Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Jordan AddisonReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 9
Falcons vs. Vikings
Right now, Jordan Addison’s receiving yards prop is set at 49.5 yards (+108/-141).
The public has bet the OVER up to 49.5 (+108) after it opened @ 45.5 (-112).
Pros
- A passing game script is suggested by the Vikings being a -3.5-point underdog in this week’s contest.
- Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Minnesota Vikings to pass on 62.9% of their opportunities: the 7th-highest clip among all teams this week.
- The predictive model expects the Vikings to call the 6th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.5 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
- The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still “weather” conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may suffer.
- In this game, Jordan Addison is forecasted by the projection model to position himself in the 89th percentile among wideouts with 8.6 targets.
Cons
- Jordan Addison profiles as one of the worst wideouts in football at picking up extra yardage, averaging a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 1st percentile.
- The Atlanta Falcons defense has given up the 5th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 132.0) versus wideouts this year.
- The Atlanta Falcons pass defense has allowed the 8th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (62.5%) versus wideouts this year (62.5%).
- When it comes to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Atlanta’s safety corps has been great this year, grading out as the 9th-best in football.
Projection
THE BLITZ
64
Receiving Yards
64
Receiving Yards
