Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
NFL Articles
NFL
Bets
Florida Legal Betting: Best Dolphins Bets for NFL Week 14
With Florida legal sports betting starting, FTN’s Jovan Alford picks out his favorite action for this week’s Jacksonville Jaguars game. Florida has forever been a state that boasts some of the best collegiate and professional sports teams, and with that comes some of the most passionate sports fans. Now, those fans can take part […]
FTN Staff
NFL
Bets
Florida Legal Betting: Best Jaguars Bets for NFL Week 14
Great news, Florida sports fans! In-person sports betting is now legal in the Sunshine State at casinos run by the Seminole Tribe. Along with in-person sports betting, sports fans can also bet online with the Hard Rock Bet app! It’s a perfect time for sports betting to go live in the state, as we […]
FTN Staff
NFL
Bets
Gross Bombs: Week 14 NFL Props
We move on to Week 14 of the 2023 NFL season. As you’ll see across FTN Bets, there will be numerous pieces of content, as well as our terrific statistical tools available to all subscribers. If you haven’t already joined our Discord server, I certainly recommend doing so, as our experts generally find time throughout the […]
Josh Gross
NFL
Bets
Week 14 Player Props: Passing Yards for Derek Carr from EV Insight
Derek CarrPassing Yards Player Props – Week 14 Saints vs. Panthers Right now, Derek Carr’s passing yards prop is set at 224.5 yards (-103/-127). The public has bet the OVER up to 224.5 (-103) after it opened @ 221.5 (-115). O/U 222.5 -115/-115 O/U 223.5 -110/-110 O/U 222.5 -115/-119 O/U 222.5 -115/-115 Pros Based on […]
FTN Staff
NFL
Bets
NFL Circa Millions Picks: Week 14
After going a disappointing 2-3 last week, my best entry in the Circa Millions NFL Picks contest dropped to tied for 26th place, though I’m still just three correct picks away from first. Here are some of the sides that pique my interest in Week 14. Week 14 Circa Millions Picks New York Jets […]
Michael Cohen
NFL
Bets
Florida Legal Betting: Best Buccaneers Bets for NFL Week 14
In the long war that is launching Florida sports betting, consider this a victorious battle. The Seminole Tribe’s Hard Rock Bet went fully live in the Sunshine State Tuesday after about a month of early sports betting opportunities to already-existing Hard Rock account holders. Florida has forever been a state that boasts some of […]
FTN Staff
NFL
DFS
Best DFS Stacks in Week 14 According to DVOA
DVOA data does more than just tell us how good a team has been throughout the season. It tells us whose passing offense is improving and whose run defense is suddenly lacking. It allows us to project efficiency of both kinds for all offenses, and perhaps most important for DFS purposes, it allows us to […]
Alex Blickle
NFL
Bets
Week 14 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Clyde Edwards-Helaire from EV Insight
Clyde Edwards-HelaireRushing Yards Player Props – Week 14 Chiefs vs. Bills Right now, Clyde Edwards-Helaire’s rushing yards prop is set at 50.5 yards (-110/-110). The public has bet the UNDER down to 50.5 (-110) after it opened @ 52.5 (-110). O/U 50.5 -115/-115 O/U 50.5 -117/-117 O/U 50.5 -115/-115 Pros Accounting for their underlying play […]
FTN Staff
NFL
Fantasy
The Fantasy Football Report for Week 14
It’s all come down to this. There’s one week remaining in the fantasy football regular season. And if you’re anything like most fantasy football managers, you’re probably playing for a playoff spot. Must. Win. Game. Sure, you could already be in, or heck, even have a bye. If that applies to you, I do appreciate […]
Jeff Ratcliffe
NFL
DFS
10 Under 10%: The Best Overlooked DFS Plays of Week 14
The path to winning DFS GPP tournaments is typically aided by diamonds in the rough. These are the players often overlooked and considered to be contrarian, looming under 10% rostered. Building chalky lineups filled with popular plays over 20% can work in cash games where we’re looking to finish in the 51st percentile of a […]
Sam Choudhury
NFL
Bets
NFL Week 14 Best Bets
It was an easy Week 13 week for the NFL picks article, comfortably hitting Green Bay +6 in their outright home win over the Chiefs. We have two picks for Week 14, both underdogs against teams getting too much love in the betting market. Let’s add our favorite Sunday picks to this week’s betting card. […]
