NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Derek CarrPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 14
Saints vs. Panthers
Right now, Derek Carr’s passing yards prop is set at 224.5 yards (-103/-127).
The public has bet the OVER up to 224.5 (-103) after it opened @ 221.5 (-115).
Pros
- Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to have 134.1 plays on offense called: the 2nd-most out of all the games this week.
- The New Orleans Saints have run the 2nd-most plays in football this year, averaging a staggering 63.4 plays per game.
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Cons
- A rushing game script is implied by the Saints being a 5.5-point favorite this week.
- Opposing QBs have averaged 30.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Panthers defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the league.
- The New Orleans O-line profiles as the 5th-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all passing offense stats across the board.
- This year, the strong Carolina Panthers defense has surrendered a feeble 187.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing quarterbacks: the 3rd-best in football.
- This year, the fierce Carolina Panthers defense has surrendered the 6th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing offenses: a mere 7.1 yards.
Projection
THE BLITZ
254
Passing Yards
254
Passing Yards
