Week 14 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Clyde Edwards-Helaire from EV Insight

Clyde Edwards-HelaireRushing Yards

Right now, Clyde Edwards-Helaire’s rushing yards prop is set at 50.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 50.5 (-110) after it opened @ 52.5 (-110).

Pros

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Kansas City Chiefs are predicted by the projections to call 65.2 plays on offense in this game: the 9th-most on the slate this week.
In this week’s game, Clyde Edwards-Helaire is expected by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 76th percentile among running backs with 13.9 rush attempts.
The model projects Clyde Edwards-Helaire to be much more involved in his offense’s run game in this week’s game (58.6% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (11.4% in games he has played).
The Kansas City Chiefs offensive line profiles as the best in the NFL last year at blocking for rushers.
This year, the fierce Buffalo Bills run defense has surrendered a meager 4.79 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposing ground game: the 29th-lowest rate in the league.

Cons

Our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs as the 2nd-least run-focused team on the slate this week with a 36.6% run rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
Clyde Edwards-Helaire has rushed for significantly fewer adjusted yards per game (13.0) this season than he did last season (30.0).
Clyde Edwards-Helaire’s rushing effectiveness has diminished this year, notching just 3.50 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 4.28 mark last year.
The Buffalo Bills linebackers rank as the 4th-best LB corps in the league this year in regard to defending the run.

Projection

THE BLITZ
54
Rushing Yards