FTN Staff
NFL
DVOA
Jets Lead Route DVOA for Defenses
Last week, I took a look at Route DVOA for receivers. This is DVOA based on value per route run rather than value per target, to account for the fact that earning targets by getting open is a skill. Now we’re going to flip that around and look at our DVOA vs. Types of Receivers […]
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DFS
Underpriced and Overpriced DFS Players: Week 14
For the fortunate players who have secured their berths, Week 14 may mean little for traditional fantasy football with the fantasy playoffs just a week or two away. But DFS offers a consistent option for some fun. And I can hopefully help with your lineups with my Underpriced and Overpriced DFS Players column for Week […]
Scott Spratt
NFL
Fantasy
Week 14 Rankings Deep Dive: Finding a Fantasy Edge
Fantasy football rankings are serious business. When you need answers on who to start or sit each week, reviewing rankings is often the quickest way to gather information to make an informed decision. With most leagues either starting playoffs this week or next, the start/sit decisions are now absolutely critical. We have a plethora of […]
Mike Randle
NFL
Fantasy
NFL Splits Tool, Week 14: Big Games to Monitor
The NFL is back, and so too is the fantasy football splits series, now featuring in-season data. Each week, I’ll be using the FTN Fantasy Splits Tool to look at how changes in environment and situations have impacted teams/players in the past, projecting their outlook going forward. Most of the content will be centered around injuries, […]
Sam Choudhury
NFL
Bets
Week 14 Player Props: Receiving Yards for JuJu Smith-Schuster from EV Insight
JuJu Smith-SchusterReceiving Yards Player Props – Week 14 Steelers vs. Patriots Right now, JuJu Smith-Schuster’s receiving yards prop is set at 30.5 yards (-115/-115). The public has bet the OVER up to 30.5 (-115) after it opened @ 15.5 (+100). O/U 28.5 -115/-115 O/U 27.5 -110/-110 O/U 28.5 -115/-119 O/U 28.5 -120/-110 Pros At a […]
FTN Staff
NFL
DFS
TNF Week 14 DFS Showdown: Patriots vs. Steelers
Thursday Night Football has arrived and we have the New England Patriots and the Pittsburgh Steelers to kick off Week 14. This article will give you my DFS showdown picks and strategy for DraftKings and FanDuel. I tend to go with a correlated build that tells a story. I find that wins more than it […]
David Jones
NFL
Bets
Week 14 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Roschon Johnson from EV Insight
Roschon JohnsonRushing Yards Player Props – Week 14 Bears vs. Lions Right now, Roschon Johnson’s rushing yards prop is set at 20.5 yards (-137/+100). The public has bet the OVER up to 20.5 (-137) after it opened @ 14.5 (-125). O/U 20.5 -110/-120 O/U 20.5 -137/100 O/U 20.5 -110/-120 Pros Based on their underlying strategic […]
FTN Staff
NFL
Bets
Week 14 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Jerome Ford from EV Insight
Jerome FordRushing Yards Player Props – Week 14 Browns vs. Jaguars Right now, Jerome Ford’s rushing yards prop is set at 46.5 yards (-103/-133). The public has bet the UNDER down to 46.5 (-133) after it opened @ 48.5 (-115). O/U 46.5 -115/-115 O/U 46.5 -110/-110 O/U 46.5 -103/-133 O/U 46.5 -120/-110 Pros The projections […]
FTN Staff
NFL
Bets
Week 14 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Noah Fant from EV Insight
Noah FantReceiving Yards Player Props – Week 14 49ers vs. Seahawks Right now, Noah Fant’s receiving yards prop is set at 15.5 yards (-110/-110). O/U 16.5 -115/-115 O/U 15.5 -110/-110 O/U 16.5 -121/-113 O/U 16.5 -115/-115 Pros The Seahawks may take to the air less in this game (and call more carries) given that they […]
FTN Staff
NFL
Bets
NFL Survivor/Eliminator Picks: Week 14
I was ready to blame my Week 13 Survivor loss on Kenny Pickett’s injury and bad Pittsburgh weather, but then Jaylen Warren told reporters that the team took the terrible Cardinals team too lightly. Remind me to add Trap Game rankings to my Revenge Game rankings in 2024 if for some strange reason FTN wants […]
FTN Staff
NFL
DFS
MagicSportsGuy’s Weekly DVOA Funnel Report (Week 14)
