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Dvoa NFL Articles

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NFL DVOA
The Many Degrees of 2023 Fantasy Football Sleepers
It’s that time of year again. Training camps have officially wrapped. 53-man rosters are (mostly) set. Now is the perfect time to draft your fantasy teams. The knowns are known, there are no more surprise preseason injuries to be had, and most starters can be sussed out by this point. All the information is available […]
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Cale Clinton
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NFL DVOA
Diamonds (and Saints) in the Rough
The New Orleans Saints have a deep arsenal of weapons on offense, but only one football to go around. Although that’s a good thing for a team looking to return to the playoffs, it’s a headache for fantasy managers everywhere. Let’s try to sort out where some of those players fit in the fantasy pecking […]
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Vincent Verhei
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NFL DVOA
Tyreek Hill Reigns Supreme with Route DVOA
When I first created my advanced stats DVOA and DYAR for receivers 20 years ago, there was a bit of a breakthrough about which plays we were counting. At the time, there wasn’t much of a concept of “targets” in the public data. Receivers were tracked by receptions and yards per reception. Official gamebooks did […]
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Aaron Schatz
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NFL DVOA
The Best Team Money Can Buy
If you’re a regular at Over the Cap or Spotrac, then this one is for you. While every season brings with it its own sense of contract drama, the volume this year has been louder than usual. Running back value, in particular, has been a headline-driving force. Holdouts by Josh Jacobs and Saquon Barkley, as […]
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Bryan Knowles
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NFL DVOA
Jimmy Garoppolo Does Not Like Pressure
It’s a big season for Kolton Miller, Dylan Parham, and the other members of the Las Vegas Raiders offensive line. They’re under a lot of pressure to prevent pressure. What’s the reason? Look at the track record of new Raiders quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo. He’s consistently been one of the worst quarterbacks in the league under […]
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Aaron Schatz
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NFL DVOA
DVOA Explainer
THE ULTRA-SHORT VERSION DVOA measures a team’s efficiency by comparing success on every single play to a league average based on situation and opponent. THE SHORT VERSION DVOA is a method of evaluating teams, units, or players. It takes every single play during the NFL season and compares each one to a league-average baseline based […]
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Aaron Schatz