Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
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2024 Mexico Open Betting Preview
Welcome to Vidanta Villarta, land of birdies and big numbers, always welcoming to the biggest of hitters. This will be the third hosting of the Mexico Open for Vidanta Villarta. We saw Jon Rahm take home the title in the debut 2022 edition with Tony Finau posting a runner-up finish. They flipped that script last […]
FTN Staff
PGA
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2024 Genesis Invitational Betting Preview
From ruckus to respect, the PGA Tour heads from TPC Scottsdale over to Riviera Country Club for this week’s Genesis Invitational. This is Tiger’s event, and this year it features a 70-man field with interesting cut-line rules of Low 50 and Ties (or anyone within 10 shots of the lead after 36 holes). Attracting […]
FTN Staff
PGA
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2024 WM Phoenix Open Betting Preview
Welcome to the hottest ticket in town, the WM Phoenix Open, where PGA Tour golf collides with a rowdy desert party. Known affectionately as the People’s Open or the Greenest Show on Grass, this event held at TPC Scottsdale draws in the largest crowds in all of golf, creating an electrifying atmosphere that leads right […]
FTN Staff
PGA
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2024 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Betting Preview
The 2024 PGA Tour season has kicked off with a stunning display of four straight underdogs claiming victory. It’s crucial to appreciate the unpredictability that contrasts the favorite-heavy narrative of the previous season. As bettors, we should remember to not put any stock into “trends” that would suggest this means more longshots are going to […]
FTN Staff
PGA
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2024 Farmers Insurance Open Betting Preview
After a trio of longshot winners to open the 2024 PGA campaign, we head to Torrey Pines for the Farmers Insurance Open. With a tougher test on hand, there is a good chance for that longshot trend to reverse itself this week. Let’s dive into the split stats to see what names stand out as […]
FTN Staff
PGA
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PGA Betting Course Fit and Stats: 2024 Farmers Insurance Open
For years, the course fit model has been my biggest weapon in both DFS and betting. For example, last season it fueled over 200 units won on outright bets alone. The edge is strong, but why? To understand the power of the course fit model, you first must understand the difference between predictive analysis […]
FTN Staff
PGA
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2024 American Express Betting Preview
The 2024 PGA Tour season has opened with a pair of longshot winners. Chris Kirk won the Sentry at 200/1, and Grayson Murray followed it up as a 400/1 winner. Now we head to PGA West for The American Express which has seen three of the last five editions won by golfers with odds exceeding […]
FTN Staff
PGA
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2024 Sony Open Betting Preview
As I sit here on the first real snow day of the season in Iowa, I found myself wishing I was in Hawaii like the 144 golfers getting prepped for the Sony Open at Waialae Country Club. Then I go to check the forecast at Waialae and see flooding nearby at the Monday Qualifier and […]
FTN Staff
PGA
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PGA Betting Course Fit and Stats: 2024 Sony Open
For years, the course fit model has been my biggest weapon in both DFS and betting. For example, last season it fueled over 200 units won on outright bets alone. The edge is strong, but why? To understand the power of the course fit model, you first must understand the difference between predictive analysis and […]
FTN Staff
PGA
Bets
PGA Betting Course Fit and Stats: 2024 The Sentry
For years, the course fit model has been my biggest weapon in both DFS and betting. For example, last season it fueled over 200 units won on outright bets alone. The edge is strong, but why? To understand the power of the course fit model, you first must understand the difference between predictive analysis and […]
FTN Staff
PGA
Bets
2024 The Sentry Betting Preview
Rising from our holiday hibernation, the PGA Tour is gearing up to kick off the 2024 season with a splash in Hawaii at this week’s Sentry. Forget the Tournament of Champions; it’s evolved with a more extensive lineup, and the old name just didn’t cut it anymore. Let’s dive into who’s making waves on the […]
FTN Staff
PGA
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PGA Outright Betting – The Essential Role of Variance
We often think of variance as the enemy of projections in sports. When a player has a surprising game, was the projection bad, or was the result just a product of variance? Golf is no different. Players shock us all the time with how well or how poorly they play. However, if we can reliably […]
FTN Staff
PGA
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2023 Mauritius Open Betting Preview
The DP World Tour heads to Mauritius this week to unveil a new course, La Reserve Golf Links at Heritage Golf Club. The course is co-designed by Peter Matkovich and last week’s winner Louis Oosthuizen. La Reserve reminds me a bit of a course we saw recently, Albany in the Bahamas. Both coastal courses look […]
FTN Staff
PGA
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2023 Alfred Dunhill Championship Betting Preview
DraftKings has thrown us a curveball this week by featuring the Grant Thornton Invitational, a new team event featuring LPGA and PGA Tour combos. I will dive into that slate later this week but for betting purposes, I want to set my focus on the DP World Tour. The event is the Alfred Dunhill Championship […]
FTN Staff
PGA
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2023 Hero World Championship Betting Preview
The PGA Tour season has concluded, but there are still betting opportunities with this week’s Hero World Challenge. This event attracts 20 high-level golfers to play a no-cut event in the Bahamas just days after scarfing down some Thanksgiving turkey. Run by Tiger Woods, he is also the main attraction this week, as he returns […]
FTN Staff
PGA
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2023 Joburg Open Betting Preview
The PGA Tour is resting after putting a lid on their 2023 season, but the DP World Tour is firing right back up this week with a pair of tournaments to kick off a new season. There will be action in Australia and South Africa, providing a lot of playing opportunities right out of the […]
