NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Tyler ConklinReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 9
Jets vs. Chargers
Right now, Tyler Conklin’s receiving yards prop is set at 25.5 yards (-115/-119).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 25.5 (-119) after it opened @ 26.5 (-119).
Pros
- The Jets will be forced to utilize backup QB Zach Wilson in this week’s game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
- The Jets are a 3-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
- Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to have 130.6 plays on offense run: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week.
- The Los Angeles Chargers defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, causing opposing teams to attempt the 4th-most passes in football (39.7 per game) this year.
- With an outstanding 30.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (75th percentile) this year, Tyler Conklin rates among the leading tight ends in the pass game in the NFL.
Cons
- Our trusted projections expect the New York Jets to be the least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 58.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
- The lowest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Jets this year (a measly 52.9 per game on average).
- After accumulating 38.0 air yards per game last year, Tyler Conklin has been a disappointment this year, currently pacing 28.0 per game.
- In regards to pass-blocking (and the significance it has on all air attack stats), the O-line of the Jets ranks as the worst in the NFL this year.
- This year, the formidable Chargers pass defense has given up the 3rd-least yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing tight ends: a paltry 3.7 YAC.
Projection
THE BLITZ
31
Receiving Yards
31
Receiving Yards
