Week 9 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Kyle Pitts from EV Insight

Kyle PittsReceiving Yards

Right now, Kyle Pitts’s receiving yards prop is set at 42.5 yards (-115/-115).

Pros

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is predicted by our trusted projection set to see 131.2 plays on offense run: the 3rd-highest number on the slate this week.
The 7th-most plays in football have been run by the Falcons this year (a whopping 62.0 per game on average).
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The leading projections forecast Kyle Pitts to total 6.3 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 94th percentile among tight ends.
Kyle Pitts has been one of the leading TEs in the pass game this year, averaging a fantastic 38.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 85th percentile.

Cons

A running game script is indicated by the Falcons being a 3.5-point favorite in this week’s contest.
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Atlanta Falcons to pass on 53.4% of their plays: the 4th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
After averaging 77.0 air yards per game last year, Kyle Pitts has gotten worse this year, now pacing 66.0 per game.
Kyle Pitts’s 2.71 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year illustrates a remarkable regression in his effectiveness in space over last year’s 6.6% figure.
This year, the imposing Minnesota Vikings defense has surrendered a measly 36.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing TEs: the 3rd-fewest in the NFL.

Projection

THE BLITZ
47
Receiving Yards