Scott Spratt's Articles

The 2022 season offered plenty of surprises in its traditional metrics. Geno Smith threw for 758 more yards than the man he replaced in Seattle, Russell Wilson. Jonathan Taylor scored just four touchdowns, a total he bested with five touchdowns in Week 11 of 2021 alone. And Christian Kirk lived up to his publicly ridiculed […]

We are down to the Elite 8 of the NFL postseason. And while that might cull of few options for DFS lineups, there are still plenty of factors to consider.   This is the pace and playcalling report for the Divisional Round. Every week in this column, I will identify the best passing and rushing […]

If you don’t already live and die with the real-world results of NFL playoff games, then daily fantasy can spice up your January viewing experiences.   This is the pace and playcalling report for Wild Card weekend. Every week in this column, I will identify the best passing and rushing matchups for potential daily stacks. […]

Touchdowns are the most important plays for fantasy football, but the most difficult to accurately predict. But if you have followed this column through the 2022 season, hopefully you have found those predictions at least a little bit more accurate.   This is the lucky and unlucky touchdown scorers review of 2022. All season I […]

Welcome to the Week 18 fantasy football start/sit column, where I have detailed which players you should start and sit this week based on their recent trends, matchups and other game contexts.   Players are labeled as starts if I rank them better than the consensus and sits if I rank them worse than the […]

Week 18 may mark the end of the traditional fantasy football season. But daily fantasy rolls on and in fact offers its greatest opportunity for value all season this weekend as teams that have clinched their playoff seeds will likely rest their starters.   This is the pace and playcalling report for Week 18. Every […]

The waiver wire season is over in typical fantasy formats, but that is no reason to stop nerding out over expected touchdown totals while games continue to happen.   This is the lucky and unlucky touchdown scorers article from Week 17. Each week I calculate expected touchdown totals based on where on the field players […]

Welcome to the Week 17 fantasy football start/sit column, where I have detailed which players you should start and sit this week based on their recent trends, matchups and other game contexts.   Players are labeled as starts if I rank them better than the consensus and sits if I rank them worse than the […]

Baker Mayfield’s Rams were not on my shortlist for Week 16 stacks against a Broncos defense that entered the week as my No. 1 pass defense and No. 2 run defense. Football can be really weird sometimes. This article is for the rest of the time.   This is the pace and playcalling report for […]

Week 16 in the fantasy football playoffs saw plenty of chaos with multi-score outbursts from the left-for-dead Cam Akers and unheralded Shane Zylstra and Trenton Irwin. Fortunately, expected touchdowns can restore at least a bit of order to things.   This is the lucky and unlucky touchdown scorers article from Week 16. Each week I […]

Welcome to the Week 16 fantasy football start/sit column, where I have detailed which players you should start and sit this week based on their recent trends, matchups, and other game contexts.   Players are labeled as starts if I rank them better than the consensus and sits if I rank them worse than the […]

Christmas week signals a wind down of the traditional fantasy season. But with daily fantasy, there are two more months and more strategic considerations than ever with all 32 teams beyond their bye weeks and increasing weather concerns with seemingly half the league playing in sub-freezing temperatures this weekend.   This the pace and playcalling […]

The cold December weather has sometimes put an end to the prolific pace of modern scoring. But tell that to Trevor Lawrence, Zay Jones, Jerick McKinnon and the other players who have discovered their end zone magic in recent weeks. And while it may be misguided to expect those hot streaks to continue at their […]

Welcome to the Week 15 fantasy football start/sit column, where I have detailed which players you should start and sit this week based on their recent trends, matchups, and other game contexts.   Players are labeled as starts if I rank them better than the consensus and sits if I rank them worse than the […]

Midway through December, we have finally cleared the bye weeks. You can start all of your studs for playoff pushes in traditional formats. But for DFS, the shift to include Saturday games adds more options for partial slates. To make the most of your lineups, be sure to consider matchups and likely gamescripts.   This […]

On the eve of the fantasy playoffs, let me add to the fantasy dogma of “start your studs” that you should identify those studs by their touch locations and not just their touchdown totals. At various points this season, Joe Mixon, Alvin Kamara, Dalton Schultz and many others had underwhelmed their fantasy expectations despite similar […]

Welcome to the Week 14 fantasy football start/sit column, where I have detailed which players you should start and sit this week based on their recent trends, matchups and other game contexts.   Players are labeled as starts if I rank them better than the consensus and sits if I rank them worse than the […]