FTN founder Kevin Adams (@MagicSportsGuy) uses Aaron Schatz’ DVOA metric to identify the best pass and rush offenses facing funnel defenses for NFL Week 14. Let’s start with a brief explanation of funnel defenses and how to properly identify them each week for DFS. Funnel defenses are either successful at defending the run or […]
Kevin Adams
NFL
Fantasy
Golden Games for Week 14: Best Fantasy Matchups This Week
Welcome to the Week 14 edition of Golden Games, where we highlight the best fantasy football matchups of the week. This process is going to be simple. We’re looking for a few things each week: Game Environment: Good offenses? Bad defenses? Good weather? Which matchups have all (or most) of the firework ingredients we’re […]
Tyler Loechner
NFL
Bets
Week 14 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Dallas Goedert from EV Insight
Dallas GoedertReceiving Yards Player Props – Week 14 Cowboys vs. Eagles Right now, Dallas Goedert’s receiving yards prop is set at 37.5 yards (-110/-110). The public has bet the OVER up to 37.5 (-110) after it opened @ 33.5 (-110). O/U 37.5 -140/110 O/U 38.5 -110/-110 O/U 37.5 -148/108 O/U 37.5 -115/-120 Pros The Eagles […]
FTN Staff
NFL
DFS
NFL DFS Breakdown: WR vs. CB Matchups for Week 14
DFS is all about the matchups, especially when it comes to WR vs. CB. Remember when fantasy matchup analysis used to be “Team A gives up the most fantasy points to wide receivers”? Well, we’ve moved from analog to digital and now look at matchups on an individual level. Each week, I dig through the […]
Jeff Ratcliffe
Jeff Ratcliffe
Alex Blickle
NFL
Fantasy
Fantasy Football Start/Sit: Week 14
Week 14 will hopefully represent a breather for your fantasy football teams that have already locked up their playoff spots or have byes in the first week of an extended playoff. But for everyone still fighting for their postseason lives, my Start and Sit column for Week 14 can hopefully help you with your difficult […]
Scott Spratt
NFL
DVOA
Steelers-Patriots and Lowest NFL Over-Under Totals
This is a general reminder to everyone: there is nothing stopping you from just … not watching tonight’s Thursday Night Football game. Seriously. Get some holiday shopping done. Call a loved one. Hell, go watch a movie. Anything but watching the Pittsburgh Steelers and New England Patriots play some caricature of a “football game.” The […]
Cale Clinton
NFL
Bets
TNF Plays: Best Props for Thursday Night Football, Week 14
Week 14 of the NFL season brings us an uninspiring matchup with the New England Patriots visiting the Pittsburgh Steelers. This game carries a six-point spread but a bottom-barrel projected total of 30 points. The Steelers (7-5) are very much in the playoff race but cannot afford a home loss to a Patriots team (2-10) […]
FTN Staff
NFL
DVOA
2024 NFL Draft First Pick Odds: Patriots vs. Panthers (Bears)
It’s the last race you want to win when the contest begins in September. But by the time December rolls around, you’re kind of rooting for it. The first overall pick. The first place prize for the last place team. So who is it going to be this year? Current Odds of Getting the First […]
Tyler Loechner
NFL
DFS
Underdog Battle Royale: Week 14 Plays
The fantasy football world has already gotten a taste of Underdog Fantasy’s amazing interface in best ball drafts, with this year’s Best Ball Mania awarding $15,000,000 in prizes, but believe it or not, for a few years now, they’ve also offered a “Battle Royale” mode, which is a draft format, solely based on the Sunday […]
Kenneth Le
NFL
Bets
Spotlight Props: Top Prop Picks for Steelers-Patriots, Week 14
Week 14 kicks off with an AFC matchup as the Pittsburgh Steelers travel to Foxboro to play the New England Patriots on Thursday Night Football (8:15 p.m. ET, Prime Video). Pittsburgh enters this primetime contest as six-point road favorites despite missing starting QB Kenny Pickett, according to DraftKings Sportsbook. Pickett underwent tightrope surgery for a […]
FTN Staff
NFL
Bets
Week 14 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Nico Collins from EV Insight
Nico CollinsReceiving Yards Player Props – Week 14 Jets vs. Texans Right now, Nico Collins’s receiving yards prop is set at 64.5 yards (-110/-110). The public has bet the UNDER down to 64.5 (-110) after it opened @ 82.5 (-114). O/U 62.5 -115/-115 O/U 64.5 -110/-110 O/U 62.5 -103/-133 O/U 62.5 -120/-115 Pros The projections […]
FTN Staff