

Projection

THE BLITZ
64
Receiving Yards