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Aaron Schatz's Articles

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NFL DVOA
Week 14 DVOA: Lions Hold Their Lead
The Lions fall a bit after a close win over Green Bay but still rank among the top 10 teams in DVOA history. Get all the updated ratings here!
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Aaron Schatz
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NFL DVOA
Week 14 Quick Reads: Catch Rate as Catch Can
Pat Freiermuth and Amon-Ra St. Brown are among the 2024 receivers challenging catch rate records. Plus, best and worst of Week 14 by DYAR.
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Aaron Schatz
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NFL Bets
Week 14 DVOA NFL Picks
FTN's Aaron Schatz offers up his favorite bets for Week 14 of the NFL season based on DVOA.
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Aaron Schatz
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NFL DVOA
2024 Route DVOA Through Week 13
Players who look better when we look at receiving by route instead of by target include Amon-Ra St. Brown, Drake London, and Malik Nabers.
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Aaron Schatz
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NFL DVOA
Week 13 DVOA: Eagles Defense Keeps Getting Better
The Eagles are up to third in weighted DVOA with their defense playing great since Week 7. Plus: are the Chiefs the worst 11-1 team ever?
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Aaron Schatz
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NFL DVOA
Week 13 Quick Reads: Russell Wilson Loves Bad Defenses
Russell Wilson had a big Week 13, but it was yet another game this year where he took advantage of a bad pass defense.
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Aaron Schatz
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NFL Bets
Week 13 DVOA NFL Picks
FTN's Aaron Schatz offers up his favorite bets for Week 13 of the NFL season based on DVOA.
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Aaron Schatz
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NFL DVOA
Week 12 DVOA: Schedules Past and Present
The Lions are still on top, the Eagles are on the rise, plus a look at schedule strength split into offense/defense and past/future.
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Aaron Schatz
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NFL DVOA
Week 12 Quick Reads: Saquon’s Schedule
Saquon Barkley's MVP case is complicated by a very easy schedule. Plus, more of the best and worst players of Week 12 by our DYAR stats.
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Aaron Schatz
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NFL Bets
Week 12 DVOA NFL Picks
FTN's Aaron Schatz offers up his favorite bets for Week 12 of the NFL season based on DVOA.
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Aaron Schatz
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NFL DVOA
Cornerback Coverage DVOA Weeks 1-11
Here's a look at cornerback coverage through Week 11. Some of the best cornerbacks are those expected (Patrick Surtain, Christian Benford) and those unexpected (Darrell Baker?).
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Aaron Schatz
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NFL DVOA
Week 11 DVOA: Lions Among Historical Greats
The Lions climb up the ranks and now stand as the No. 3 team in DVOA history through 10 games. Plus, is the Ravens defense... OK?
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Aaron Schatz
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NFL DVOA
Week 11 Quick Reads: Good QBs Have Bad Days
The best and worst players of Week 11 by DYAR, plus a look at when MVP candidates have bad days. It happens!
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Aaron Schatz
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NFL Bets
Week 11 DVOA NFL Picks
FTN's Aaron Schatz offers up his favorite bets for Week 11 of the NFL season based on DVOA.
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Aaron Schatz
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NFL DVOA
Week 10 DVOA: Are 49ers Doomed to Underachieve?
All the latest DVOA ratings, plus a look at whether certain coaches have a history of overperforming or underperforming their PGWE (Post-Game Win Expectancy) numbers.
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Aaron Schatz
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NFL DVOA
Week 10 Quick Reads: Triangular QB Types
Kyler Murray was the top quarterback of Week 10. Which QB archetype does he fit? Is he a Sack-Taker, a Gunslinger, or a Game Manager?
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Aaron Schatz
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NFL Bets
Week 10 DVOA NFL Picks
FTN's Aaron Schatz offers up his favorite bets for Week 10 of the NFL season based on DVOA.
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Aaron Schatz
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NFL DVOA
Week 9 DVOA: Lions Keep Climbing
The Lions continue to rise on the historical lists. Plus: Chiefs vs. historical 8-0 teams, and a look at pass funnels and run funnels.
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Aaron Schatz
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NFL DVOA
Week 9 Quick Reads: Dominant Lamar Jackson
It was another huge week for Lamar Jackson, his best of a great season. Plus, more on the best and worst DYAR of Week 9.
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Aaron Schatz
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NFL Bets
Week 9 DVOA NFL Picks
FTN's Aaron Schatz offers up his favorite bets for Week 9 of the NFL season based on DVOA.
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Aaron Schatz
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NFL DVOA
Week 8 DVOA: Lions No. 1 for the First Time Ever
Detroit moves up to No. 1 for the first time in DVOA history after destroying the Titans. Plus: Count down the 10 best special teams games since 1979!
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Aaron Schatz
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NFL DVOA
Week 8 Quick Reads: Broncos Win Despite Bad Run Day
Denver beat Carolina despite one of the worst rushing days in DYAR history from Javonte Williams. Plus, all of the best and worst players of Week 8!
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Aaron Schatz
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NFL Bets
Week 8 DVOA NFL Picks
FTN's Aaron Schatz offers up his favorite bets for Week 8 of the NFL season based on DVOA.
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Aaron Schatz
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NFL DVOA
2024 Route DVOA Through Week 7
Here's our first look at Route DVOA and DYAR for 2024, led by Falcons wideout Drake London and Justin Jefferson of the Vikings.
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Aaron Schatz
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NFL DVOA
Week 7 DVOA: Ravens Offense Setting Records
The Ravens move into the top slot with one of the best offenses ever tracked by DVOA. Meanwhile, if it feels like the really bad teams are particularly bad this season, that's because they are.
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Aaron Schatz
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NFL DVOA
Week 7 Quick Reads: Big Week for the Lions
It was a big week for Lions stars including Jahmyr Gibbs, Amon-Ra St. Brown, and Jared Goff. Plus, a look at who has gained and lost the most value due to schedule so far.
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Aaron Schatz
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NFL Bets
Week 7 DVOA NFL Picks
FTN's Aaron Schatz offers up his favorite bets for Week 7 of the NFL season based on DVOA.
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Aaron Schatz
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NFL DVOA
Cornerback Coverage DVOA: Weeks 1-6
Here's a look at cornerback coverage DVOA through Week 6 of the 2024 season, highlighted by Marshon Lattimore, Jaylon Johnson, Patrick Surtain, and a surprising Stephon Gilmore.
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Aaron Schatz
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NFL DVOA
Week 6 DVOA: Year of the NFC
The Vikings stay on top, the Lions are No. 2, and the Packers, Bucs, and Falcons move up. It's a big year for the NFC!
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Aaron Schatz
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NFL DVOA
Week 6 Quick Reads: Goff’s Big Week, Calvin Ridley’s O-For
Jared Goff was good and Dak Prescott was bad this week, plus a look at Calvin Ridley and other wide receivers with big 0-for days.
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Aaron Schatz
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NFL Bets
Week 6 DVOA NFL Picks
FTN's Aaron Schatz offers up his favorite bets for Week 6 of the NFL season based on DVOA.
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Aaron Schatz
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NFL DVOA
Week 5 DVOA: Chiefs on the Rise
The undefeated Vikings are still on top with the undefeated Chiefs climbing six spots to No. 3.
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Aaron Schatz