With the Chiefs, Bills, Dolphins and Bengals all playing, Week 14 may seem like a simple enough week to build some DFS stacks even with six teams back on bye. But as dynamic as those four offenses are, I would still consider their matchups. The formers’ Broncos and Jets opponents are the top two pass […]

On one hand, there are Christian Watson and Taysom Hill, who continue to defy all logic, with seven touchdowns apiece on just 30 and 68 respective offensive touches. But on the other hand, there are Alvin Kamara, Joe Mixon, Dalton Schultz, AJ Dillon and a bunch of other players for whom expected touchdowns have been […]

Welcome to the Week 13 fantasy football start/sit column, where I have detailed which players you should start and sit this week based on their recent trends, matchups, and other game contexts.   Players are labeled as starts if I rank them better than the consensus and sits if I rank them worse than the […]

The AFC West race may be all but over, with the Chiefs up three games on their nearest division rival. But the division remains hot for DFS purposes with Travis Kelce smashing his own career and all-time tight end records, Austin Ekeler lapping his position with 80 catches, and Josh Jacobs eclipsing the 300-yard mark […]

Regression is often a slow process. But don’t tell that to Dalton Schultz, who answered my Week 11 callout for his position-leading 1.44 expected touchdown shortfall since Week 7 with a pair of Thanksgiving touchdowns. And don’t tell that to Joe Mixon, Devin Singletary, Alvin Kamara and a host of other players who have quickly […]

Welcome to the Week 12 fantasy football start/sit column, where I have detailed which players you should start and sit this week based on their recent trends, matchups, and other game contexts.   Players are labeled as starts if I rank them better than the consensus and sits if I rank them worse than the […]

Jonathan Taylor, Najee Harris and Joshua Palmer continued the run of players erasing big touchdown shortfalls in recent weeks and months. And I wonder if Dalton Schultz may offer that Thanksgiving treat to the fantasy players that stay the course.   This is the lucky and unlucky touchdown scorers article from Week 11. Each week […]

Welcome to the Week 11 fantasy football start/sit column, where I have detailed which players you should start and sit this week based on their recent trends, matchups, and other game contexts. A special note for Week 11: My myriad Bills/Browns weather-related ranking movements assume that game will happen in Buffalo despite a chance for […]

The Dolphins’ bye removes the third-best passing offense by expected touchdown passes added and likely the easiest one to stack in fantasy with Tyreek Hill’s and Jaylen Waddle’s extreme target shares. But a showdown of the top two AFC West playoff contenders should provide plenty of Week 11 fireworks. And several other games offer excellent […]

It is always fun to predict positive touchdown regression for unlucky scorers like Joe Mixon, Alvin Kamara and now Devin Singletary from recent weeks. But expected touchdowns are a two-sided coin.   And the Week 10 edition of my lucky and unlucky touchdown scorers column focuses on a couple of recent breakout fantasy players in […]

Welcome to the Week 10 fantasy football start/sit column, where I have detailed which players you should start and sit this week based on their recent trends, matchups, and other game contexts.   Players are labeled as starts if I rank them better than the consensus and sits if I rank them worse than the […]

Week 10 byes for the Bengals and Ravens remove two of the easier teams to stack from the daily pool. But as Justin Fields made abundantly clear last Sunday, you do not need an established star quarterback to hit it big in fantasy. And with a compelling Lions matchup this weekend, Fields should again be […]

I write my Lucky and Unlucky Touchdown Scorers column each week because the players that dramatically over- and under-perform their expected touchdown totals tend to see those touchdown surpluses and shortfalls regress over the course of a full season.   But I guess Joe Mixon didn’t want to wait. He started the season unlucky with […]

Welcome to the Week 9 fantasy football start/sit column, where I have detailed which players you should start and sit this week based on their recent trends, matchups, and other game contexts.   Players are labeled as starts if I rank them better than the consensus and sits if I rank them worse than the […]

A matchup of the last two Super Bowl champion Rams and Bucs looked much better at the start of the season than it does in Week 9, from both the entertainment and fantasy perspectives. And in general, this week could disappoint for viewers with a bevy of on paper one-sided games (Eagles/Texans, Dolphins/Bears, Bengals/Panthers, Bills/Jets […]