Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
In the long war that is launching Florida sports betting, consider this a victorious battle. The Seminole Tribe’s Hard Rock Bet went fully live in the Sunshine State Tuesday after about a month of early sports betting opportunities to already-existing Hard Rock account holders.
Florida has forever been a state that boasts some of the best collegiate and professional sports teams, and with that comes some of the most passionate sports fans. Now, those fans can take part in legal online betting just in time for the home stretch of an NFL season that features the Miami Dolphins, Jacksonville Jaguars and Tampa Bay Buccaneers all making a push for the playoffs.
If you’re one of the lucky Floridians looking to take part in the state’s launch into the legal sports betting world, be sure to check out all of FTN’s awesome betting tools, advanced stats and bet tracker.
NFL Sports Betting in Florida
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons
Falcons -2.5, O/U 40.5
The Buccaneers are 2-6 in their last eight games, but they are still just one game back in the NFC South, and they have a chance to take out the division-leading Atlanta Falcons in Week 14. These two teams last met in Week 7, when the Falcons squeaked out a 16-13 victory thanks to a last-second field goal from Younghoe Koo.
In that contest, the Bucs moved the ball well through the air but struggled to get the ground game going against Atlanta’s 10th-ranked rush DVOA defense. That forced Tampa Bay to all but abandon the run, as Baker Mayfield aired it out 42 times for 275 yards. He’s not the only quarterback who has had success through the air against the Falcons though (29th in pass defense DVOA). In fact, every team since Week 7 has seen their QBs combine for at least 235 passing yards except the Tim Boyle and Trevor Siemian-led Jets (214 yards).
With the Bucs continued struggles on the ground and the Falcons’ pass-funnel defense, I expect Mayfield to utilize all of his weapons to find success through the air.
Best Bet
Baker Mayfield Over 222.5 Passing Yards (-115)