FTN Staff
PGA
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2023 RSM Classic Betting Preview
The PGA Tour season comes to an end this week with the RSM Classic at Sea Island Golf Club. There is still Tiger’s event next week and a few DP World Tour events to keep us busy over the holidays, but this is the last official Tour event, so let’s go out in style. […]
FTN Staff
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2023 Butterfield Bermuda Championship Betting Preview
The FedEx Fall pushes on this week as the PGA Tour heads to Port Royal Golf Course for the Butterfield Bermuda Championship. We’ve already seen more than 10 pre-tourney WDs since the initial field list was released last Friday. It makes me wonder about the course conditions, maybe word got around on how it’s looking […]
FTN Staff
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2023 World Wide Technology Championship Betting Preview
The PGA Tour is back in action this week as they head to Mexico for the World Wide Technology Championship. We have a new host course for the event, El Cardonal at Diamante. Greg Norman stole the previous host venue, El Camaleon, for LIV Golf. Lining up very well with the political state of golf […]
FTN Staff
PGA
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2023 Qatar Masters Betting Preview
The PGA Tour has the week off so the DP World Tour will fill in the void with the Qatar Masters. The field strength is relatively weak, but the course is a familiar one, so let’s dive in to see what kind of bets might catch our eye. Course Fit The host venue this […]
FTN Staff
PGA
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2023 Zozo Championship Betting Preview
The PGA Tour heads to Japan this week for the Zozo Championship at Narashino Country Club. We’ve seen this course host three times in the past, with the winners being Tiger Woods, Hideki Matsuyama and Keegan Bradley. Not too shabby. The latter two will be teeing it up again this week in hopes of collecting […]
FTN Staff
PGA
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2023 Shriners Children’s Open Betting Preview
The FedEx Fall pushes on this week as the PGA Tour heads to Las Vegas for the Shriners Children’s Open. In theory, all of the Tour events contribute to local charities but this one and the St. Jude tug at the heartstrings a bit more. Let’s dive into the course, look at the odds board, […]
FTN Staff
PGA
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2023 Sanderson Farms Championship Betting Preview
The PGA Tour is back in action this week for the Sanderson Farms Championship. This is the second event of the FedEx Cup Fall Series, and it’s a good indicator of what kind of fields we should be expecting over the next six weeks. Let’s dive in and discuss what players might pop at the […]
FTN Staff
PGA
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2023 Ryder Cup Betting Preview
There is no stroke-play action this week in the world of golf, but we get something even better. It’s the biennial Ryder Cup which is taking place in Rome at Marco Simone Golf & Country Club. It’s Team USA versus Team Europe, so let’s dive right in to see who has the advantage this week. […]
FTN Staff
PGA
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2023 Open de France Betting Preview
The big names in the world of golf are prepping for next week’s Ryder Cup. That leaves us with a dead spot on the PGA Tour schedule, but there is overseas action at the Open de France. There are a dozen or so notable names in the field but not many household names. Let’s run […]
FTN Staff
PGA
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2023 Fortinet Championship Betting Preview
The PGA Tour returns this week with the inaugural FedEx Fall series starting this week in Napa. It’s the Fortinet Championship at Silverado Resort. While the incentives for playing in the fall are different this year, not much has changed with this week’s event. The host course has been used for roughly a decade and […]
FTN Staff
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2023 Irish Open Betting Preview
The 2023 Ryder Cup is just around the corner, so it’s fitting for the DP World Tour to head to The K Club this week for the Irish Open, a former Ryder Cup venue. This inland, parkland track hosted the 2006 Ryder Cup, which ended in a European landslide, winning 18.5-9.5 that week. The […]
FTN Staff
PGA
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2023 Omega European Masters Betting Preview
The DP World Tour gets a big boost in eyeballs this week with the PGA Tour taking a break before the fall series. This week’s tournament is the Omega European Masters, hosted by Crans-sur-Sierre in the Swiss Alps. Let’s dig into the event to see what kind of bets pop off the page. Course […]
FTN Staff
PGA
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2023 Tour Championship Betting Preview
This weeks Tour Championship is the final event of the 2023 PGA Tour campaign. It should be a huge deal, but the tournament usually goes off with a whimper thanks to the format. With just 30 golfers remaining, match play would be the ideal format for viewing, but they’ve opted for a handicapped stroke-play format. […]
FTN Staff
PGA
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PGA Betting Outrights: 2023 Tour Championship
Welcome to the most difficult week in all of golf betting! We lack a course fit model, and the staggered starting scores create a riddle that’s far more difficult to solve than most weeks. Let’s start with the course fit model — the goal of the model is to explain variation in historical performance […]
FTN Staff
PGA
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PGA Betting Outrights: 2023 BMW Championship
Apologies for the late release of this week’s outrights article! I’m playing in the Pennsylvania Open, so I’m trying to get another outright win of my own! Come Sunday, however, I will be right back to rooting for the outright from my couch. Golf outrights are unlike anything else in betting. In no other […]
FTN Staff
PGA
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2023 BMW Championship Betting Preview
The PGA Tour moves from Memphis to Chicago this week for the second event of the FedEx Cup Playoffs. There are just 50 golfers left standing, so we can dive into the entire field rather easily. Finding a fit for the course is always the starting point of my betting process, so let’s check […]
FTN Staff